Unemployment and the BLS. Some Issues What do we mean by unemployment?

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Presentation transcript:

Unemployment and the BLS

Some Issues What do we mean by unemployment?

Some Issues What do we mean by unemployment? –What does the BLS mean by Unemployment? –What do economists mean by unemployment?

Some Issues What do we mean by unemployment? Is unemployment a good thing? –Why a healthy economy has unemployment –The natural rate of unemployment

Some Issues What do we mean by unemployment? Is unemployment a good thing? Unemployment and the Business Cycle

The BLS and Unemployment The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) publishes monthly unemployment data. Interviews a sample of 60,000 workers.

Classification Employed (E)– worked at least one hour for pay last month. Voluntarily unemployed (VU)– not employed and not looking for work (including people in college, prisons, military, retired, stay-at-home mothers, etc.) Involuntarily unemployed (IU) – not employed and actively looking for work

The Unemployment Rate Civilian Labor Force (CLF) Unemployment Rate (U) CLF = E + IU

A Critique The Idea is good. We want to know the CLF and the percent unemployed. Excluding children and Voluntary Employed makes sense The BLS also makes seasonal adjustments. –Unadjusted U goes up in June and down in December.

Some Issues Consider a worker who –Was fired for incompetence and now looking for a comparable job. IU

Some Issues Consider a worker who –Quit to have a baby. VU Some Issues –Consider a worker who Took early retirement. Would like a new position that does not involve relocation. Knows that nothing local is available. IU

Some Issues Consider a worker who –Works during tourist season in a dude ranch and draws unemployment compensation the rest of the year. IU

Some Issues Consider a worker who –Has a 15 hour a week job, but wants to get full time employment. E

Some Issues Consider a worker who –Was laid off two months ago. Expects to be rehired when demand picks up in a month or two. Doing repairs on the house. IU (Perhaps).

Some Issues Consider a worker who –Expects to graduate from college at the end of the semester, but is in despair about the chances of getting a job then. VU

The Process Involuntary Unemployed This Month Working This Month Voluntary Unemployed This Month Involuntary Unemployed Next Month Working Next Month Voluntary Unemployed Next Month

The Process Involuntary Unemployed This Month Working This Month Voluntary Unemployed This Month Involuntary Unemployed Next Month Working Next Month Voluntary Unemployed Next Month

U for different groups

U for different nations

End ©2003 Charles W. Upton. All rights reserved