Seasonal diagnostic and temporal variability of the daily precipitation in Argentina Departamento de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y los Océanos- FCEyN-UBA.

Slides:

Advertisements

Similar presentations

Extremes events and observed regional (South America) trends: A preliminary review Luis J. Mata 1 M.Rusticucci 2, S.Solman 3 J. B. Valdés 4 1 ZEF, University.

Advertisements

Trends in Fog Frequency and Duration in the Southeast United States Gloria Forthun, Michael Johnson, William Schmitz, and Jim Blume Southeast Regional.

STAtistical and Regional dynamical Downscaling of EXtremes for European regions: some preliminary results from the STARDEX project A project within the.

AGENZIA REGIONALE PER LA PROTEZIONE DELLAMBIENTE DELLA SARDEGNA ARPAS Andrea Motroni Climate, climate change and desertification.

Statistical modelling of precipitation time series including probability assessments of extreme events Silke Trömel and Christian-D. Schönwiese Institute.

(1)Dpto. de Estadística e I.O. III. Escuela de Estadística. Univ.Complutense de Madrid, Spain (2) Ciencias Agronómicas y Veterinarias. Universidad Politécnica.

Drought Update; What’s in Store for 2012 LCRA Firm Water Customer Meeting January 26, 2011 Bob Rose, LCRA Chief Meteorologist.

Plant Sector Workshop March 21, MIT – Progress on the Science of Weather and Climate ExtremesMarch 29, 2012 Motivation –Billion-dollar Disasters.

EURANDOM & KNMI, May 2009 Analysis of extremes in a changing climate in support of informed decisions for adaptation

Creación de una base de datos de precipitación y temperatura a escala diaria en el noreste de la Península Ibérica: Aplicación en estudios de tendencias.

Matilde Rusticucci, Olga Penalba Assistant Researchers: Mariana Barrucand, María Laura Bettolli Post-Doc: Bárbara Tencer, Madeleine Renom, PhD Students:

Climate Change Impacts on the Water Cycle Emmanouil Anagnostou Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering Environmental Engineering Program UCONN.

IPRC Symposium on Ocean Salinity and Global Water Cycle Recent Trends and Future Rainfall Changes in Hawaii Honolulu, Hawaii, Presentation by.

Mechanistic crop modelling and climate reanalysis Tom Osborne Crops and Climate Group Depts. of Meteorology & Agriculture University of Reading.

Jim Noel Service Coordination Hydrologist March 2, 2012

Víctor Orlando Magaña Rueda Centro de Ciencias de la Atmósfera UNAM Climate Change in Mexico Global Environmental Change: the challenge for North America.

Long Term Temperature Variability of Santa Barbara Coutny By Courtney Keeney and Leila M.V. Carvalho.

Predicting indices of climate extremes using eigenvectors of SST and MSLP Malcolm Haylock, CRU.

Welcome to... A Game of X’s and O’s. Another Presentation © All rights Reserved

Climate Variability and Prediction in the Little Colorado River Basin Matt Switanek 1 1 Department of Hydrology and Water Resources University of Arizona.

Juan Ruiz 1,2, Celeste Saulo 1,2, Soledad Cardazzo 1, Eugenia Kalnay 3 1 Departamento de Cs. de la Atmósfera y los Océanos (FCEyN-UBA), 2 Centro de Investigaciones.

COSMO General Meeting Zurich, 2005 Institute of Meteorology and Water Management Warsaw, Poland- 1 - Verification of the LM at IMGW Katarzyna Starosta,

Climate in Bangladesh. Where Bangladesh climate Bangladesh has a tropical monsoon type of climate.

CARPE DIEM Centre for Water Resources Research NUID-UCD Contribution to Area-3 Dusseldorf meeting 26th to 28th May 2003.

Climate and Agricultural Risk Drs. Reddy, Amor Ines, Sheshagiri Rao.

Analysis of extreme precipitation in different time intervals using moving precipitation totals Tiina Tammets 1, Jaak Jaagus 2 1 Estonian Meteorological.

I Latin American and the Caribbean Workshop Assesment for Impacts and Adaptation to Climate Change in Multiple Regions and Sectors (AIACC) May 2003.

The trend analysis demonstrated an overall increase in the values of air temperatures as well as an increase in the occurrence of extremely hot days, but.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS  Most of significant trends for N are negative for all thresholds and seasons. The largest number of significant negative trends.

Application of a rule-based system for flash flood forecasting taking into account climate change scenarios in the Llobregat basin EGU 2012, Vienna Session.

Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, 8th-11th November 2012

Characteristics of Extreme Events in Korea: Observations and Projections Won-Tae Kwon Hee-Jeong Baek, Hyo-Shin Lee and Yu-Kyung Hyun National Institute.

STAtistical and Regional dynamical Downscaling of EXtremes for European regions: some preliminary results from the STARDEX project A project within the.

Optimum Big Rain Indicator of Extremes for the Southeast USA Presented by: Jim O’Brien Collaborators: Preston Leftwich and David Zierden COAPS, The Florida.

Recent hydrological and climatological changes V. Barros.

Summary of observed changes in precipitation and temperature extremes (D9)

We carried out the QPF verification of the three model versions (COSMO-I7, COSMO-7, COSMO-EU) with the following specifications: From January 2006 till.

Latest results in verification over Poland Katarzyna Starosta, Joanna Linkowska Institute of Meteorology and Water Management, Warsaw 9th COSMO General.

Climate Change Scenarios Development P. GOMBOLUUDEV and P.BATIMA.

