WG3b Activity Review Jean-Marie Bettems / MeteoSwiss COSMO General Meeting Eretria, September 9 th, 2014.

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Presentation transcript:

WG3b Activity Review Jean-Marie Bettems / MeteoSwiss COSMO General Meeting Eretria, September 9 th, 2014

Science Plan

3 COSMO GM, WG3b Activity Review | JM Bettems | Science Plan WG3b related aspects The following sections are available Land surface scheme Parameterisation of sea ice Parameterisation of lakes External parameters The following strategic decisions have been taken TERRA is further chosen as basis for COSMO NWP Coupling with other SVAT models (CLM, Veg3D) supports the further development of TERRA, through inter-comparison studies.

4 COSMO GM, WG3b Activity Review | JM Bettems | Science Plan Land surface scheme Short to medium term actions (2015 – 2017) Revision of the surface energy budget: consideration of the role of vegetation (shading effect, additional vegetation layer – the latter topic is coordinated by WG3a) (P1); Revision of plant water uptake : impact of vegetation properties (P2); Implementation of advanced soil properties data sets: Harmonized World Soil Database, new formulation of soil water transport (P2); Identification of processes to be used in stochastic physics approach (P1), (in cooperation with WG7), Assimilation of soil moisture, and maybe soil temperature, (remote) observations, or other approaches improving the initial state of the soil (this work is coordinated by WG1) (P1); Model inter-comparison and validation studies (SRNWP data pool) to identify future fields of development activities (P1). Long term actions (2018 – 2020) Improve the simplified treatment of infiltration, interception, and run-off from surface and ground; due to numerical problems a revised approach should be considered and extended to possible stream flow routing. This requires the consideration of horizontal transports, implementation of soil water interflow, base flow, and ground table (P1). Improve the multi-layer snow model, in particular in complex topography, and the related assimilation techniques (this latter task is coordinated by WG1) (P1)

5 COSMO GM, WG3b Activity Review | JM Bettems | Science Plan Reviewers feedback No fundamental criticisms specifically aimed at the WG3b sections All specific comments have been taken into account, and the document modified accordingly My main comment: the document should be shorter Recent input from USAM to incorporate the development of a coupled atmosphere / wave model

Activities

7 COSMO GM, WG3b Activity Review | JM Bettems | WG3b Activities Summary (1/4) Permanent activities  Data pool action (data base of soil & surface observations)  Coordination of EXTPAR development (generation of external parameters) Link with SOILVEG (CLM community) PT and PP  PP CALMO (calibration of COSMO model)  PT SNOWE (snow water equivalent for analysis) Recent developments ready for operations, available in EXTPAR 2.0 / INT2LM 2.0 / COSMO 5.0  Soil moisture dependent thermal conductivity (bug fix in 5.1!) Flake (lake model)  EXTPAR: GLOBCOVER (land use), HWSD (soil texture), ASTER (topography) EXTPAR: MODIS based surface albedo (climatology, annual cycle) EXTPAR: NDVI based vegetation climatology

8 COSMO GM, WG3b Activity Review | JM Bettems | WG3b Activities Summary (2/4) Recent developments, not yet finalized Revised bare soil evaporation, both at DWD and IMGW Systematically overestimated (Observations at Falkenberg) IMGW: Hour of day and temperature dependent formulation Fit to reduce error of near surface parameters Revised parameterization of water infiltration Depth dependent, higher values at top (soil defaults) Large sensitivity observed in CLM simulation (O. Bellprat / ETHZ) Revised soil water transport Brooks and Corey, support soil vertical heterogeneities as available in HWSD Phenology model to catch vegetation inter-annual variability Workshop at MeteoSwiss planned in 2014Q4 (Jan-Peter, Reto, Andreas) Exponential root profile

