Investigating the why of the commerce, by starting from a plausible primordial world model.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
What kind of vitamins,minerals,proteins do we need to take daily
Advertisements

What kind of citizen will you become?
Economics Chapter 1 Section 1.
7 Principles of an Eagle 1. Eagles fly alone at high altitude and not with sparrows or with other small birds. No other bird can go to the height of the.
Medical Hand Book-1 From: Er.Sulthan
Revision Compare and Contrast. Question 1: Study Sources B and C. How different are these two sources? EYA. Sources B and C are very different in their.
Evolution Study Guide Answers.
The Philosophy of Exotischism An Overview 85 In the period following World War II there were many books and articles published that showed how.

Genetic Programming: Hypothesis Evolution By Nam Nguyen Greg Nelson.
Social Science. Circular Flow  We are all part of the circular flow of economic activity by buying items with money that you acquire from working  Businesses.
Evolution Stations.
Principles of Transportation. Transportation: The movement of people and things over distances long and short A A B B 3 Feet 30 Yards A B 300 Miles.
The Evolution of Conventions H. Peyton Young Presented by Na Li and Cory Pender.
How Evolution Occurs Genetically.  Evolution occurs in _populations_ not _individuals.   Why? Within the _lifespan_ of one  individual, new features.
Simulating the Evolution of Contest Escalation Winfried Just and Xiaolu Sun Department of Mathematics and Edison Biotechnology Institute Ohio University.
Practical Investment Management
Patterns of Natural Selection
Evolution and Natural Selection
Subject: Principles of Accounts Title: Accounting Ratio and Interpretation of Accounts.
Snow Wolves By: Bailey and Jessie. Today me and Jess are going to tell you about the fearsome creatures… Wolves. Many people think that wolves are vicious.
Who cares for the kids? Male desertsMale stays Female deserts Offspring fitness not much improved with even 1 parent, or BOTH parents can increase number.
Learning dynamics,genetic algorithms,and corporate takeovers Thomas H. Noe,Lynn Pi.
CHAPTER 13 Efficiency and Equity. 2 What you will learn in this chapter: How the overall concept of efficiency can be broken down into three components—efficiency.
CHAPTER NINE MARKET EFFICIENCY © 2001 South-Western College Publishing.
Learning Objectives This chapter introduces the notions of supply and demand and shows how they operate in competitive markets for individual commodities.
The Four Conditions for Perfect Competition
Kangaroo’s. CONTENTS SAY HELLO TO KANGAROO’S The Kangaroo’s body Pouch FOOD PREDITORS LIVING LIFESTYLE.
Industrial Economics and Telecommunication Regulations IETR Banshri Raichana1.
Evolutionary TheorySection 1 Section 1: Developing a Theory Preview Key Ideas A Theory to Explain Change Over Time Darwin’s Ideas from Experience Darwin’s.
Endangered Species Conservation as a Context for Understanding Student Thinking about Genetic Diversity 2011 NARST Presentation Written by: Shawna McMahon.
Intro to Population: Major Concepts and Terms AP Human Geography.
Week 3a Mechanisms for Adaptation. POLS-GEOG-SOC 495 Spring Lecture Overview Review –CAS –Principles of chaos How do systems “learn”? –“Credit.
Comparative Psychology Evolution What is evolution & why are psychologists interested? What is evolution & why are psychologists interested? Reproductive.
Sight Words.
16-2 Evolution as Genetic Change
A sweat shop is a shop that goes to poor countries and make them work for money but the money is worthless and under what they should be paid. Most of.
Giraffes Slide Show By: Jessie N..
GENETIC ALGORITHM A biologically inspired model of intelligence and the principles of biological evolution are applied to find solutions to difficult problems.
Slide 1 of 40 Copyright Pearson Prentice Hall 16-2 Evolution as Genetic Change.
DECOI: Social Simulation - August Social Simulation Branimir Cace, Carlos Grilo, Arne Handt, Pablo Rabanal & Scott Stensland.
Human Population Size. Questions for Today: What are the Major Factors that affect Human Population Size? How are fertility rates analyzed? What are the.
GOOD MANNERS Good manners = polite and respectful behaviour. To respect our neighbour also means acting in order that everyone can have the same means.
Emergence in Artificial Societies Evolving Communication and Cooperation in a Sugarscape world by Pieter Buzing.
Practice Problems Actex Sections 0,1,2. Section 0 -- #1 The manufacturer of a certain product is conducting a marketing survey. The manufacturer started.
Principles of Our Market Economy  Circular flow – people exchange their labor to buy goods and services from many businesses.  Circular Flow - 8 minCall.
Unit III: Populations Chapter 8: Understanding Populations 8-1 How Populations Change in Size Population: all members of a species living in the same place.
World Population Change. What Is It? The population of the world grows according to two factors: birth rate and death rate. The relationship between these.
Population Demographic Transition Model. The changes in the birth and death rates and the effect on population can be shown on the Demographic Transition.
The Evolution of “An Experiment on Exit in Duopoly”
EFFICIENT MARKET HYPOTHESIS
Warm Up: 11/24 (Back of the NB) 1.Which of these would not be used by a scientist to determine the evolutionary relationship between two species? A. bone.
End Show Slide 1 of 40 Copyright Pearson Prentice Hall 16-2 Evolution as Genetic Change.
Female college students obtain a healthier breakfast than that of male college students. Objective To collect data from 30 random Jacksonville State College.
Thank You, M’am by Langston Hughes Review. 1. What is characterization? The methods a writer uses to develop the personality of a character. The methods.
UNIT 7 Choosing a Career: Doing What You Enjoy. Page: 96 What Do You Think? 44% of teenagers worked last summer. True or False?
ANT 121 Introduction to Sociology. What is sociology? The scientific and systematic study of society, social interaction and human behaviour.
If I were on a deserted island, who would I choose to be with me? (Making connections 8) Power point by: Lizzie P.
The story of the peppered moth: 1850: 1850: mostly speckled; a few dark 2000: 2000: mostly speckled; a few dark 1900: 1900: mostly dark; a few speckled.
LECTURE 9. Genetic drift In population genetics, genetic drift (or more precisely allelic drift) is the evolutionary process of change in the allele frequencies.
Breeding Swarms: A GA/PSO Hybrid 簡明昌 Author and Source Author: Matthew Settles and Terence Soule Source: GECCO 2005, p How to get: (\\nclab.csie.nctu.edu.tw\Repository\Journals-
+ Aggregate Supply Chapter Aggregate Supply (AS) Is the total amount of goods and services that all the firms in all the industries in a country.
The Seventh & Tenth Commandments You shall not steal You shall not covet your neighbor’s goods. These commandments both have to do with respecting creation.
Natural Selection The process whereby organisms better adapted (fit) to their environment tend to survive and produce more offspring Organisms NOT fit.
Basics of Our Economic System
Copyright Pearson Prentice Hall
16-2 Evolution as Genetic Change
16-2 Evolution as Genetic Change
Presentation transcript:

