Dr Paul Jelfs Assistant Statistician Social Analysis and Reporting Australian Social Trends 2008 seminar, Darwin 27 August 2008.

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Presentation transcript:

Dr Paul Jelfs Assistant Statistician Social Analysis and Reporting Australian Social Trends 2008 seminar, Darwin 27 August 2008

The Herald-Sun, 24 July The Age, 24 July The Australian, 24 July The Herald-Sun, 24 July The Canberra Times, 24 July The Courier Mail, 24 July The Australian Financial Review, 24 July

Today's seminar Population Family and community Health Education and training Work Economic resources Housing Other areas of concern

Population Population distribution …by remoteness areas …change Towns of the mineral boom …which towns? …socio-demographic changes

Remoteness Areas and population distribution at 30 June 2006 Source: ABS preliminary Estimated Resident Population

Population change 1996–2006(a) (a) Average annual growth rate Source: ABS preliminary Estimated Resident Population

Population change in States and Territories 1996–2006(a) (a) Average annual growth rate Source: ABS Estimated Resident Population

Australian population structure 2006 Source: ABS Experimental Estimates of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Australians, 2006

NT population structure 2006 Source: ABS Experimental Estimates of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Australians, 2006

NT Indigenous population structure 2006 Source: ABS Experimental Estimates of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Australians, 2006

S tates and Territories: Indigenous population 2006 Source: ABS Population Characteristics, Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Australians, 2006 Proportion of total Indigenous population Proportion of State/Territory population

Remoteness Areas: Indigenous population 2006 Source: ABS Population Characteristics, Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Australians, 2006

Interstate Migration Source: Australian Demographic Statistics NSW WA NT Vic ACT Tas SA Qld

Towns of the minerals boom Rapid population growth High proportion employed in mining

Population of boom towns Source: 2001 and 2006 ABS Censuses of Population and Housing

Population growth in boom towns Source: 2001 and 2006 ABS Censuses of Population and Housing; Australian Demographic Statistics

Male:female ratios in boom towns Source: 2001 and 2006 ABS Censuses of Population and Housing

Income of full-time workers in boom towns Source: 2001 and 2006 ABS Censuses of Population and Housing; Consumer Price Index, Australia

How many children have women in Australia had? Source: 1986, 1996 and 2006 Censuses of Population and Housing

Completed fertility Source: 1986, 1996 and 2006 Censuses of Population and Housing

Children ever born to Indigenous women ,300 Indigenous women aged 40–44 years in Average number of children ever born among these women was 2.8 Higher than among non-Indigenous women, at 2.0

Children ever born by mother's age 2006 Source: 2006 Census of Population and Housing

Family and Community Voluntary work …increase in voluntary work …who is volunteering regularly? …what type of volunteering are they doing?

Volunteering rates Source: ABS 2006 Voluntary Work Survey

Volunteering rates: States and Territories Source: ABS 2006 Voluntary Work Survey % Persons

Regular volunteering by age and sex 2006 Source: ABS 2006 Voluntary Work Survey

Regular volunteering by age 2006 (a) Mainly urban areas only Source: ABS 2006 Voluntary Work Survey

Regular volunteers by type of organisation 2006 Source: ABS 2006 Voluntary Work Survey

Health Risk taking by young people … alcohol, drugs & dangerous driving …hospitalisation & death Complementary therapies … have become more common …who are they & who is seeing them?

Risk taking by young people Short term risky/high risk drinking at least once a week — 2007 Source: AIHW 2007 National Drug Strategy Household Survey

Dangerous driving related offences 2006–07 Source: ABS Criminal Courts Collection – Exceeding the legal alcohol limit – Driving under the influence – Dangerous or negligent driving – Speeding

Alcohol and drug-related hospitalisation of young people 2005–06 Source: AIHW Hospital Morbidity Database – Males, drug use – Females, drug use – Males, acute alcohol intoxication – Females, acute alcohol intoxication

Transport accident deaths (15-24 years) Source: ABS Causes of Death collection

Transport accident deaths (15-24 years)

