Fifth Framework Programme 1998 - 2002 ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT PRODEC A system for supporting decisions in emergency situations.

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Presentation transcript:

Fifth Framework Programme ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT PRODEC A system for supporting decisions in emergency situations Jan W. Owsiński Andrzej Ziółkowski Flooding hazards in Biala catchment example

Fifth Framework Programme ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT The principles of functioning of the ProDec system The ProDec system makes use of simple decision rules of the following type: If a definite threat takes place then undertake a definite action

Fifth Framework Programme ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT The structure of the ProDec system The ProDec system is composed of two parts:  the part supporting the determination of the decision rules  the part supporting decision making

Fifth Framework Programme ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT The stages of development of the ProDec decision system  Determination of the threats and actions  Division into subareas  The choice of measured quantities  Definition of the degrees of emergency  Formation and testing of decision rules  Detailed description of the actions  Installing the system  Final testing

Fifth Framework Programme ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Parameters, states, actions and tests

Fifth Framework Programme ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Water level "states" with the use of "fuzzy" interval of values

Fifth Framework Programme ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Defining states with fuzzy values

Fifth Framework Programme ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Decision rules displayed in ProDec

Fifth Framework Programme ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Decision rules testing

Fifth Framework Programme ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Decision rules testing result

Fifth Framework Programme ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Main internet page of ProDec system

Fifth Framework Programme ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Weather forecast for Poland

Fifth Framework Programme ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Forecasting precipitation Czech radar stations data

Fifth Framework Programme ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Forecasting precipitation Polish radar stations data

Fifth Framework Programme ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Action description - example

Fifth Framework Programme ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Action description - example

Fifth Framework Programme ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Action description - example

Fifth Framework Programme ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Action description - example

Fifth Framework Programme ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Action description - example

Fifth Framework Programme ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Action description - example