PEER Summative Meeting 13 June 2007 Implementation, Adoption, and Stakeholder Perspectives Peter J. May University of Washington

PEER Summative Meeting 13 June 2007 PEER research has addressed: Decision Considerations & Heuristics How stakeholders think about earthquake performance Role of experts, codes, and uncertainty in these choices Implementation and Adoption Considerations Lessons from past earthquake engineering innovations Barriers to adoption and future scenarios for PBEE adoption Societal and Regulatory Considerations Benefits of performance-based approaches Regulatory systems implications Relevant PEER Research

PEER Summative Meeting 13 June 2007 Decision Considerations (J. Meszaros – PEER research) Issue Surfacing Portfolio of Objectives PBEE Analysis Choice(s) Code-based Environment 0-1 Logic 3-D model: Deaths Dollars Downtime Site specific Preferred Metrics Stages in Low Probability High Consequence Investment Decisions Individuals, Consortium have varied concerns

PEER Summative Meeting 13 June 2007 Contributions of PEER Decision Research Lessons for communicating PBEE results Role of “the three D’s” – death, dollars, and downtime as they relate to decision-making by owners and others Importance of multiple ways of presenting PBEE assessments Results from the Van Nuys Testbed

PEER Summative Meeting 13 June 2007 Adoption Issues for Prior Earthquake Engineering Innovations Key Barriers High perceived (or real) costs of the required analyses or technologies Lack of agreed upon standards or guidelines Lack of necessary computational power and analysis routines Lack of data concerning performance of structures Reluctance of some of the engineering community to incorporate the advances into practice Key Facilitators Actions to overcome the above barriers Documented uses of methodologies and their benefits Willingness of early adopters to share experiences Implementation and Adoption Research (May and Koski 2002 PEER research)

PEER Summative Meeting 13 June 2007 Contributions of PEER Implementation and Adoption Research Shaping PEER’s efforts to stimulate adoption and implementation Imagining future scenarios for PBEE adoption

PEER Summative Meeting 13 June 2007 Regulatory and Societal Considerations (May and others 2003, 2006)

PEER Summative Meeting 13 June 2007 Societal Perspectives -- Benefits (May 2007) The benefits of PBEE are the “value added” of information in quantifying performance and addressing uncertainties

PEER Summative Meeting 13 June 2007 Related PEER Research Activities PEER Catastrophic Risk Workshop Engaging economists, engineers, and others in discussing risk Earthquake performance and “cat bonds” PEER Inter-jurisdictional Regulatory Coordinating Committee Workshop Regulatory officials from around the word met with PEER experts to discuss risk-based regulatory standards Tri-Center FEMA “Guidance for Seismic Safety Advocates” Project to take lessons from social science research for communicating about policy considerations for earthquake hazard reduction

PEER Summative Meeting 13 June 2007 We have sought to influence:  How policy and other decisions about seismic safety investments are made.  Future codes and guidelines as a primary means for enhancing seismic safety.  Engineering practice and education.  Future research directions for improving the scientific base for performance-based engineering. PEER research is about more than buildings, bridges, lifelines, or technologies

PEER Summative Meeting 13 June 2007 The broadest societal benefits of the performance-based approach are not just wiser decisions about seismic objectives and design, but the design and construction of safer facilities and of more resilient infrastructure