Lectures in Macroeconomics- Charles W. Upton The Gold Standard.

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Presentation transcript:

Lectures in Macroeconomics- Charles W. Upton The Gold Standard

Gold Standard, Gold was part of Monetary Base –Public, domestic and foreign, could demand gold at will for dollars –Government essentially had no control over monetary base.

The Gold Standard Implications Suppose the Monetary Base is $1,000 and the M 2 Multiplier is 8. M 2 = $8,000. For some reason people want to hold more cash and the M 2 Multiplier falls to 4.

The Gold Standard With a Gold Standard Under a gold standard, nothing the government can do. –M 2 will fall to $4,000 –A sharp decline in M 2 usually means a decline in GDP

The Gold Standard With a Gold Standard Happened in the US in Great Britain abandoned Gold Standard in 1931 precisely because the money multiplier was falling and the gold standard made it impossible for them to offset the decline in the money supply.

The Gold Standard With Fiat Money With fiat money, the government can offset decline. –M b is increased to $2,000 –M 2 remains at $8,000 –No money-induced decline in GDP

The Gold Standard With Fiat Money Nothing stops the government from increasing the money supply any time it wants to. Clearly inflationary. – : Prices essentially stable –1913-present: 14-fold increase in price level.

The Gold Standard Return to the Gold Standard? Some recommend return to Gold Standard, as a means of imposing monetary discipline.

The Gold Standard Return to the Gold Standard? Some recommend return to Gold Standard, as a means of imposing monetary discipline. Most economists, remembering the lessons of the Great Depression, oppose the return.

The Gold Standard Return to the Gold Standard? Some recommend return to Gold Standard, as a means of imposing monetary discipline. Most economists, remembering the lessons of the Great Depression, oppose the return. Yet: many countries are essentially adopting the gold standard by use of the US dollar as their monetary base.

The Gold Standard US Gold Reserves Billions of $, market value, end of year

The Gold Standard End ©2005 Charles W. Upton. All rights reserved