Higher Density Housing: Adelaide’s Future? Andrew Beer Centre for Housing, Urban and Regional Planning

Agenda The Demographic Imperative The Affordability Imperative Industry Structure and Process Outcomes

The Demographic Imperative

Changed Life Histories, Change Housing Transitions

Number of Australian Households Resident in Flats and Semi Detached Dwellings,

Household Type Where Children are Defined as Dependents Under 24 Years, 1996, 2001 and 2006, Australia

Household Type Where Children are Defined as Dependents Under 15 Years, 1996, 2001 and 2006, Australia

The Affordability Imperative

Tenure Across Australia, 1991, 1996 and 2006

Number of Households in the Bottom 40 Per Cent of the Income Distribution Paying 30 Per cent or More for their Housing

% of Households in the Bottom 40 Per Cent of the Income Distribution Paying 30 Per cent or More for their Housing

Number of Households in the Top 60 Per Cent of the Income Distribution Paying 30 Per cent or More for their Housing

% of Households in the Top 60 Per Cent of the Income Distribution Paying 30 Per cent or More for their Housing

Industry Structure and Process

Industry Structure, Adelaide and Sydney 2006

Outcomes

Top 20 SLAs to Record an Increase in Households Resident in Buildings Four or More Storeys High, 1996 to 2006.

Impediments and Challenges Families and higher density housing – Children falling from height – Access to play space – Cultural preference/usability of open space Cost of land – Radford et al 2003 Cost of construction – Gratten Institute estimates building and construction one of the most ‘protected’ industries in Australia Tax system – Reinforces preference amongst small scale investors for detached dwellings Strata title and strata title management costs Planning regulation/government housing policy

Key Drivers On going strength in education sectors Higher energy costs Shifting industry structure – Services Ageing of the population Population growth