Fire Effects Planning Framework PROPOSED Agenda Working session Richfield, UT 12/7-8/06 -Overview and orientation (powerpoint presentation) - Gather/process/analyze data (working meeting) - fire behavior - fire effects - crosswalk creation - Create Map Library (subsequent task by individual forest)

Extreme – 99% High – 90% Moderate – 80% Species Size/ Structure Crown fire potential 1 st Order Fire Effects Effect on whitebark pine Mapping Multiplier Information Source WB-only Seed/sap1, 2, or 3High Undesirable Effects WB established but not reproducing yet Tomback et al. 2001, FOFEM All except seed/sap 1,2, or 3 High Desirable Effects restore native fire regime Tomback et al. 2001, FOFEM All other species mixes All 2 or 3High Highly Desirable Effects provide potential WB habitat +100 Keane, Arno Pers. Comm. 1 Low or moderate Desirable Effects+1 Keane, Arno pers. Com. No BurnAllNone Not Habitat rock above 6500’ -100N/A Fire Effects Planning Framework (FEPF) Crosswalk fire behavior to fire effects on values/objectives 3 Photograph by Steve Sutherland; 2 years post-fire Extreme – 99% High – 90% Moderate – 80% BITTERROOT NATIONAL FOREST Fire Effects Planning Framework 2004 Fire Effects Map Library Fire Behavior Effects on Whitebark pine Effects on Lynx foraging habitat Extreme – 99% High – 90% Moderate – 80% Fire Effects Fire Behavior Vegetative attributes Desirability Landscape Dynamics Simulation Models Identify resources of interest Identify associated vegetative attributes Identify fire ecology 1 FlamMap 99 th % 90 th % 80 th % Based on FireFamilyPlus weather analysis for Energy Release Component Model fire behavior 2 Update vegetative attributes post-season 5 Create map library for - land, fuels, fire planning, - AMR/WFU activities 4 Source

Fire Effects Planning Framework With the proper input the Fire Effects Planning Framework (FEPF) will give you information on whether a given ignition - will or will not meet a set of objectives. NFDRS Plans - Useful for determining appropriate weather station, key thresholds, i.e. season ending/slowing events. NFDRS Plan input Land Management Plan Objectives – Where all Forest Service unplanned ignition objectives come from.. LMP Objectives input Local Experience – critical for model calibration Local Experience input Will we meet objectives with this ignition? Output IGNITION GIS Data – spatial modeling Input GIS Data

Step 1: Gather data and Identify key conditions Fire Weather * weather thresholds (FMP) * weather stations * fire behavior parameter for fire mgmt (ERC, BI, FL …) Resource issues * current and desired condition * map-able attributes species/habitat relationship (wildlife) * fire ecology * fire behavior parameter for effects (ERC, BI, FL …) GIS DATA SETS * Farsite set (topography, fuels, vegetation canopy fuels) * resource data layers

Weather data FireFamilyPlus Farsite/FLAMMAP (.txt) Seasonal %’s Threshold %’s 80, 90, 99 th %.wnd,.wtr,.fms Step 2: Model Fire Behavior Fuels data (LANDFIRE) Fuel Model Stand Height Crown Bulk Density Crown Base Height Canopy Cover PVTGROUPPVT GROUP NAME HT_GRP 1Upper Subalpine Forest G1,G2 2 Lower Subalpine Forest - Mesic D3, E2 3 Lower Subalpine Forest - Xeric F1, F2 4 Upper Montane Forest - Mesic C2, D2 5 Upper Montane Forest - Xeric C1 6 Lower Montane Forest - Mesic B2, B3 7 Lower Montane Forest - Xeric A2, B1 8Upper Subalpine Shrub - HerbaceousNF5 11 Lower Montane Shrub - Herbaceous NF1,NF2A, NF2, NF4 13 Agricultural XX1 14 Urban/Barren XX4 15 Water XX5 Vegetation/ Imagery Canopy Fuels Fuel Model Crosswalk