Renata Gonçalves Tedeschi Alice Marlene Grimm Universidade Federal do Paraná, Curitiba, Paraná 1. OBJECTIVES 1)To asses the influence of ENSO on the frequency.

Report number: Project Cost: $32,922 Project Duration: 12 months

Regional Climate Group 1 Department of Earth Sciences.

Northwest Geographic Area Coordination Center Predictive Services Winter of Climate and Significant Fire Potential Outlook Monday December 7.

Climate Extremes PRECIS Workshop Tanzania Meteorological Agency, 29 th June – 3 rd July 2015.

European Climate Assessment & possible role of the CHR ‘Workshop and Expert Meeting on Climatic Changes and their Effect on Hydrology and Water Management.

 coldest month greater than 18°C  rainfall every month greater than 60 mm.

Topographic Dependency of Rainfall Characteristics from the Sierra Madre Occidental in Northwest Mexico NERN Project Team: NCAR, U. Arizona, U. Sonora,

Eni Sumarminingsih, SSi, MM.  Examples of Time Series Annual Rainfall in Los Angeles.

Extreme precipitation over the Ukraine and global climate change Vyshkvarkova O., Voskresenskaya E. Marine Hydrophysical Institute National Academy of.

Probabilistic Forecasts of Extreme Precipitation Events for the U.S. Hazards Assessment Kenneth Pelman 32 nd Climate Diagnostics Workshop Tallahassee,

Variability of Extreme precipitation Events in the Core of the North American Monsoon Fourth Symposium on Southwest Hydrometeorology Tucson, AZ,

The STARDEX project - background, challenges and successes A project within the EC 5th Framework Programme 1 February 2002 to 31 July 2005

Climate and Agricultural Risk Drs. Reddy, Amor Ines, Sheshagiri Rao.

Climate extremes and changes in precipitation and wind patterns ( ) in the vicinities of Montevideo, Uruguay V Pshennikov, M Bidegain, F Blixen,

GEOG 441 Watershed Systems Precipitation Monday 1/26/2009.

Observed Trends in South American Precipitation Brant LiebmannVicente Barros Carolina S. VeraJulián Báez Leila M.V. Carvalho Anji Seth Inés Camilloni Marty.

Climatology of the Río de la Plata Basin: short and long term variability Mario Bidegain Facultad de Ciencias Universidad de la Republica Uruguay Workshop.

Deutscher Wetterdienst Long-term trends of precipitation verification results for GME, COSMO-EU and COSMO-DE Ulrich Damrath.

Precipitation extremes during Indian summer monsoon Jayashree Revadekar Centre for Climate Change Research Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology PUNE,

An Examination of the Diurnal Cycle in the NCEP GFS (and Eta) Model Precipitation Forecasts (during NAME) John Janowiak, Valery Dagostaro*, Vern Kousky,

Trends in floods in small catchments – instantaneous vs. daily peaks

Trends in Iowa Precipitation: Observed and Projected Future Trends

A project within the EC 5th Framework Programme EVK2-CT

Analysis of rainfall fields in Southern Italy

Climate projections for the watershed of the Delaware Estuary

LABORATORIO DE EXTREMOS CLIMÁTICOS EN SUDAMÉRICA

On the use of indices to study changes in climate extremes

Trend analysis of sulphur and nitrogen species in air and precipitation in Sweden Martin Ferm

Climate Trends in Samoa

Presentation transcript:

Seasonal diagnostic and temporal variability of the daily precipitation in Argentina Departamento de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y los Océanos- FCEyN-UBA Olga C. Penalba, Federico Robledo

Probability of daily precipitation events Daily percentiles Persistence of rainday and no rainday Objectives Analyze the annual cycle of the following properties:

Probability of daily precipitation events Daily percentiles Persistence of rainday and no rainday Objectives Special interest in extreme events and very heavy rainfall Analyze the temporal variability of:

Data set Daily rainfall information 40 rain gauges Missing data < 10% Quality control Period

Analysis For each station and over its whole period 50 th, 75 th, 90 th and 95 th percentiles of daily precipitation Probability of daily rainfall exceeding a threshold 0.1, 10, 50, 80 and 100 mm 75 th, 90 th and 95 th percentiles Persistence of rainday and no rainday Probability of rainday when the day before was a rainday

Annual cycle of 50 th, 75 th, 90 th and 95 th percentiles of daily precipitation amount

Mean of 50 th percentile of daily rainfall (mm/day) per month

Mean of 95 th percentile of daily rainfall (mm/day) per month

Annual cycle of relative frequency of daily precipitation that exceeds 0.1 mm

Relative frequency of daily precipitation > 0.1 mm

Relative frequency of daily precipitation events exceeding 10 mm/day

Monthly mean of persistence of rainday

Temporal variability

Relative frequency of daily precipitation > 0.1 mm Tres Arroyos AnnualJanuaryOctober Corrientes Nueve de Julio Pilar

Relative frequency of daily precipitation > 0.1 mm Tres Arroyos Annual January October Corrientes Nueve de Julio Pilar AnnualJulyApril

Relative frequency of daily precipitation greater than 10 mm greater than 0.1 mm Santa Rosa Rosario

Relative frequency of daily precipitation > 0.1 mm Kendall´s tau (filled squares: significant at p<0.05) Trend

Relative frequency of daily precipitation > 95 th percentile Kendall´s tau (filled squares: significant at p<0.05) Trend

Extreme events and very heavy rainfall Daily rainfall > 50 and 80 mmuncommon Daily rainfall > 100 mm Autumn > Spring