© 2005 The MITRE Corporation. All Rights Reserved. 1 What The Future Holds… New Airframes & Materials UAVs Traffic Growth New Business Models TRACON Complexity TFM Under Uncertainty New CNS Technologies, RNP/RNAV Distributed Information Sharing Image: John Baldock Role & Responsibility Changes

Document Number Here © 2006 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved. 2 How Do We Certify Software in The “Web 2.0” Era The Web is the “platform” –Web services, Service- Oriented Architectures Data as the driving force Net-centricity – architecture of participation Leveraging the “long tail” The end of the software adoption cycle – “the perpetual beta”

Document Number Here © 2006 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved. 3 Software Is Increasingly Playing Critical Roles in Decision Making En Route Transition Terminal Automated, high-precision operations with RNP/RNAV routes Additional routes to increase flexibility, efficiency, and capacity Automated, high-precision operations with RNP/RNAV routes Additional routes to increase flexibility, efficiency, and capacity Responsibility for problem prediction moves from controller to automation Controllers resolve problems with automated resolution assistance Routine ATC tasks are automated Problems are predicted and resolved strategically Time-based metering used to manage traffic to constrained resources Responsibility for problem prediction moves from controller to automation Controllers resolve problems with automated resolution assistance Routine ATC tasks are automated Problems are predicted and resolved strategically Time-based metering used to manage traffic to constrained resources Automation assists with sequencing, merging, and spacing En route flow management directives smooth transition Automation assists with sequencing, merging, and spacing En route flow management directives smooth transition

Document Number Here © 2006 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved. 4 The Controller Is No Longer the “Backup”

Document Number Here © 2006 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved. 5 ADS-B: Transforming Both the Aircraft Role and the Surveillance Infrastructure IMC Merging and Spacing Continuous Descent Approach CDTI Assisted Visual Separation Approach

Document Number Here © 2006 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved. 6 The National Airspace System (NAS): A “Complex” System 18,292 Public & Private Airports 50,000 Airport Operations per day 700,000,000 Passengers per year 125 Billion Revenue Passenger Miles per year 15,000 Controllers 36,000 Systems 171 TRACONs 20 En Route Centers 600,000+ Active Pilots 280,000 Aircraft 130,000 En Route Operations per day