EdGCM: Global Climate Modeling In The Classroom

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Modeling Past and Future Climate Changes
Advertisements

(Mt/Ag/EnSc/EnSt 404/504 - Global Change) Climate Models (from IPCC WG-I, Chapter 8) Climate Models Primary Source: IPCC WG-I Chapter 8 - Climate Models.
Draft Essential Principles with Fundamental Concepts By Marlene Kaplan & David Herring NOAA & NASA.
Numerical Modeling of Climate Hydrodynamic equations: 1. equations of motion 2. thermodynamic equation 3. continuity equation 4. equation of state 5. equations.
"Future climate impacts of direct radiative forcing of anthropogenic aerosols, tropospheric ozone, and long-lived greenhouse gases" Chen, W; Liao, H; Seinfeld,
Climate modeling Current state of climate knowledge – What does the historical data (temperature, CO 2, etc) tell us – What are trends in the current observational.
Earth Systems Science Chapter 6 I. Modeling the Atmosphere-Ocean System 1.Statistical vs physical models; analytical vs numerical models; equilibrium vs.
WFM 6311: Climate Risk Management © Dr. Akm Saiful IslamDr. Akm Saiful Islam WFM 6311: Climate Change Risk Management Akm Saiful Islam Lecture-1: Module-1.
Dr. Mark Chandler The EdGCM Project NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies at Columbia University June 27, 2011.
Chapter 9: Air: Climate and Pollution Copyright © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.
Earth Systems Science Chapter 4 PART I. THE CIRCULATION SYSTEM Convection and advection, the Ideal Gas Law Global energy distribution General circulation.
Global Climate Simulations Windows on the World of Tomorrow Renewable Energy Summit, Milwaukee, Wisconsin, March 13, 2008 Mark A. Chandler NASA Goddard.
METR112-Climate Modeling Basic concepts of climate Modeling Components and parameterization in the model sensitivity of the model.
Climate science in a world with global change David Noone Program in Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental.
PHYC Environmental Physics Climate, Climate Change Nuclear Power and the Alternatives.
The Democratization of Climate Change Science The EdGCM Project Columbia University and NASA Goddard Inst. for Space Studies MATC and We Energies 3rd Annual.
Image: NASA ECHAM5/6 projects by Quentin Bourgeois, Junbo Cui, Gabriela Sousa Santos, Tanja Stanelle C2SM’s research group - Isabelle Bey.
Humans are the Primary Cause of Global Warming The science indicates humans are the primary cause of global warming at the >95% probability (In science.
4. Models of the climate system. Earth’s Climate System Sun IceOceanLand Sub-surface Earth Atmosphere Climate model components.
The Science of Climate Change Why We Believe It and What Might Happen Dave Stainforth, University of Exeter Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research.
1 Development and Evaluation of High School Science-Camp Using EdGCM Yukimasa Tsubota 1 , Mark A. Chandler 2 and Linda Sohl 2 1 J. F. Oberlin University.
The Scenarios Network for Alaska and Arctic Planning is a collaborative network of the University of Alaska, state, federal, and local agencies, NGOs,
Research and Careers in Atmospheric Sciences UW Atmospheric Sciences Outreach.
Coupled Climate Models OCEAN-ATMOSPHEREINTERACTIONS.
Bellringer Do you think average seasonal temperatures have changed in the past few years? How do you think recent temperatures may compare.
Climate Change Intelligence For All Dr. Mark Chandler and Dr. Linda Sohl, NASA/GISS, Columbia University Dr. Galen McKinley, University of Wisconsin, Atmospheric.
Dr. Mark Chandler Dr. Linda Sohl The EdGCM Project Center for Climate Systems Research and the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies at Columbia University.
What is a Climate Model?.
How do we predict weather and climate?. Review of last lecture Well-defined pattern of heating, temperature, pressure and winds around the globe. Well-defined.
