The Current Interglacial (Holocene) AOS 528, 11/29/07.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Short Background on Climate Change and Greenhouse Gases Dr Ruth Nussbaum ProForest Presentation to the RSPO GHG WG2 meeting in Feb 2010.
Advertisements

Changes in Atmospheric Constituents and in Radiative Forcing Part I Stautzebach Elena.
Climatology Climatology is the study of Earth’s climate and the factors that affect past, present, and future climatic changes. Climate describes the long-term.
Climate models in (palaeo-) climatic research How can we use climate models as tools for hypothesis testing in (palaeo-) climatic research and how can.
When Did the Anthropocene Begin
Global Warming ‘Political hype or reality?’ The Fernhurst Society - 5 April John Clement.
Abrupt Climate Change in the Glacial-Interglacial Record AOS 528, 11/27/07.
MET 112 Global Climate Change – Lecture 10 Observations of Recent Climate Change Dr. Craig Clements San Jose State University Outline  How do we observe?
Evidence for Milankovitch theory (wikipedia!). Px272 Lect 3: Forcing and feedback Balance of solar incoming, and earth emitted outgoing radiation Increments.
Explaining the Evidence Activity 2: Clearing the Air.
Glacial-Interglacial Variability Records of the Pleistocene Ice Ages
1. How has the climate changed during the recent past? 2. What can we say about current climate change? 3. How do climate models work and what are their.
Protecting our Health from Climate Change: a Training Course for Public Health Professionals Chapter 2: Weather, Climate, Climate Variability, and Climate.
5. Future climate predictions Global average temperature and sea-level are projected to rise under all IPCC scenarios Temperature: +1.8°C (B1) to +4.0°C.
Lesson 1 Greenhouse Gases. What are greenhouse gases? Greenhouse gases absorb infrared radiation from the sun and trap heat in the atmosphere – Carbon.
How is the average temperature of Earth determined? Jot down a few ideas Sketch a map of the room. Show the locations of each water container. When directed,
Global Warming Human-driven Climate Change Climate Change is Not New The Earth has historically gone through alternating periods of global warming and.
Paleoclimatology Why is it important? Angela Colbert Climate Modeling Group October 24, 2011.
Impact of GHG Regulations and Controls on Global Warming James E. Norris Senior Environmental Consultant, Hargrove Engineers + Constructors Adjunct Professor,
3.3 Theory of Climate Change
Chapter 19 Global Change.  Global change- any chemical, biological or physical property change of the planet. Examples include cold temperatures causing.
Miss Nelson SCIENCE ~ CHAPTER 9 CLIMATE. Climate Change SECTION 4.
What do Greenhouse Gases Do? Kevin Czajkowski University of Toledo
DAILY REVIEW #9 29. What happens in the Arctic Ocean that drives the thermohaline circulation? 30. Why is the thermohaline circulation important to climate?
What is Loess? What was the European climate like during the last glacial maximum? How did the 19 th century scientists know there were ice ages? How much.
Bern, 9 November 2007 Annual meeting 2007 Global Warming Lennart Bengtsson Global Warming Professor Lennart Bengtsson Max Planck Institut für Meteorologie,
Cynthia M. Fadem Earlham College Climate of Change Climate of Change InTeGrate Module Unit 5 Our Climat e in Conte xt.
Bellringer Do you think average seasonal temperatures have changed in the past few years? How do you think recent temperatures may compare.
Glaciers. Astronomical Control of Solar Radiation Earth's present-day orbit around the Sun Earth's present-day orbit around the Sun  Not permanent 
I. I.Climate Change – Greenhouse Gases A. A.Background Greenhouse Effect Gases absorb heat Natural Greenhouse Effect Mean planetary temperature = 15 o.
Samayaluca Dune Field, south of Juarez, Chihuahua Global Climate Change.
CCSM PaleoClimate Working Group Transient Mid-Holocene Simulation Caspar Ammann Bette Otto-Bliesner Esther Brady Carrie Morrill Fortunat Joos Raimond Mueschler.
Earth’s Changing Environment Lecture 13 Global Warming.
Lecture 8 The Holocene and Recent Climate Change.