External causes deaths among young people aged years

Age-specific death rates(a) Source: Deaths, Australia 2006 (a) Data for Qld, SA, WA and NT combined MalesFemales

Indigenous : non-Indigenous death rate ratios(a) Source: Deaths, Australia 2006 (a) Data for Qld, SA, WA and NT combined

Complementary therapies Number of complementary therapists is small but growing quickly, from 4,787 in 1996 to 8,595 in Fastest growing occupation group is osteopaths Leading occupation groups are naturopaths and chiropractors

Complementary therapists Source: 1996 & 2006 Censuses of Population and Housing

Characteristics of therapists 2006 Source: ABS 2006 Census of Population and Housing

Visits to therapists (last two weeks) Source: ABS 2004–05 National Health Survey Referral patterns Now covered by health funds Acceptance of effectiveness Higher disposable income

Age pattern of consultations with complementary therapists 2004–05 Source: ABS 2004–05 National Health Survey

Education Education across Australia …school retention rates …non-school qualifications

Proportion of Australians with a non-school qualification (Ages 25-64) Source: ABS Survey of Education and Work – Total with a non-school qualification – Advanced diploma and diploma or below – Bachelor degree or above

Non-school qualification by Area (Ages 25-64) Source: ABS 1996 and 2006 Censuses of Population and Housing %

With non-school qualifications: people aged 25–64 years (a) Refers to mainly urban areas only Source: ABS Survey of Education and Work

Persons aged 25–64 years with non-school qualifications Source: ABS 1996 and 2006 Censuses of Population and Housing IndigenousNon-Indigenous

Year 7/8 to year 12 retention rates Source: National Schools Statistics Collection

Year 7/8 to year 12 retention rates Source: National Schools Statistics Collection

Year 7/8 to year 12 retention rates Source: National Schools Statistics Collection

Year 7/8 to year 12 retention rates: States and Territories 2007 Source: National Schools Statistics Collection

Year 7/8 to year 12 retention rates Source: National Schools Statistics Collection

People aged 19 years who had completed Year Source: ABS 2006 Census of Population and Housing

Education participation rate (Ages 15-24) Source: ABS Survey of Education and Work

Education participation rate(a) (Ages 15-24) (a) Data for NT refer to mainly urban areas only Source: ABS Survey of Education and Work

Education participation rate(a) (Ages 15-24) (a) Data for NT refer to mainly urban areas only Source: ABS Survey of Education and Work

Work Labour force participation across Australia … sex and age …part-time and full-time employment Trade union members … sex and age …industry type

Labour force participation rate by sex Source: ABS Labour Force Survey

Labour force participation rate by age and sex 2008 Source: ABS Labour Force Survey

Labour force participation rate: people aged 55–64 years Source: ABS Labour Force Survey

Labour force participation rate: States and Territories, for people aged years Source: ABS Labour Force Survey

Labour force participation rate: Indigenous persons (15 years and over) Source: 1996 and 2006 Census of Population and Housing

Employment trends for people aged 15–64 years Source: ABS Labour Force Survey..as a proportion of total employment

Trade union membership Unionisation rates by sex Source: Trade Union Members, Australia, August 1986, Employee Earnings, Benefits and Trade Union Membership, Australia, August 2007

Unionisation rates by age Source: 1986 Survey of Trade Union Members and 2007 Survey of Employee Earnings, Benefits and Trade Union Membership. Trade union membership

Unionisation rates: States and Territories Source: Trade Union Members, Australia, August 1986, Employee Earnings, Benefits and Trade Union Membership, Australia, August 2007

Unionisation rates by selected industry 1997 to 2007 Source: 1997 Survey of Weekly Earnings of Employees and 2007 Survey of Employee Earnings, Benefits and Trade Union Membership

The number of industrial disputes have also declined...from 1,519 in 1987 to 135 in 2007 Source: Industrial Disputes, Australia,Dec 2007

Economic Resources Government benefits, taxes and household income …on household type Women's incomes …change over time

Real net national disposable income per person(a) (a) Chain volume measure, reference year Source: Australian System of National Accounts

Household income Mean weekly equivalised household income by income groups Source: ABS Survey of Income and Housing

