Investing in Bangsamoro for the development of Mindanao The 52nd Annual Meeting of the Philippine Economic Society 14 November 2014 Hotel Intercontinental Manila Legaspi Room

Investing in Bangsamoro for the development of Mindanao MARITES DANGUILAN VITUG Session Chair Editor at Large, Rappler

Investing in Bangsamoro for the development of Mindanao MARIA LOURDES DAMASO LIM Main Presenter Regional Director, NEDA Regional Office XI

Development Opportunities of Mindanao Regions in a Post-Comprehensive Agreement on the Bangsamoro (CAB) Scenario Development Opportunities of Mindanao Regions in a Post-Comprehensive Agreement on the Bangsamoro (CAB) Scenario 14 November2014 Philippine Economic Society (PES) 52 nd Annual Meeting Forging Ahead: The Philippines as Developed Economy by 2050 Intercontinental Hotel, Makati City MINDANAO DIRECTOR MARIA LOURDES D. LIM, CESO II Regional Director, NEDA Regional Office XI Davao Region, Philippines and Head Secretariat, NEDA Board-Regional Development Committee Mindanao

Category 1: Provinces with High Magnitude of Poor Households Category 2: Provinces with Highest Poverty Incidence Based on Population Category 3: Thirty Provinces Exposed to Multiple Hazards Spatial Consideration for Inclusive Development Source: Philippine Development Plan Midterm Update,

Selected Macroeconomic Indicators, Mindanao Regions vis-a-vis National Figures 2013 GDP/GRDP (in constant 2000 prices) ( in thousand pesos) GDP/GRDP AAGR (%) 2013 Per Capita GDP/GRDP (in constant 2000 prices) (in pesos) 2012 Poverty Incidence among Families (%) Average Employment Rate (%) Average Under- employment Rate (%) National Road Density (km /sq. km) (As of October 2012) Philippines 6,765,458, , NCR 2,455,306, , Luzon 2,491,009, , Visayas 850,371, , Mindanao 968,771, , Zamboanga Peninsula 137,949, , Northern Mindanao 252,645, , Davao Region 258,485, , SOCCSKSAR GEN 186,407, , Caraga 83,550, , ARMM 49,732, , Source: Philippine Statistics Authority

End-of-Plan (2016) Targets of Mindanao Regions IndicatorZamPenNorMinDavao Region SOCCSKSARG EN CARAGAARMM GRDP Targets %8.5%- 9.5%8.7% % %5.0% Poverty Incidence (Families) % 20.7% (MDG target for 2015) 22.3% 20.4% (MDG target for 2015) 18.8% (MDG target for 2015); 22.75% (RDP target 2016)* 40% Employmen t Rate No target rate 96%96.2%97% No target rate 97.58% 2015 Investment Reqts. P B**P90.05 BP33.95 BP50.4 BP25.63 BP41.68 B 2016 Investment Reqts. P17.74 B**P BP31.13 BP31.76 BP26.83 BP55.33 B 2015 NEP P52.48 BP61.86 BP54.23 BP52.72 BP42.22 BP49.95 B Source: Updated Regional Development Plan and Result Matrices and Reg’l Development Investment Program (Regions IX, X, XI, XII, XIII, ARMM); DBM 2015 National Expenditure Program - Source: ZamPen RDIP, * - Source: Caraga RDP, Investment/Budget Priorities at the National, Mindanao, Regional and Bangsamoro levels should be outcomes-based as defined in the development plans at all levels.

Connectivity (Sea) - Modernization/ Upgrading of Seaports to Meet International Standards Priority Programs, Activities, and Projects PROPOSED NETWORK OF GROWTH CENTERS, Mindanao,

Growth targets of the Bangsamoro Source: BDP,

Development Themes and Fina ncing Requirements Economy and Livelihood Infrastructure Social Services Environment and Natural Resources Culture and Identity & Governance and Justice Security and Normalization P225 Billion for

“transition from conflict to peace in an affected country through the rebuilding of the socioeconomic framework of the society.” 1. Socio-economic 2. Good Governance 3. Institutional Post-Conflict Development of the Bangsamoro Elements of post-conflict recovery

“transition from conflict to peace in an affected country through the rebuilding of the socioeconomic framework of the society.” 1. Socio-economic 2. Good Governance 3. Institutional 4. Geographic/Spatial 5. Security/ Normalization Post-Conflict Development of the Bangsamoro Elements of post-conflict recovery Financing post-conflict development Taxes, fees and charges Annual Block Grants Loans, grants, ODA Economic Agreements Revenue shares in natural resources GOCCs & GFIs

Potential Impacts of the Bangsamoro on Mindanao Regions Bangsamoro growth at 6-8 percent in 2016; Regional economic growth improves to double digits; Economic spillover to Mindanao Regions. Growth and Investment Drivers Agriculture, Fishery, & Forestry Industry Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises Transition from grey economies to formal markets Tourism and eco-tourism Mining Renewable Energy Palm Oil Production Halal Industry Islamic Banking and Finance

1.Increase contribution to the national output; 2.Intra- and inter-regional trade enhanced and boosted; 3.Correct socio-economic disparities. BANGSAMORO : 3 Major Scenarios

Source: dzrhnews.com

Thank you

Investing in Bangsamoro for the development of Mindanao PANEL DISCUSSION

Investing in Bangsamoro for the development of Mindanao LUISITO MONTALBO Panelist Undersecretary, Office of the Presidential Adviser on the Peace Process

Investing in Bangsamoro for the development of Mindanao PANEL DISCUSSION

Investing in Bangsamoro for the development of Mindanao AMINA RASUL-BERNARDO Panelist President, Philippine Center for Islam and Democracy

Investing in Bangsamoro for the development of Mindanao PANEL DISCUSSION

Investing in Bangsamoro for the development of Mindanao AMINA RASUL-BERNARDO Panelist President, Philippine Center for Islam and Democracy

Investing in Bangsamoro for the development of Mindanao PANEL DISCUSSION

Investing in Bangsamoro for the development of Mindanao STEVEN ROOD Panelist Country Representative for the Philippines and Pacific Island Nations, The Asia Foundation

Investing in Bangsamoro for the development of Mindanao OPEN FORUM

Investing in Bangsamoro for the development of Mindanao CONCLUDING REMARKS

Investing in Bangsamoro for the development of Mindanao The 52nd Annual Meeting of the Philippine Economic Society 14 November 2014 Hotel Intercontinental Manila Legaspi Room