FYRIRLESTRAMARAÞON HR 2011 | RU LECTURE MARATHON 2011 Katrín Ólafsdóttir Viðskiptadeild KONUR OG KARLAR Í KREPPU.

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Presentation transcript:

FYRIRLESTRAMARAÞON HR 2011 | RU LECTURE MARATHON 2011 Katrín Ólafsdóttir Viðskiptadeild KONUR OG KARLAR Í KREPPU

Effects of crisis on the labor market Depends on flexibility of labor markets –Finland’s unemployment went up to nearly 20% –Iceland’s expected to stay close to 10% Reduced working hours (overtime, share of daytime) Unemployment Labor force participation rates Cut in nominal wages

Who gets hurt? People at the lower end of the income distribution. When it comes to wages women are generally harder hit than men. When it comes to employment men are hit worse by recession than women.

Sensitivity to economic cycle

Unemployment in Iceland

Employment in the U.S.

Unemployment in the U.S.

Unemployment in Iceland

“Second round effects” The government has in many countries stepped in to refinance the financial sector. Increase in public sector debt. Slowdown in economy means increased public sector deficit. Many governments will be forced to cut public services and benefits. This will hurt women much more than men as women are over 60% of public sector workers.

Unemployment in the UK

Changing structure in the labor market

Job matching might get tougher

What lies ahead? Difference in wages between men and women probably narrowed. Opportunites in reducing the gender gap in the labor market. Need to be open to changes in the structure of the labor market.