Investigating the why of the commerce, by starting from a plausible primordial world model.

Introduction Whereas in the animal world the apportionment of the resources, the food, follows hierarchical rules or is based upon winning a fight, human developed the habit to trade. This research is based on the investigation about a possible economical reason for the emergence of the commerce. The basic idea is that exchanging goods may be a more efficient way to share them than fighting: by trading the whole population may earn more and reach a major development.

1 - The world In a primordial landscape a bunch of cavemen are walking around, looking for food. In this world each guy is alone and have to be self sufficient. The trees offer a wide range of fruits and lot of animals jump on the grasses, but no way to preserve the food are known: every day cavemen have to walk for miles to find what they need. May be not enough food would have been collected, so the risk to starve is the real life partner of those primitive men.

2 - The Health To be healthy the cavemen have to eat both: fruits and meat. Eating a huge quantity of meat without eating fruit gives poor energy, as well as an only fruit based diet. The poorer is the diet, the weaker become the guy and a weak guy has few possibilities to survive and breed in this wild world. It is very important to find the right quantity of meat and fruit each day. Meeting another caveman offers the possibility to fight and steal her food, or to exchange extra food of a type to obtain some of the other type.

3 - Birth and Die The human fertility is very high, every time a woman run across a man, even if they are never met in the past, they try to have a baby. The healthy the mother is the higher is the possibility of birth. A single woman may have several baby at a time, each of them inherits randomly the behaviour of one of the parents. The average life is very short: after few years the probability to die rise dramatically.

4 - Meeting another caveman Every time a caveman meets a fellow man, her behaviour may be: Fighting in order to steal the food the opponent have not yet eaten. Trying to exchange fruit versus meat or vice versa, depending on the quantity each of the two guys is bringing.

5 - Results of the simulation During the simulations the traders always tended to overcome the fighters, it seem to be plausible saying that "trading is more economical efficient than fighting". Even if, the simulation was started with a strong prevalence of fighters, for instance 80%, the evolution leads to a traders based population. The more the fighters were the faster they tend to fade: probably they tended to fight among they selves till become very weak.

Starting with 0,5 Traders vs 0,5 Fighters

Starting with 0,3 Traders vs 0,7 Fighters

Starting with 0,2 Traders vs 0,8 Fighters

6 - Economical meaning The winner of a fight is always the more healthy, she picks up all the food the looser owns and runs away. The winner is the unique that takes advantages from the fight. By trading both the caveman may reach a profit: each of them by exchanging the exceeding food, fruit or meat, versus the insufficient one, meat or fruit. If both had the same food exceeding no exchanging would be done. Trading seems to fit better than fighting with the paradigm of the Nash's equilibrium.

The average health of the population rises when the number of fighters falls down.

9 - Further works The model will constitute the starting framework to be used to simulate other human abilities as: socialisation, workers specialisation, institution emergence and so on. This early version of the F&M model will be implemented by adding elements devoted to increase the plausibility of the simulation as: humans partnership, family bounding, clan ownership and similar. To allow agents to evolve their behaviour either ANNs and GAs will be employed.