Kansas Tornadic Supercells May 7th, 2002 Austin Cross San Francisco State University Department of Geosciences Austin Cross San Francisco State University.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
European Storm Forecast Experiment A close look at a severe MCS during the Kyrill winter storm over Central Europe Christoph Gatzen, Pieter Groenemeijer,
Advertisements

1 Wind Shear n Example of little or no vertical wind shear: 7 kts 6 kts 7 kts 6 kts There is very little change in the speed or direction of the wind with.
Day 1 Severe Storms Forecasting Jim LaDue – WDTB 08 June, 2005.
Chapter 6 Section 6.4 Goals: Look at vertical distribution of geostrophic wind. Identify thermal advection, and backing and veering winds. Look at an example.
Aspects of 6 June 2007: A Null “Moderate Risk” of Severe Weather Jonathan Kurtz Department of Geosciences University of Nebraska at Lincoln NOAA/NWS Omaha/Valley,
The Impact of Gravity Wave/Undular Bore Dissipation on the June 22, 2003 Deshler and Aurora Nebraska Tornadic Supercells AARON W. JOHNSON NOAA/NWS Weather.
Characteristics of Isolated Convective Storms
Stephen R. Guimond Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies, Florida State University Tornadogenesis with Landfalling Tropical.
1. 2 Presented by John P. Monteverdi Professor of Meteorology Department of Geosciences San Francisco State University Research completed as part of appointments.
An Overview of Environmental Conditions and Forecast Implications of the 3 May 1999 Tornado Outbreak Richard L. Thompson and Roger Edwards Presentation.
A Case Study of the August 25, 2007 Severe Weather Event in Eastern New York and Western New England Brian J. Frugis NWS WFO Albany, New York.
Case Study of the May 7, 2002 Tornadic Supercell Outbreak Kathryn Saussy San Francisco State University Department of Geosciences.
More Thunderstorms. Today Homework in Wind shear More multicellular storms.
Documentation of a Tornadic Supercell Thunderstorm in the San Joaquin Valley, California Ted B. Schlaepfer Department of Geosciences San Francisco State.
Kansas Severe Thunderstorm Outbreak May 7, 2002 Christopher Medjber Meteorology 503 Department of Geosciences SFSU Christopher Medjber Meteorology 503.
Meteorology 503 Meteorology 503 Tornadic Analysis Severe Weather Outbreak Dodge City, KS May 7, 2002 Julio C. Garcia! SFSU Julio C. Garcia! SFSU.
Figure 2 Storm Prediction Center Convective outlook maps with daily 12Z-12Z lightning strike data from 20:00 UTC Feb. 28 th (Below left) and 6:00 UTC March.
Synoptic Factors with Severe Convection Review of AMS Monograph Severe Conductive Storms C.A. Doswell For METR 515/815 Michele Blazek.
May 7, 2002 Kansas Tornadic Event By: Justin Van Es By: Justin Van Es.
A Study of Cool Season Tornadoes in the Southeast United States Alicia C. Wasula and Lance F. Bosart University at Albany/SUNY and Russell Schneider, Steven.
Maintenance of a Mesoscale Convective System over Lake Michigan Nicholas D. Metz and Lance F. Bosart Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences University.
Tornadic Thunderstorm Case Study Dodge City, Kansas May 7, 2002 Linh Truong San Francisco State University Linh Truong San Francisco State University.
Tornadic thunderstorm Dodge City, Kansas May 7, 2002  Large cumulonimbus anvil stretches from Missouri into eastern Kansas  Cumulonimbus anvil seen in.
Synoptic, Thermodynamic, Shear Setting May 7, 2002 Tornadic Thunderstorm in Southwestern Kansas Michele Blazek May 15, 2005.
© Craig Setzer and Al Pietrycha Supercell (mesocyclone) tornadoes: Supercell tornado environments Developed by Jon Davies – Private Meteorologist – Wichita,
TEAM 2 Sanders & Li. 295K 300K 305K 310K 295K.
1 Supercell Thunderstorms Adapted from Materials by Dr. Frank Gallagher III and Dr. Kelvin Droegemeier School of Meteorology University of Oklahoma Part.
Ensemble Numerical Prediction of the 4 May 2007 Greensburg, Kansas Tornadic Supercell using EnKF Radar Data Assimilation Dr. Daniel T. Dawson II NRC Postdoc,
Intelligent Use of LAPS By Ed Szoke and Steve Albers 16 December 1999.
SYNOPTIC METEOROLOGY LABORATORY The Dallas and Fort Worth Storms of May 5, 1995 Storms of May 5, 1995 BY: Brent Crisp, Phil Grigsby, Thomas Jones, Devon.
