Overview of Recent Public Opinion in Anne Arundel County By Dan Nataf, Ph.D. Director, Center for the Study of Local Issues Anne Arundel Community College.

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Presentation transcript:

Overview of Recent Public Opinion in Anne Arundel County By Dan Nataf, Ph.D. Director, Center for the Study of Local Issues Anne Arundel Community College May 24, 2011 www2.aacc.edu/csli

Overview of Survey Process CSLI – Part of Sarbanes Center for Public and Community Service at Anne Arundel Community College Operating since 1978 Mission: Provide students opportunities for engaged learning, community outreach Main activity – public interest surveys o Respondents randomly chosen from universe of listed telephone numbers combined with computer generated numbers o Typical sample size: respondents; students used as interviewers o Topics – wide ranging, economy, transportation, land use/growth, taxes/spending, schools… Last survey – March 7-10, 2011 – focus of this presentation 537 completed surveys Press releases available online. since 1978 www2.aacc.edu/csli

Polling Results for AA County Remarkable stability in right/wrong direction…

AA County Polling Results: Most Important Problem - Fall '04 to Spring '11 Economy – top concern with no recent changes

AA County Polling Results: Rate the Economy Percentage saying “excellent” or “good” also stable since March

AA County compared to USA – County looks around 35% better

AA County Polling Results: Mostly stable findings in % saying a condition ‘applies’ Little change except for fewer losses in stocks/retirement accounts

The economy: what else applies? Big jump in transportation costs

ConditionFall 2005 Spring 2011 Balancing the county budget (less spending, more revenues) 018 Providing enough jobs 816 Providing enough skills/training or otherwise improving education/schools 1112 Managing growth/development 278 Having enough infrastructure, roads, transportation 37 All other answers 5139 Total 100 Biggest Economic Challenge Facing the County – Items Mentioned in 2005 and 2011 Budget and jobs rise in importance

Perceptions of Decreases in Government Services AnswerPercentage Yes 26 No70 Don’t know, no answer 5 Total101 Services mentionedCases Percentage Roads39 24 Schools/teachers31 19 Library24 15 College tuition12 7 Fire10 6 Seniors services10 6 Jobs/furloughs/pay cuts 10 6 Police9 6 Staffing7 4 Child services6 4 MVA3 2 Mental health2 1 Total Most don’t see an impact from govt. belt-tightening

11 IssueSupportOpposeUnsure Imposing an additional fine of up to $1500 on drivers caught drunk driving86131 Permitting the use of off-shore wind power near Ocean City8010 Increasing the alcohol tax68293 Permitting the purchase of marijuana for medical purposes65297 Taking away drivers’ licenses from those who refuse to pay taxes64323 Increasing the use of cameras to ticket those running red lights59414 Making same sex marriages legal in Maryland47467 Making preparations to implement President Obama’s health care reform law43508 Limiting the use of binding arbitration when the county negotiates with public safety unions Allowing the children of illegal immigrants to pay in-state tuition for college33634 Increasing university tuition to maintain the quality of higher education32662 Reducing the pension and retiree health benefits of state workers28657 Promising state workers no furlough days, and providing them with a $750 bonus Increasing the county income tax to the maximum allowed by law to avoid cuts in essential services Increasing the gasoline tax to bolster the transportation trust fund17803 State and County Issues

Support Social Category% Party p=.01 Democrat57 Unaffiliated48 Republican35 Ideology p=.01 Liberal81 Moderate53 Conservative22 Religion p=.01 None/Non-practicing75 Jewish71 Spiritual but not part of organized religion 64 Other46 Catholic43 Protestant40 Some other Christian38 Evangelical30 Marital Status p=01. Single66 Married45 Gender p=.3 Female51 Male44 Age p= Race p=.3 Black30 White 49 Other (including Hispanic, Asian and unspecified ‘other’) 50 Demographics/Same Sex Marriage % saying “Support”

YesNoUnsure /N.A. Total President Obama’s state of the union speech? Governor O’Malley’s inaugural speech or his state of the state speech Watched County Council hearings being broadcast on local cable stations anytime over the last year? Watched, listened or read about …

Estimates% Under $1 billion4 $1 billion to $500 billion 17 $501 to $999 billion4 $ trillion21 $ trillion10 $ trillion22 $5-6 trillion6 Over $6 trillion17 Total101 Estimations of Federal Budget 51% estimated Estimates% Under $1 billion30 $ billion26 $6 to $10.99 billion 7 $ billion4 $ billion5 $ billion3 $31-40 billion1 Over $40 billion24 Total100 Estimates% Under $5 million22 $5-50 million18 $51 to $100 million 10 $ million8 $ million9 $ million7 $ billion14 $ billion3 $ billion4 Over $7 billion6 Total100 Estimations of County Budget 31% estimated Estimations of State Budget 31% estimated

Presidential Job Approval: Recent Rise …

: Presidential Job Approval: % approving of president’s job by party Bush Obama