South China Sea Timeline

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Presentation transcript:

South China Sea Timeline

China’s Nine-Dash Line

Competing Claims

Oil and Gas

Oil Trade

Natural Gas Trade

Trade Routes

Spratly Islands Disputes

Mischief Reef Chinese “Naval Base”

Philippine Claim to the Second Thomas Shoal

Paracel Island Disputes and Chinese Oil Rig 2014

Air Defense Identification Zones

UN Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) 1982 12 mile limit from a nation’s coast: legal jurisdiction for the nation 200 miles form a nation’s coast Exclusive economic rights for the nation Dispute resolution mechanism Direct talks between the parties. If they fail: submission of the dispute to the International Tribunal for the Law of the Sea adjudication by the International Court of Justice submission to binding international arbitration procedures submission to special arbitration tribunals with expertise in specific types of disputes. All of these procedures involve binding third-party settlement Exceptions for cases involving national sovereignty. Parties submit their dispute to a conciliation commission; results are non-binding.

Senkaku/Diaoyu Islands

Senkaku/Diaoyu Islands

Dokdo/Takeshima Islands

What’s happening in the South China Sea? Realism Idealism Constructivism

Realism The rise of China Oil and gas Control of sea lanes

The Future?

Balancing Behavior

Alliances? China North Korea US Japan South Korea Philippines Vietnam US Report on PRC Military North Korea US Japan South Korea Philippines Vietnam Malaysia Brunei Indonesia Taiwan**

China has a long way to go

Idealism UN Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) 1982 ASEAN (Association of South East Asian Nations) ASEAN Regional Forum ASEAN Code of Conduct (2002) APEC (Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation)

Constructivism Chinese History The Middle Kingdom Undisputed ruler of East Asia Return to China’s rightful place in the world It’s called the South China Sea for a reason