9 COSMO GM, WG3b Activity Review | JM Bettems | WG3b Activities Summary (3/4) Recent developments, not yet finalized (ctn’d) Tile approach Available in ICON, incl. dynamic snow tile (partial snow cover) Still some technical issues (GRIB coding…) Multi-layers snow model Available in ICON Still stability issue (coarse resolution only), coupling with analysis missing  Urban module Mire parameterization

SRNWP data pool

11 COSMO GM, WG3b Activity Review | JM Bettems | Data pool action Access from COSMO web, password protected Currently 9 sites, data from , in a common ASCII format Soil, surface and BL observations Work done at DWD / Lindenberg (C.Heret) Valdai Debrecen

12 COSMO GM, WG3b Activity Review | JM Bettems | Data pool action Status Data available from start of the action to end 2013 from Cabauw (NL), Capofiume (IT), Lindenberg (DE), Payerne (CH), Sodankyla (FI) Sites not updated since 2012 Fauga-Mauzac (FR), Cardington (GB) Almost no data for Debrecen (HU) New site Valdai (RU) … but no fluxes measurements, no deep soil measurements …

PT SNOWE Snow water equivalent for snow analysis

Motivation Initial GME-fields of snow water equivalent (SWE) may have significant errors when compared with hydrological measurements This has a detrimental impact on T2m through the parameterization of partial snow cover, in particular in spring SWE Medvezh’egorsk Inza COSMO obs

Method 1D multi-layers snow model, observation driven Computed at each SYNOP location Computed through the whole snow season Provide snow density and snow water equivalent at SYNOP locations Combine this information with satellite derived snow mask and model first guess Interpolation of snow density and snow water equivalent Integrate in current COSMO snow analysis Combine model first guess, snow depth observation and snow mask Coordinate with M. Lange / DWD New PT at Roshdromet, starting now (StC agreed ?)

Impact of improved snow analysis Station10 April 2013, 12 UTC11 April 2013, 00 UTC Obs, t ◦ COper, t ◦ CEx, t ◦ CObs, t ◦ COper, t ◦ CEx, t ◦ C Efremov8,04,36,6-0,4-0,5-0,6 Volovo6,90,65,8-1,1-3,6-1,7 Verhov’e7,01,26,00,8-1,2-0,2 Temnikov7,26,25,60,20,7-3,0 Unecha7,16,65,41,00,40,7 Fatezh8,15,66,7-1,5-3,00,3 Mean abs. error 3,31,371,21,11

Improved ground heat flux

Schulz et al.: Ground heat flux8 Sep Evaluation of the ground heat flux simulated by a multi-layer land surface scheme using high-quality observations Jan-Peter Schulz 1,3,*, Gerd Vogel 2, Claudia Becker 2 and Bodo Ahrens 3 1 Biodiversity and Climate Research Centre (BiK-F), Frankfurt 2 Deutscher Wetterdienst, Lindenberg 3 Goethe University Frankfurt *Affiliation now: Deutscher Wetterdienst, Offenbach COSMO General Meeting, Sep. 2014, Eretria, Greece 18

Schulz et al.: Ground heat flux8 Sep The problem …  The ground heat flux in the COSMO land surface scheme TERRA is systematically overestimated under dry conditions.  Since this flux is part of the surface energy balance it affects the other components like the turbulent heat fluxes or the surface temperature.  An overestimation of the ground heat flux during daytime leads to an underestimation of the other surface fluxes and a reduced surface warming.  During afternoon and night this behaviour is reversed. 19

Schulz et al.: Ground heat flux8 Sep Hypothesis The ground heat flux in the COSMO model is systematically overestimated in summer. Main reasons:  The shading effect of the vegetation is not represented in the model  The thermal conductivity of the soil is too large in summer Methodology  Focus on thermal conductivity first  Reduce the thermal conductivity of the soil in summer, by introducing its strong dependence on the soil water content 20