Chapter 19 Global Change. Global change-Global change- any chemical, biological or physical property change of the planet. Examples include cold temperatures.
Quaternary Environments Climate and Climatic Variation.
Global Warming Cause for Concern. Cause for Concern? What is the effect of increased levels of carbon dioxide in the Earth’s atmosphere? Nobody knows.
Chapter 10 Climate Change Geosystems 6e An Introduction to Physical Geography Robert W. Christopherson Charles E. Thomsen.
Global warming and climate change – the causes. Temperatures are rising.
A paleoperspective on the carbon cycle-climate system Fortunat Joos Climate and Environmental Physics and Oeschger Centre of Climate Change Research University.
Greenhouse Gases & the Greenhouse Effect. General Information Greenhouse gases (GHG) were naturally found in the environment before the industrial revolution.
21.3 Climate Change. Natural Processes That Change Climate Volcanic eruptions The presence of volcanic ash, dust, & aerosols in the air increases the.
Greenhouse Effect Mechanisms Affecting the Greenhouse Evidence for Climate Change.
Anthropogenic Climate Change. Global Temperature is Increasing.
THE GREENHOUSE EFFECT Greenhouse Gases:  chemical compounds in the atmosphere that trap heat  they retain a proportion of the sun’s heat through the.
Ice Cores, Stable Isotopes, and Paleoclimate
Fundamentals Atmosphere Climate Variation Greenhouse Effect Climate Drivers Carbon Cycle Energy Balance System Inertia Geologic time Causes of Climate.
Physics of Planetary Climate Cors221: Physics in Everyday Life Fall 2010 Module 3 Lecture 8: Climate During This Interglacial.
E.A. Mathez, 2009, Climate Change: The Science of Global Warming and Our Energy Future, Columbia University Press. Source: Solomon et al., 2007 Chapter.
Climate Change: Causes and Evidence Part 1.. Climate Change What is the cause? How do we know? What is the Keeling Curve? How much CO 2 is in the atmosphere.
MonthDayLectureActivityChap. Nov.21Ecosystems IIServices56 26Global C cycle56 Dec.3Thinking ecologically I 5Thinking ecologically II Eco. literacy 10Exam.
Willie Soon. Introduction 1. The relationship between atmospheric CO2 and CH4 concentrations, temperature, and ice-sheet volume 2. Atmospheric CO2 radiative.
GREENHOUSE EFFECT Is it getting warmer?.
Evolution of Earth’s Greenhouse Effect Jeffrey T. Kiehl National Center for Atmospheric Research.
1.3 What are the causes of climate change? a)The evidence for climate change b)The atmospheric processes that result in climate change c)The relative.
Climate Change November 4, Global Climate Change Global Warming – describes a rapid increase in the temperature of Earth’s surface, water, and atmosphere,
Milankovitch Cycles (Images from Unversity of Montana geology department website)
Chapter 19 Global Change.  Global change- any chemical, biological or physical property change of the planet. Examples include cold temperatures causing.
Climate Model Tests of the Early Anthropogenic Hypothesis Steve Vavrus Center for Climatic Research University of Wisconsin Bill Ruddiman (U. Virginia),
Chapter 19 Global Change.  Global change- any chemical, biological or physical property change of the planet. Examples include cold temperatures causing.
© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 18 Preparation and Our Dynamic Climate AP Environmental Science Mr. Grant Lesson 48.
WHAT IS IT AND WHAT ARE SCIENTISTS DOING TO GATHER INFORMATION ABOUT IT? Climate Change.
Chapter 19 Global Change.  Global change- any chemical, biological or physical property change of the planet. Examples include cold temperatures causing.
Global Warming Environmental Science January 4, 2011.
CLIMATE CHANGE. CLIMATE VS. WEATHER ClimateWeather Short TermLong Term Limited AreaWide Area Changes RapidlySeasonal Changes Difficult to PredictMeasured.
Schematic framework of anthropogenic climate change drivers, impacts and responses to climate change, and their linkages (IPCC, 2007).
Unit 4 Lesson 7 Climate Change Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Publishing Company.
Climate Change CH 19.
Climate.
Presentation transcript:

The Current Interglacial (Holocene) AOS 528, 11/29/07

Approximately 11,600 years ago to the present Increasingly modified by human activities Land use causes local climate effects Altered atmospheric composition causes global climate effects Records of long and short-term climate change: Alpine glaciers Monsoons El Niño-Southern Oscillation The Holocene

Orbital Variations Volcanic eruptions Changes in amplitude and occurrence Solar luminosity variations Much study (Particularly at NASA. Why?), Minimal effects Greenhouse gas concentrations Waning Ice Sheets Effects on albedo and atmospheric circulation Holocene Climate Forcings

Orbital Variations Volcanic eruptions Changes in amplitude and occurrence Solar luminosity variations Much study (Particularly at NASA. Why?), Minimal effects Greenhouse gas concentrations Waning Ice Sheets Effects on albedo and atmospheric circulation Holocene Climate Forcings

The Holocene and Orbital Variations

N. HEM. SUMMER INSOLATION Incident Shortwave Radiation over Land, Ocean and GloballyIncident Shortwave Radiation at 10Kyr, 6Kyr, and 0Kyr BP Specified SSTPredicted SST

NW African Climate INSOLATION and PRECIP EFFECTS deMenocal et al., Science, 2000 Summer Radiation (W/m 2 ) Simulated Precipitation Change in centimeters

INSOLATION and PRECIP EFFECTS Source: PMIP (Paleoclimate Model Intercomparison Project) and the Global Lake Status Database, (GLSDB: Kohfeld and Harrison, 2000, Harrison et al., 2003) Effect of Insolation on the African Monsoon

Holocene Greenhouse Gases Known from ice cores Carbon Dioxide (CO 2 ) 10-8kyr: decreases 7ppm 8kyr-preindustrial: increases 20ppm Methane (CH 4 ) 10-6kyr: decreases 150ppb 6-preindustrial: increases 150ppb Nitrous Oxide (N 2 O) 10-8kyr: decreases 10ppb 8-2kyr: increases 10ppb

Holocene Greenhouse Gas Forcing Total combined Holocene greenhouse gas forcing was about 0.5 W/m 2 CO 2 = 0.4 W/m 2 N 2 O+CH 4 = 0.1 W/m 2 Flueckiger et al., 2002 N2ON2O CH 4 CO 2 T

The Anthropocene? Why were GHG concentrations varying before the industrial age? Ruddiman,

Term Paper Instructions 3.Required sections: a)Introduction b)Model Description c)Experiment Description d)Results e)Discussion (interpret and contextualize results) f)Conclusions (and Future Work)

Term Paper Instructions 1.Due dates: December 8th and 13th (midnight) 2.Term Paper Instructions a)10-15 pages, single-spaced including: -Title page -Figures -References (at least 5) b)1 inch margins, 12pt font c)All figures must have captions d)Each person must contribute some material

Term Papers Due Dec. 13th Presentations:Thursday, December 6th (during class) Group 2: Phillips, Schiferl The Effectiveness of the Kyoto Protocol Group 7: Schmidt, Bruskewitz, Serwe: Title? Group 8: Schuh, Moore, Olson Effects of Global Warming on Agriculture Production in the Midwest Group 9: Kirchner, Shewczyk, Welhouse Global Climate Change's Effects On Agriculture Group 10: Franklin, Obbink, Orland The Effects of Orbital Forcings During Mid-Pliocene Global Warming

Presentations:Thursday, December 20th (10:05am) Group 1: Lubcaynka, Moua, Propheter US and China's Affect on Global Warming Group 3: Caruso, Maloney, Schmelzer Title? Group 4: Schreiber, Brown "Peak Oil" Predictions and Their Effect on Future Warming Group 5: Asuma, Caves, Koch A Comparison of Global Climate Effects Due to Varying Rates of Methane Introduction Group 6: Marsicek, Ronnei, McCarville Using Drought Index to Analyze Potential Impacts on the Tropical Rainforest By Increasing CO2 and Solar Luminosity Group 11: Hladish, Kampa A Potential Glacial Maximum in the Future? Term Papers Due Dec. 8th