climate change in cOastal environments of the Antarctic PENinsula clicOPEN IPY 34 Esperanza Palmer Vernadsky/Faraday Rothera KGI 15 countries 10 polar stations at present 40 scientific projects Mean air temperature rise by 3°C since 1947 (data G. Milinevski and colleagues, Ukraine)
clicOPEN IPY34 – interdisciplinary concept Driver: air warming Changing processes: glacier retreat sediment run-off salinity changes iceberg scour frequency System response species performance coastal community structure food webs Potter Cove, King George Island November 2005 (D. Abele) Potter Cove, December 2005 (foto: Ricardo Sahade)
1: forcing factors driven by aerial warming - glacier mass balance - newly ice free areas - sediment and fresh water transport 2: ecosystem response - environmental conditions - terrestrial and marine community structure and dynamics 3: species / population response - adjustment to changing conditions (abiotic, biotic) - physiological stress signals Get signal conceptual model of Antarctic Peninsula climate change effects clicOPEN IPY 34 – science plan Genetic diversity Biodiversity Trophic structure & flow Interaction strength Age/size of bivalve populations energy reserves Critical limits (T,S, Sed Cov, O2) Lifetime models of fitness params Molecular stress tags Use local data to feed spatial glacier melt models. Long term data to model past glacier melt local sediment discharge Water column snow dynamics on ice free areas coastal sediment cores and seismic data Terrestrial re-colonization of ice free areas
clicOPEN IPY 34 – interactive programme structure Data management (Pangaea) historical data, regulated access to metadata within programme GIS based visualization (KGIS, etc) Steering committee (& observers) workshops symposia Projects on WAP scientific stations > 100 scientists Common sampling patterns, parameters, procedures Cross sampling between projects joint use of stations in IPY parallel experiments exchange of students and expertise between labs Process model metadata equipment platforms long term measurements shared tools
clicOPEN IPY 34 – rules and tools and networks Sampling grids and time scales between locations and in locations Calibration of long term measurements Intercalibration of methods and experimental procedures Agreement on cross sampling Agreements on student training Agreement on data formate Agreement on exchange of metadata German clicOPEN projects: 16/41 6 -> ongoing or funded DFG projects 6 -> new proposals 4 -> financed from other sources clicOPEN SCAR EBA Workshop series On WAP Climate Variability NSIDC (US, Colorado) IPY Projects CCAMLR Geotraces external networks