Schulz et al.: Ground heat flux8 Sep Baier (2008), after Frivik (1981) Thermal Conductivity Air Ice Thermal Conductivity The thermal conductivity of water is about a factor of 25 larger than that of air! This means, replacing the air in the pores of a soil by water increases the thermal conductivity of the soil system dramatically. In other words: A wet soil (in winter) has a much larger thermal conductivity than a dry soil (in summer). Feldspar Water Temperature T [ o C] Quartz Organic components 21

Schulz et al.: Ground heat flux8 Sep Thermal conductivity: Johansen The diurnal cycles of the soil temperature are reduced by Johansen under dry conditions. 22 Offline TERRA: Falkenberg July 2010 Grass land

Schulz et al.: Ground heat flux8 Sep Shading In TERRA the effects of shading of the sub-canopy land surface by the vegetation is not represented. The incoming solar radiation is directly used in the surface energy balance, modifying the other energy terms in an unrealistic way. 23

Schulz et al.: Ground heat flux8 Sep Thermal conductivity: Johansen -Diurnal temperature range reduced by Johansen by about 2 o C -Compared to bare soil measurements this is very good -Shading (even by grass) has a huge effect 24 Offline TERRA: Falkenberg July 2010 Soil temperature (-6cm) Bare soil temperature (-6cm)

New external parameters ASTER, GLOBCOVER, HWSD

Accuracy of simulated diurnal valley winds in the Swiss Alps: Influence of grid resolution and land surface characteristics J. Schmidli 1, S. Böing 1, and O. Fuhrer 2 1 ETH and 2 MeteoSwiss Acknowledgments: D. Lüthi, W. Langhans, C. Schär and the COSMO-1 team

27 Experimental setup Basic setup COSMO 2.2 and 1.1 km Initialized with and driven by ECMWF analysis (25km) Soil initialized from 10-yr climate run with 2km resolution (N. Ban) Standard physics options (MY-PBL scheme, no horiz. diffusion) High-resolution surface data ASTER topography (30 m) GC2009 land cover (300 m) HWSD soil type (1 km) Raymond filter for topography (def: cutoff ~5 dx)  C2_ref, C1_ref Low-resolution surface data GLOBE topography (1 km) GLC2000 land cover (1 km) FAO DSMW (10 km) Raymond filter for topography (def: cutoff ~5 dx)  C2_sfc, C1_sfc

28 “Valley wind” stations Mean maximum wind > 4 m/s  21 stations “Top-six” stations

29 Influence of surface data  coarse surface data: Only minor improvement for 1km!  need high-resolution surface data for 1km simulation! “Valley wind” stations (21)

30 Influence of surface data (soil, land cover, topography)  All three components (soil, land cover, topography) important  Similar contribution to improvement “Valley wind” stations (21)

Urban parameterization

32 COSMO GM, WG3b Activity Review | JM Bettems | Urban parameterization Three urban models available in COSMO-CLM URBMIP – Inter-comparison study performed by the CLM community

33 COSMO GM, WG3b Activity Review | JM Bettems | TERRA-URB (H. Wouters) Findings Urban parameterization in COSMO-CLM/TERRA-ML was successfully implemented and tested on 1km resolution over Belgium The temporal and spatial variatiability of the UHI intensity are very well reproduced Additional computational cost was negligible (+3% CPU-time) Number of needed extra parameters is small and readily available globally  TERRA-URB is the best candidate for NWP applications  Visit of H. Wouters at Offenbach in 2014Q4 to discuss code implementation issues (coupling with TKE, external parameters)

Open issues

35 COSMO GM, WG3b Activity Review | JM Bettems | WG3b Activities Open issues Common COSMO / ICON library Terra developments available in ICON only When will it be available ? Vegetation shading Important impact on diurnal cycle of near surface parameters Resources, planning ? Coordination with J. Schmidli / ETHZ ? TERRA standalone Useful tool to bring the soil in equilibrium for a new configuration Will ICON framework support this mode ? SRNWP data pool Missing resources ?

36 COSMO GM, WG3b Activity Review | JM Bettems | Thank you for your attention!