Climate and Energy Webinar Series February 18, 2010 Welcome to: A Climate Modeling Tutorial Cindy Shellito University of Northern Colorado.
June 2011 The UNEP Java Climate Model Cindy Shellito University of Northern Colorado.
Radiation Group 3: Manabe and Wetherald (1975) and Trenberth and Fasullo (2009) – What is the energy balance of the climate system? How is it altered by.
GEOS-Chem Chemical Transport Model: Current Status and Future Plans Daniel J. Jacob, GEOS-Chem Model Scientist Harvard University.
Copyright © 2005 Pearson Education, Inc., publishing as Benjamin Cummings 18 Global Climate Change Part A PowerPoint ® Slides prepared by Jay Withgott.
Global Warming (Climate Change) The Greenhouse Effect Sunlight streams through the atmosphere and heats the Earth. Some of the heat radiates back out into.
Future Climate Projections. Lewis Richardson ( ) In the 1920s, he proposed solving the weather prediction equations using numerical methods. Worked.
Sponsors: National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) NASA Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC) NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS)
Projection of Global Climate Change. Review of last lecture Rapid increase of greenhouse gases (CO 2, CH 4, N 2 O) since 1750: far exceed pre-industrial.
(Mt/Ag/EnSc/EnSt 404/504 - Global Change) Climate Models (from IPCC WG-I, Chapter 10) Projected Future Changes Primary Source: IPCC WG-I Chapter 10 - Global.
Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications: Introduction to NASA’s Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications:
General Circulation Modelling on Triton and Pluto
Urban Heat Island and Pollution
The Pliocene Warm Interval: Is It An Analogue For Future Warming? The Pliocene Epoch (5.3 to 2.6 Ma) is the last “great global warming” before the beginning.
The evolution of climate modeling Kevin Hennessy on behalf of CSIRO & the Bureau of Meteorology Tuesday 30 th September 2003 Canberra Short course & Climate.
Monitoring and Modeling Climate Change Are oceans getting warmer? Are sea levels rising? To answer questions such as these, scientists need to collect.
SERC New Tools Workshop, February 2008 Teaching Paleoclimate and Future Climate to Undergraduates Through EdGCM Linda Sohl Columbia University and NASA/Goddard.
AAAHHHHH!!!!. Climate Change Climate Physical properties of the troposphere of an area based on analysis of its weather records over a long period Two.
Welcome to the PRECIS training workshop
1. The atmosphere 2 © Zanichelli editore 2015 Characteristics of the atmosphere 3 © Zanichelli editore 2015.
GCAP (Global Climate and Air Pollution): One of six projects funded by EPA-STAR to study effect of climate change on air quality. Collaborators: Harvard.
“CLIMATE IS WHAT WE EXPECT, AND WEATHER IS WHAT WE GET” ~ MARK TWAIN.
Coupling a Bio-Geo-Chemistry module to HYCOM within the NASA-GISS climate model Anastasia Romanou, Columbia U. and NASA-GISS Rainer Bleck, NASA-GISS Watson.
Intro to Climate Modeling. Climate Model Types Box Model – ecosystems/studies of ocean circulation Zero-dimensional – effect of changes in solar output.
Climate vs Weather.
Global energy balance SPACE
Climate Change Intelligence For All
Fig. 2 shows the relationship between air temperature and relative humidity. 2 (a) (i) Describe the relationship shown in Fig. 2. [3] (ii) State.
Introduction to Land Information System (LIS)
IPCC Climate Change Report
The course finished last lesson but what are you missing?
What is a Climate Model?.
Fig. 2 shows the relationship between air temperature and relative humidity. (a) (i) Describe the relationship shown in Fig. 2. [3] (ii) State.
Climate Modeling General Circulation Models
The Carbon Cycle.
How will the earth’s temperature change?
What is a Climate Model?.
EdGCM Lab 3: Investigating How Ice Melt Will Drive Sea Level Rise
EdGCM EET Team Steve Ackerman – Scientist/College Educator
EdGCM Lab 1: Introducing EdGCM
EdGCM Lab 2: Using EdGCM to Visualize Climate Change
Presentation transcript:

