CLIMATE SERVICE DIVISION / NWS / NOAA National Weather Service Climate Services Marina Timofeyeva PaCIS 2010 Implementation Planning Workshop

CLIMATE SERVICE DIVISION / NWS / NOAA NWS Climate Services Mission NWS: provides weather, hydrologic, and climate forecasts and warnings for the United States … for the protection of life and property and the enhancement of the national economy. NWS data and products form a national information database and infrastructure.... CSD: E nsure NWS has the capacity to develop and deliver the best climate products and services through policy, planning, data stewardship, integration of research and services, training, education, and outreach in collaboration with other NOAA offices, partners, and users CPC: Deliver climate prediction, monitoring, and assessment products for timescales from weeks to years to the Nation and the global community for the protection of life and property and the enhancement of the economy.

CLIMATE SERVICE DIVISION / NWS / NOAA Policy and Planning Directives – Series o2009 update clarified roles and responsibilities for all NWS climate services providers Operations Document oThird edition drafted and in process of coordination Coordination with NCS

CLIMATE SERVICE DIVISION / NWS / NOAA User Requirements Local Climate Directory Annual Climate Prediction Application Science Workshop Periodic Customer Satisfaction Surveys Coordination with partners: state climatologists and RCC Development of new SMART metrics for climate products

CLIMATE SERVICE DIVISION / NWS / NOAA User Requirements

CLIMATE SERVICE DIVISION / NWS / NOAA Needs and Requirements “Past weather” data Climate guidance to national and local decision makers Information of climate variability and change physical mechanisms, predictability, predictions, and impacts Timely, continuous and reliable climate data Timely, continuous and reliable national and local climate observations, monitoring and forecast products Outreach activities, materials and trained staff

CLIMATE SERVICE DIVISION / NWS / NOAA Programs and Initiatives National Climate Programs and Initiatives oMonitoring climate variability - Luke oClimate assessments and diagnostic discussions - Luke oClimate forecasts - Luke oClimate Test Bed Regional and Local Climate Programs and Initiatives oBridging climate user needs and product requirements oClimate observing system and data records oLocal climate data and forecast products oClimate education and outreach oTraining climate services staff and technical users

CLIMATE SERVICE DIVISION / NWS / NOAA Climate Test Bed Jointly established in 2004 by NCEP and NOAA Climate Program Office Serves as conduit between the operational, academic and research communities Mission To accelerate the transition of scientific advances from the climate research community to improved NOAA climate forecast products and services Mission To accelerate the transition of scientific advances from the climate research community to improved NOAA climate forecast products and services Research to Operations (R2O) Operations to Research (O2R) Focus Areas – –CFS Improvements – –Multi Model Ensemble (MME) Prediction Systems – –Climate Forecast Products Competitive Grants Program CTB Seminar Series CPC/CTB - RISA Program Distinguished Visiting Scientist Program Research to Operations (R2O) Operations to Research (O2R) Focus Areas – –CFS Improvements – –Multi Model Ensemble (MME) Prediction Systems – –Climate Forecast Products Competitive Grants Program CTB Seminar Series CPC/CTB - RISA Program Distinguished Visiting Scientist Program

CLIMATE SERVICE DIVISION / NWS / NOAA Product Suite and Services: Local Public interactive access to ““past weather NOAA Online Weather Data (NOWdata): 9 products, 3900 sites, 9 variables, 3 time periods Other online data products: oLast 3 month daily data oLast 5 year monthly/daily oThis year record events oLast year monthly site, regional and state summaries

CLIMATE SERVICE DIVISION / NWS / NOAA Product Suite and Services: Local NWS local climate services support: Standardized local offices web site: Online data stewardship tools: xmACIS, Datzilla, ThredEx, etc. Local Climate Forecast Products (L3MTO) online package and display Outreach materials: factsheets, brochures, standard presentations, etc. Defining a process of transition from climate user need to NWS climate product requirements

CLIMATE SERVICE DIVISION / NWS / NOAA Product Suite and Services: Local Local 3 Month Temperature Outlooks: Local information Multiple user centric formats Dynamic text interpretation Benefits and limitations Long term forecast evaluation Trained staff support

CLIMATE SERVICE DIVISION / NWS / NOAA Need for Local Climate Products 2009 Customer Satisfaction Survey

CLIMATE SERVICE DIVISION / NWS / NOAA Capacity Building for Local Climate Services - LCAT Provides NOAA standard methodologies for climate analysis (such as trend, composites, principal statistical, and time series analysis) for: Assisting and developing climate expertise at local level Expanding suite of NOAA climate products Engaging local climate services staff in NOAA climate analysis activities Responding to local customer inquiries on climate variability and change local impacts Providing initial data tests to formulate local user needs for climate products to national climate centers (NESDIS/NCDC, NWS/CPC, OAR/ESRL) Climate DivisionStations

CLIMATE SERVICE DIVISION / NWS / NOAA Training Climate Services Training includes 3 courses oSpecial PR training course ~30 online distance learning modules NETS coordination Pilot applications for training technical user groups: o3 pilots accomplished o1 in development

CLIMATE SERVICE DIVISION / NWS / NOAA Education Climate Literacy Partnership with Smithsonian Institution Natural History Museum Science of the Sphere Annual event at the National Teachers Association meeting

CLIMATE SERVICE DIVISION / NWS / NOAA Outreach Field guidance for local outreach activities oLocal Climate Information hubs oTrusted source for climate information oExperienced in communicating science to public Support materials- standard presentations, factsheets, etc. Outreach to Professional Meteorology and Geophysical Communities

CLIMATE SERVICE DIVISION / NWS / NOAA BACKUP SLIDES

CLIMATE SERVICE DIVISION / NWS / NOAA Climate Test Bed So-far 3 successful projects 15 ongoing projects Focus area: oCFS Improvements – CFSv3 [2 projects] oMulti-Model Ensembles – intra-seasonal to inter- annual scale [5 projects] oClimate Forecast Products [8 projects] Development of an Extended and Long-range Precipitation Prediction System over the Pacific Islands – Annamalai, CPC oSeminar Series

CLIMATE SERVICE DIVISION / NWS / NOAA Process for Transitioning Research into Operations Prototype is developed internally by science and outreach experts Informal WFO internal review, questionnaire of selected partners & customers Experimental product is developed and enhanced by “Feedback” form Formal Questionnaire with NOAA “pre-approved” questions Operational product is developed and enhanced by “Feedback” form Formal Questionnaire with NOAA “pre-approved” questions Adjustment Multi-tiered Approach in Incorporating Users Feedback