BARACK OBAMA AND THE POLITICS OF HOPE (?). RATIONALES FOR ALTERNATIVES U.S. loss of “soft power” Continuing frustration in Latin America Importance of.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
MDAW 2013: DCH & MBK.  Realism  Idealism  Liberalism  Marxism  Critical Theory(s)
Advertisements

US Foreign Policy in the Age of Obama Renewal, Return, and Continuity Michael Baun Valdosta State University.
USING ECONOMIC TOOLS TO BUILD RELATIONSHIPS Economic Engagement.
The Rise of Brazil and South America March 25, 2014.
POLS 550 Comparative Politics September 28, 2006.
Today  Updates: Kenya and Chad  Simulation: your country assignments  The Cold War, /91 Causes of the Cold War  Cuban Missile Crisis  The.
Neo-realists – neo-liberals The debate to date. Neo-realism Neo-Liberalist.
PLS 341: American Foreign Policy Theories in IR The Several Realisms.
1 Russia and the USA over Iraq: attitudes and decision-making Anna Smirnova Yaroslavl State University Prepared for presentation at the International Student.
BARACK OBAMA AND THE POLITICS OF HOPE (?). RATIONALES FOR ALTERNATIVES U.S. loss of “soft power” Continuing frustration in Latin America Importance of.
OPPORTUNITIES FOR LATIN AMERICA?. THE WAR ON TERROR U.S.-imposed rules of the game Ideological divisions: left, right, center Prevalence of democratic.
BARACK OBAMA AND THE POLITICS OF HOPE (?). RATIONALES FOR ALTERNATIVES U.S. loss of “soft power” Continuing frustration in Latin America Importance of.
BARACK OBAMA AND THE POLITICS OF HOPE (?). RATIONALES FOR ALTERNATIVES U.S. loss of “soft power” Continuing frustration in Latin America Importance of.
CHANGING ROLES OF THE MILITARY. ASSIGNMENTS Smith, Democracy, ch. 3 Modern Latin America, ch. 13.
THE RISE OF THE NEW LEFT. GWB AND LATIN AMERICA 1.Lack of high-level attention 2.Abandonment of negotiations with Mexico for immigration reform 3.Overriding.
GEORGE BUSH AND THE WAR ON TERROR. READING Smith, Talons, ch. 10 DFC, chs. 1, 3.
THE RISE OF THE NEW LEFT. CONTEXT Rise of China Autonomy for Latin America Breakdown of ideological consensus Securitizing U.S.-Latin American relations.
WHAT NOW? Democracy and U.S.-Latin American Relations.
LIBERAL AND ILLIBERAL DEMOCRACY. READINGS Smith, Democracy, chs
U.S. Foreign Policy in Latin America and The Move to the Left.
States and International Environmental Regimes. Today: Examine IR theories that focus on states as units of analysis in explaining cooperation Are these.
{ U.S. FOREIGN POLICY ON LATIN AMERICA Jeanne Almeida Dan Haines Alex May Kawansi Taylor.
Union of South American Nations or UNASUR By: Jessica, Brandyn, Shannon, and Tristan.
Foreign Policy and National Security
American Government and Politics Today
Jean-Marc Coicaud Professor of Law and Global Affairs Director of the Division of Global Affairs.
Unit 6: The United States in an Age of Global Crisis Unit 7: The World in Uncertain Times.
Liberalism: Conclusion Lecture 14. The Question of the Month How Can Countries Move from Anarchy, War of All Against All, to Cooperation? Security Dilemma.
THE 9TH INTERNATIONAL ANTI-CORRUPTION CONFERENCE GENERAL SECRETARIAT OAS.
BARACK OBAMA AND LATIN AMERICA. WHAT DRIVES FOREIGN POLICY? Generosity Friendship Proximity Repayment of historical debt –Or Self-centered national interest.
INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS THEORIES: PLURALISM OR LIBERALISM
REVIEW AND OVERVIEW WINTER 2015 LATI 50. Why Latin America? It’s big It’s there It’s here It’s a mirror It’s a paradox.
Analyzing National Security Policy Strategic Policy-Making.
The Post-Cold War Era And the Global War on Terror.
Green Paper on National Strategic Planning The Presidency November 2009.
Post-9/11 US Foreign Policy Paul Bacon Waseda University.
SOME BASICS
Jane Bridwell Josiah Gilliam Asami Kunimoto Adriana Santamaría.
EUROPEAN VALUES AS A UNITING FORCE IN SOUTH-EAST EUROPE.
Inter-American Drug Abuse Control Commission (CICAD) EXPERT GROUP ON DEMAND REDUCTION October 22-24, Argentina Organization of American States (OAS)
The Post-Cold War Era And the Global War on Terror.
POSTER LAYOUT. THE LIFE OF T HE PARTIES THE LIFE OF T HE PARTIES RepublicanDemocrat.
The Prospects for Global Democracy Sylvia Espinoza, Ai Morimoto, Midori Araki, Xi Jia, Risa Takahashi International Studies 190 Professor Peter Smith April.
Foreign Policies of McKinley, Roosevelt, Taft, & Wilson
Foreign Policy Strategy and FP Politics in a New Era W - 6.
POSTER LAYOUT DEMOCRATREPUBLICAN SYMBOLS WORDS/CONCEPTS PLATFORMS NAMES QUOTES.
Latin America Regional and Global Issues. Environment n Economic growth occurs at the expense of the environment. Countries worried about feeding their.
Democracy By the mid 1980’s some military governments were returned to civilian controlBy the mid 1980’s some military governments were returned to civilian.
National & International Political Divisions Francisci WG.10b.
Copyright © 2014 Cengage Learning FOREIGN POLICY AND NATIONAL SECURITY Chapter Seventeen.
THE GLOBAL WAR ON TERROR. READING Smith, Talons, ch. 10 DFC, chs. 1, 3 CR #4: Smith, “Global Scenarios”
WHAT NOW? Democracy and U.S.-Latin American Relations.
OPPORTUNITIES FOR LATIN AMERICA?. THE WAR ON TERROR U.S.-imposed rules of geopolitical game Co-existence with geo-economic game Latin America:  “spectator”
US and Latin America US - Latin America Relations Historical overviews of the complex relations between the United States and its southern neighbors. US.
Presentation by Dr. Kevin Lasher. TrumanKennan.
WHAT’S UP? OBAMA AND LATIN AMERICA. What Drives Foreign Policy? Generosity Friendship Proximity Repayment of historical debt Or Self-centered national.
Unclassified MG. L. HOXHA Skopje, 21 st of June 2005 REPUBLIC OF ALBANIA MINISTRY OF DEFENCE GENERAL STAFF OF THE ARMED FORCES.
BARACK OBAMA AND LATIN AMERICA. WHAT DRIVES FOREIGN POLICY? Generosity Friendship Proximity Repayment of historical debt –Or Self-centered national interest.
ASEAN Matters of America THE UNITED STATES AND ASSOCIATION OF SOUTH-EAST ASIAN NATION Presented by: Bee Jay S. Garcia.
Chapter 18 Foreign Policy
Mexico, NAFTA, and Expansion Toward the European Union
The New Military-Industrial Complex?
1. Political Map of Latin America
US Foreign policy
Historic Foreign Policy Decisions
The Organization of American States
THE RISE OF THE NEW LEFT.
Latin America: Revolution and Reaction into the 21st Century
China-CELAC Forum: Driving Factors, Challenges and Priorities
Warm Up Consider the geography and resources of North and South America. What interests does the United States have on those 2 continents?
Presentation transcript:

BARACK OBAMA AND THE POLITICS OF HOPE (?)

RATIONALES FOR ALTERNATIVES U.S. loss of “soft power” Continuing frustration in Latin America Importance of Latin America to U.S. Change of U.S. administration as result of presidential election

WHAT DRIVES FOREIGN POLICY? Generosity Friendship Proximity Repayment of historical debt –Or Self-centered national interest.

CLASSICAL REALISM 1. The international system is anarchical. 2. Sovereign states are principal actors. 3. States are rational actors, pursuing national interests, and are in competition with one another. 4. Overriding goals are survival and security—best guaranteed by military power. 5. Constraints achieved by resistance of other powers, not by treaties or friendship.

“PROGRESSIVE” REALISM 1. International system not anarchical but structured, as through “regimes.” 2. Nonstate actors and international organizations play significant roles. 3. State preferences vary from time to time, place to place. 4. States are not inherently aggressive or competitive; preferences can change. 5. Cooperation can yield mutual gains for participating states.

FUNDAMENTAL DIFFERENCES 1. Nature of power: “hard” vs. “soft.” 2. Sovereignty and internal vs. international domains. 3. War vs. peace. 4. Importance of democracy. 5. Value of international cooperation, institutions. 6. American power: extent vs. limits.

SELECTED ISSUE AREAS 1. Economic integration and FTAs. 2. Drug trafficking. 3. Immigration. 4. Organization of American States. 5. Pink Tide. 6. Cuba.

WOLA PROPOSAL: THREE PRINCIPLES 1. The United States should support economic development strategies oriented to both growth and equity in Latin America. 2. The United States should help strengthen the civilian institutions that provide citizen security in Latin America. 3. The United States should support the development and consolidation of democratic institutions and respect for human rights in Latin America.

WHAT WOULD IT TAKE? 1. Election of a president with personal commitment to progressive paradigm and a strong interest in Latin America. 2. Events within region that demand U.S. attention— e.g., spread of pink tide or launching of terrorist attack. 3. World developments that focus attention on Latin America—e.g., “clash of civilizations.” 4. Demographic and political changes within the United States.

And the outlook is…..?

THE OBAMA RECORD Exaggerated expectations Intervening priorities, domestic (economy) and international (Afghanistan) Hesitant beginnings (Trinidad & Tobago ≠ Cairo)

CURRENT ISSUES Honduras: questionable commitment to democracy Colombia: military bases Cuba: admission to OAS, Guantánamo Points of tension: –Venezuela –Bolivia –“Pink tide” in general

USA and Latin America: Comparative and Historical Perspective _________Latin America as Priority___________ ______ Low _______ _______ High _____ Operational Mode for U.S. ____ Unilateral Ad hoc Systematic imposition intervention (Bush ) (Reagan ) ________________________ __________________ Intermittent, Consistent, Multilateral low-level high-level diplomacy engagement (Clinton ) (Kennedy ) ____________________________________________________________

Rank-Order Preferences for U.S. Policy ___ Partners___ __Targets___ U.S. Policy (Mexico, (Cuba, __Rivals___ ___Bystanders__ __Configuration__ _Bush II__ __Colombia)__ __Venezuela)__ __(Brazil?)__ ___(Others)____ Low priority Unilateral Low priority Multilateral High priority Unilateral High priority Multilateral Note: As presented here, ordinal rankings mean that 1 stands for the first-place (most preferable) choice, 2 for the second-place choice, 3 for the third-place choice, and 4 for the fourth-place (least preferable) choice. Question: Where to place Obama?