EdGCM: Global Climate Modeling In The Classroom Mark Chandler, Ken Mankoff, Linda Sohl and Steven Richards NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, Columbia University edgcm.columbia.edu

EdGCM Project Objectives Allow educational institutions and individuals to run a global climate model on desktop computers Encourage students to participate in the full scientific process Experiment design Running simulations Analyzing data Reporting on results Facilitate collaborations between schools, universities, national labs, and the private sector so students become familiar with the role of teamwork in scientific research. Demystify how scientists forecast future climate change as a way to deal with public skepticism about global warming. EdGCM Objectives

GCM: General Circulation Model GCM: Global Climate Model Primary earth system components simulated by a GCM

Physical Processes Simulated by GCMs Seasonal and Diurnal Cycles Latent and Sensible Heat Fluxes Clouds and Convection Planetary Boundary Layer Greenhouse Gases Aerosols Sea Ice Ground Hydrology Ocean Heat Transport Physical processes simulated by GCMs, often through parameterizations Ocean Circulation Dynamic Vegetation Dynamic Ice Sheets Carbon Cycle Chemistry

Grid Point Models 3D grid point models (Henderson-Sellers, 1985)

Increased Grid Resolution Requires Increased Computing Power Increased Resolution Requires Increased Computing Resources Rule of thumb: 10X more CPU for a doubling of resolution 1980’s (EdGCM) GCM resolution and relation to computing power needs 2000’s 1990’s

Fundamental Physical Quantities & Equations At every grid cell GCMs calculate: Temperature (T) Pressure (P) Winds (U, V) Humidity (Q) Fundamental physical quantities: T, P, Winds (U,V), Q

But, What Is a GCM really?: A Computer Program Global_Warming_Sim2.R Model II 8/24/2000 Owner: Dr. Mark Chandler, chandler@giss.nasa.gov Group: Paleoclimate Group This experiment simulates climate change based on a 1 percent/year increase in CO2 Object modules: MainC9 DiagC9 RadC9 FFTC9 UTILC9 Data input files: 7=G8X10_600Ma 9=NOV1910.rsf_snowball 15=O8X10_600Ma 19=CD8X10_600Ma 23=V8X10_600Ma 26=Z8X101_600Ma 21=RTAU.G25L15 22=RPLK25 29=Snowball_Earth_Regions Label and Namelist: Global_Warming_Sim2 (Transient increase in CO2) &INPUTZ TAUI=10176.,IYEAR=1900, KOCEAN=1, SRCOR=.95485638151, S0X=1.,CO2=.31746031746031, USET=0.,TAUE=35040., USESLP=-12., ISTART=3,KCOPY=2,NDPRNT=-1,TAUE=10177.,TAUP=95616., C** INITIALIZE SOME ARRAYS AT THE BEGINNING OF SPECIFIED DAYS fName = './prt/'//JMNTH0(1:3)//CYEAR//'.prt'//LABEL1( IF(JDAY.NE.32) GO TO 294 JEQ=1+JM/2 DO 292 J=JEQ,JM DO 292 I=1,IM 292 TSFREZ(I,J,1)=JDAY JEQM1=JEQ-1 DO 293 J=1,JEQM1 DO 293 I=1,IM 293 TSFREZ(I,J,2)=JDAY GO TO 296 294 IF(JDAY.NE.213) GO TO 296 JEQM1=JM/2 DO 295 J=1,JEQM1 DO 295 I=1,IM 295 TSFREZ(I,J,1)=JDAY C**** INITIALIZE SOME ARRAYS AT THE BEGINNING OF EACH DAY 296 DO 297 J=1,JM DO 297 I=1,IM TDIURN(I,J,1)=1000. TDIURN(I,J,2)=-1000. TDIURN(I,J,6)=-1000. PEARTH=FDATA(I,J,2)*(1.-FDATA(I,J,3)) IF(PEARTH.GT.0.) GO TO 297 TSFREZ(I,J,1)=365. TSFREZ(I,J,2)=365. 297 CONTINUE Unix scripts and Fortran Code Requiring significant programming skills to operate GCMs are computer programs, mostly written in Fortran and requiring a fairly high level of programming skills to operate, let alone develop

Educational Global Climate Model What is EdGCM? Educational Global Climate Model A Global Climate Model - NASA/GISS Model II A suite of software wrapped around a GCM to make it easier to operate the GCM, post-process and visualize the simulated climate variables, and organize the large volumes of input and output data. EdGCM is a suite of software wrapped around a GCM to make it easier to operate, analyze output and organize large amounts of data/output

Design, Run, Organize Experiments EdGCM Design, Run, Organize Experiments Design, run and organize experiments through GUI that uses simple metaphors, forms, and spreadsheets

Analysis and Visualization EdGCM Analysis and Visualization Post-process all of the binary GCM output (hundreds of climate variables) Allow teachers to define variable sets Scientific Visualization Color and contour maps Line plots Data spreadsheets Post-Processing of GCM output: Analyze and visualize data

Creating Reports and Publishing EdGCM Creating Reports and Publishing Image Libraries eJournals Create reports with embedded graphics and publish to web Web-based Publishing

The EdGCM Cooperative Website The EdGCM website brings many additional capabilities to EdGCM users. A lot of support for using EdGCM and the GCM. The birth of a COOPERATIVE effort in global climate modeling that can truly democratize the field. Download Software and Materials Support and Discussion Forums Community and Student Showcases Video Tutorials and Manuals

Student Research Projects The "Anthropocene" Greenhouse Gas Effect Snowball Earth: The Effects of Obliquity Global Climate Change Effects on Agriculture in the Midwest Examing the Effectiveness of the Kyoto Protocol Effects of Varying Rates of Methane Emission on Global Climate Hundreds of student research projects edgcm.columbia.edu

Distribution, Training, and Development Over 40,000 copies in distribution, on 7 continents edgcm.columbia.edu