WHAT NOW? Prospects for Latin American Democracy.

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Presentation transcript:

WHAT NOW? Prospects for Latin American Democracy

APPROACHING THE QUESTION The People’s Verdict: Public Opinion The Taming of Democracy Looking Ahead: Prospects for Consolidation

THE TAMING OF DEMOCRACY The Onset of Mass Politics, : Popular mobilization Specters of revolution Grand policy schemes Strong states Targets of Threat Socioeconomic elite Middle classes Military United States

Making Democracy Safe, : Transitional pacts De-mobilization of labor and peasantry Evaporation of political left Ideological vacuum Declining strength of state Thus: spread and duration of electoral democracy Final queries: What to do about poverty? (Wasn’t that the problem?) What good is a democracy that isn’t dangerous?

LOOKING AHEAD Interim Developments, : Continuing spread of electoral democracy Presidential half-lives Economic growth (or lack of it) 9/11 and its aftermath The Problem of Consolidation Longevity? Of what? Deepening From illiberal to liberal democracy? Or not?