Household income: States and Territories 2005–06 Source: ABS Survey of Income and Housing Mean weekly equivalised household income for all households

Government taxes and benefits... redistribute economic resources from people with higher private incomes to those with lower private incomes Final income = Private income + Govt cash benefits – income tax + social transfers in kind – taxes on production Private income: all forms of income except govt cash benefits. Govt cash benefits: mainly pensions & allowances, family payments, baby bonus, rent assistance etc. Social transfers in kind: include the value of goods & services provided or subsidised by govt. e.g. schooling, Medicare services, child care. Taxes on production: intermediate taxes that producers pay in process of production and are passed on to consumers + GST and excise

From private to final income 2003–04(a) (a) Average weekly value Source: Government Benefits, Taxes and Household Income, Australia, 2003–04

Net effect of taxes and benefits on the household income of selected life course groups 2003–04(a) (a) Average weekly value Source: Government Benefits, Taxes and Household Income, Australia,

Proportion of men and women in gross personal income quintiles 1982 Source: Surveys of Income and Housing

Proportion of men and women in gross personal income quintiles 1995–96

Source: Surveys of Income and Housing Proportion of men and women in gross personal income quintiles 2005–06

Housing Renter Households …renting versus home ownership First home buyers …rising cost of home loans Housing and services in remote Indigenous communities …need for repairs …overcrowding

Proportion of households renting 1995–96 to 2005–06 (a) Includes households renting from other landlords Source: ABS Surveys of Income and Housing

Proportion of households renting 2006 Source: ABS Census of Population and Housing

Mean weekly housing costs and disposable household income after housing costs Adjusted to 2005–06 dollars Source: ABS Surveys of Income and Housing

First home buyers During the year to March 2008 there were 135,000 housing finance commitments to first home buyers......equivalent to 6.4 commitments per 1,000 people Between 1991 and 2008 average home loan commitments to first home buyers increased from $96,100 to $215,000

Annual housing finance commitments to first home buyers Source: Housing Finance Australia, Australia, April 2008, Australian Demographic Statistics, December Quarter Period in which FHBs were eligible for the additional grant on top of FHOG (March 01 to June 02) Introduction of the FHOG (July 2000)

Average real housing loan commitment to first home buyers Source: ABS Housing finance, Australia, RBA Bulletin Statistical Tables 000s

Real change in the size of an average housing loan to a first home buyer Source: Housing Finance, Australia, April 2008; Consumer Price Index, Australia, March Quarter 2008

Housing in remote Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Communities In 2006, 57% of Australia's remote Indigenous communities were located in the Northern Territory

Need for major repairs or replacement Permanent dwellings, remote Indigenous communities Northern Territory Remote Indigenous communities include Remote and Very Remote IHOs Source: Community Housing and Infrastructure Needs Survey

In 2006, more people in remote Indigenous communities had a town supply as their main source of water up from 12% in 2001 to 28% in 2006 There have been improvements in the availability and quality of infrastructure services in remote communities Remote Indigenous communities include Remote and Very Remote IHOs Source: Community Housing and Infrastructure Needs Survey

Overcrowding in Indigenous households 2006, Northern Territory Source: Census of Population and Housing

Other Areas of Social Concern Internet access at home … increase in Internet connections...types of Internet connections

Proportion of Australian households with access to the Internet Source: Household Use of Information Technology, Australia.

Internet use by education and income 2006 Source: 2006 Census of Population and Housing % Household income quintile

Proportion of households with access to the Internet: States and Territories Source: Household Use of Information Technology, Australia.

Internet access: Northern Territory Source: 2006 Census of Population and Housing Indigenous people, 2006

Proportion of Australian households with Dial-up or Broadband Internet connection Source: Household Use of Information Technology, Australia,

Type of Internet access: State and Territory, 2006 Source: ABS 2006 Census of Population and Housing.

Coming soon... AST review …frequency of release …format AST 2009 …unpaid housework …superannuation …homelessness

What have we missed?

Further information Australian Social Trends ABS catalogue number Dr Paul Jelfs Phone: (02) Linda Fardell Phone: (02)