GAME ON: Election 2004 A Few Reminders:  Democrat Convention in Boston July  Republican Convention in NYC August 30-September 2  Election Day November 2, 2004  Not a national election—state by state Electoral college: 270 to win Bush beat Gore (DC elector (D) abstained) If all states fell as they did that night Bush would win 278 electoral votes  [that means more than just WV (5) or NH (4) must move]  Close calls:  Gore wins in NM, WI, IA, OR  Bush in FL, NH, OH, WV  Buchanan and Nader in FL Swing states: FL, PA, OH, MI, WI, MO, IA, MN, NH, ME, WV, OR, NV, NM, AZ, or 163 swing electoral votes Bush = 196 solid, Dems = 179 solid Katharine Q. Seelye, “Shift in States May Give Bush Electoral Edge,” New York Times, December 2, 2003, p. A24. Robert David Sullivan, “Beyond Red and Blue,” Commonwealth, Winter 2003 online exclusive. eyond_red_blue.html Kerry vs. Bush  Core voters and Swing voters  Help Wanted  Turnout  Veeps: who and when?  Key role of Ohio?  OBL Factor

2000 Electoral Map Bush = Blue

2000 County Results

Resize the Map: So Close

Wow. Do it again?

Pick your state(s)…

Veep-Stakes