Matthew J. Bunkers WFO Rapid City, SD Last Updated 2/4/2002 Predicting Supercell Motion Using Hodograph Techniques.
High-Resolution RUC CAPE Values and Their Relationship to Right Turning Supercells By: Andy Mair Mentor: Dr. William A. Gallus Jr. Department of Geological.
Real-Time Convection Analysis Exercise
Using The Short Fuse Composite to Forecast Severe Convection: Part II – “The Next Generation,” Updating the Technique By Jim Johnson & Mike Umscheid NWS.
Soundings and Adiabatic Diagrams for Severe Weather Prediction and Analysis Continued.
Chapter 9: Weather Forecasting Surface weather maps 500mb weather maps Satellite Images Radar Images.
Forecast Parameters. CAPE Convective Available Potential Energy – obviously, positive buoyancy is helpful for producing convection –100 mb mixed layer.
Title card A Look at Environments Associated with Nighttime Supercell Tornadoes in the Central Plains Meteorologist Jon Davies Private © Dick McGowan &
Tornado Warning Skill as a Function of Environment National Weather Service Sub-Regional Workshop Binghamton, New York September 23, 2015 Yvette Richardson.
A Review of the March 28, 2007 Tornado Event Teresa Keck NWS North Platte, Nebraska Courtesy of Mike Hollingshead.
A Case Study of Two Left-Moving Mesoanticyclonic Supercells on 24 April 2006 Chris Bowman National Weather Service – Wichita, KS.
A Rare Severe Weather and Tornado Event in Central New York and Northeast Pennsylvania: July 8, 2014 Presented by Mike Evans 1.
THE MARCH 2006 MID-SOUTH TORNADO OUTBREAK... WHY IT NEVER OCCURRED Dan Valle National Weather Service Memphis, TN.
Upper Level Jet and Large Hail in Summer Jonathan D. Finch.
Ordinary Cells Multicell storms Supercells
Soundings and Adiabatic Diagrams for Severe Weather Prediction and Analysis Continued.
The 1 November 2004 tornadic QLCS event over southwest Illinois Ron W. Przybylinski Science and Operations Officer National Weather Service – St. Louis.
Cirrus anvil cumulonimbus T (skewed) LCL (Lifting Condensation Level) LFC (Level of Free Convection) EL (Equilibrium level) p overshooting CAPE Sounding.
Characteristics of Isolated Convective Storms Morris L. Weisman Joseph B. Klemp Presented to you by: Elizabeth Polito.
Using LAPS in the Forecast Office
Weather Chapter 18 Weather Reports and Forecasts.
Characteristics of Isolated Convective Storms
Convective: Part 2 Weather Systems – Fall 2017
Thunderstorms and Severe Weather Part I
Ted B. Schlaepfer Department of Geosciences
Mesoscale Convective Systems
Thermodynamic Diagrams and Severe Weather
May 7, 2002 Kansas Tornadic Event
Case Study A Tornadic Thunderstorm Near Dodge City, KS on May
The Wind Hodograph METR 4433: Mesoscale Meteorology Spring 2006 Semester Adapted from Materials by Drs. Kelvin Droegemeier, Frank Gallagher III and Ming.
The Wind Hodograph METR 4433: Mesoscale Meteorology Spring 2013 Semester Adapted from Materials by Drs. Kelvin Droegemeier, Frank Gallagher III and Ming.
Slides adapted from a lecture given by Dr. Kelvin Droegemeier
Case Jan Squall line moves through early afternoon...leaving stable conditions, stratus and low LCLs over region through early night hours.
Forecast parameters, Tornadogensis, maintenance and decay
William Flamholtz, Brian Tang, and Lance Bosart
May 3, 1987 satanta, ks tornado…a case study
Tornadic Thunderstorm Case Study Dodge City, Kansas May 7, 2002
Supercells and Tornadoes.
Forecast Verification time!
Supercell tornado environments
Presentation transcript:

Kansas Tornadic Supercells May 7th, 2002 Austin Cross San Francisco State University Department of Geosciences Austin Cross San Francisco State University Department of Geosciences

500mb Chart for Mar. 7, 12Z

500mb Chart for Mar. 8, 00Z Ideal conditions set up - a low in the Great Plains - air drawn in from Gulf - perpendicular winds aloft

KOUN Sounding for 00Z CAPE: 4161 J/kg CIN: -1 J/kg Curved hodograph 6km Shear of 49 3km Helicity of 272

KTOP Sounding for 00Z Curved hodograph Large amount of CIN 6km Shear of 69 3km Helicity of 690

Surface Analysis for 22Z

GOES Visible Image for 2145Z Anvil visible

GOES Visible Image for 2315Z Storm has expanded and Moved eastward

Radar Image for 2235Z Dodge City

Radar Image for 2305Z Dodge City