Weather data FireFamilyPlus Farsite/FLAMMAP (.txt) Seasonal %’s Threshold %’s 80, 90, 99 th %.wnd,.wtr,.fms Step 2: Model Fire Behavior Fuels data (LANDFIRE) Fuel Model Stand Height Crown Bulk Density Crown Base Height Canopy Cover PVTGROUPPVT GROUP NAME HT_GRP 1Upper Subalpine Forest G1,G2 2 Lower Subalpine Forest - Mesic D3, E2 3 Lower Subalpine Forest - Xeric F1, F2 4 Upper Montane Forest - Mesic C2, D2 5 Upper Montane Forest - Xeric C1 6 Lower Montane Forest - Mesic B2, B3 7 Lower Montane Forest - Xeric A2, B1 8Upper Subalpine Shrub - HerbaceousNF5 11 Lower Montane Shrub - Herbaceous NF1,NF2A, NF2, NF4 13 Agricultural XX1 14 Urban/Barren XX4 15 Water XX5 Vegetation/ Imagery Canopy Fuels Fuel Model Crosswalk INPUTSOUTPUTS

Species/ Species Mix Size/ Structure Fire Severity 0-14years post-fire years post-fire 40+years post-fire WB, DF, L, PP, LP, L-mixes, DF-mixes, PP- mixes Single storyLow Single storyMixed11-10 Single or multi-storyHigh10 Mixtures of DF, ES,AF, WB, LP, AL, L, GF Single storyLow Single storyMixed Single or multi-storyHigh 10 ES, GF,AL, C, QA, WH, MH, AF, CW Single storyMixed11-10 Single or multi-storyHigh10 All forested Seed/sapHigh10 Shrubs AllMixed or High No Burn1-10 Non-stocked, non- forest, forbs, grasses AllLow, Mixed, No Burn Unburnable, Agriculture, No Data n/aAll or 3 0 0,1, or 2 0,1,2,or 3 Fire Behavior Ecological Fire Behavior Fire effects on target over time Step 3: Merge to create Fire Effects Crosswalks Physical habitat characteristics Physical Fire Behavior Illustrative only

Species/ Species Mix Size/ Structure Fire Severity 0-14years post-fire years post-fire 40+years post-fire WB, DF, L, PP, LP, L-mixes, DF-mixes, PP- mixes Single storyLow Single storyMixed11-10 Single or multi-storyHigh10 Mixtures of DF, ES,AF, WB, LP, AL, L, GF Single storyLow Single storyMixed Single or multi-storyHigh 10 ES, GF,AL, C, QA, WH, MH, AF, CW Single storyMixed11-10 Single or multi-storyHigh10 All forested Seed/sapHigh10 Shrubs AllMixed or High No Burn1-10 Non-stocked, non- forest, forbs, grasses AllLow, Mixed, No Burn Unburnable, Agriculture, No Data n/aAll or 3 0 0,1, or 2 0,1,2,or 3 Fire Behavior Ecological Fire Behavior Fire effects on target over time Step 3: Merge to create Fire Effects Crosswalks Physical habitat characteristics Physical Fire Behavior Illustrative only Stored as set of rules or as.txt file

Species/ Species Mix Size/ Structure Fire Severity 0-14years post-fire years post-fire 40+years post-fire WB, DF, L, PP, LP, L-mixes, DF-mixes, PP- mixes Single storyLow Single storyMixed11-10 Single or multi-storyHigh10 Mixtures of DF, ES,AF, WB, LP, AL, L, GF Single storyLow Single storyMixed Single or multi-storyHigh 10 ES, GF,AL, C, QA, WH, MH, AF, CW Single storyMixed11-10 Single or multi-storyHigh10 All forested Seed/sapHigh10 Shrubs AllMixed or High No Burn1-10 Non-stocked, non- forest, forbs, grasses AllLow, Mixed, No Burn Unburnable, Agriculture, No Data n/aAll or 3 0 0,1, or 2 0,1,2,or 3 Fire Behavior Ecological Fire Behavior Fire effects on target over time Step 3: Merge to create Fire Effects Crosswalks Physical habitat characteristics Physical Fire Behavior Illustrative only Stored as set of rules or as.txt file FOFEM FVS-FFE SIMPPLLE WHRM URM Publications Expert Systems

FlamMap Crown Fire Potential Rate of Spread Fireline Intensity Step 4a: Create Fire Behavior Library 99 th % 90 th % 80 th %

Fire Behavior Library Step 4b: Create Fire Effects Library Restoration/Fuels Lynx 99 th % 90 th % 80 th % Aquatics Fire Fighter Safety Cavity Nester

Initial vegetation Lynx habitat Fire effects on vegetation Fire effects on Lynx habitat

Fire Effects Library 99 th % 90 th % 80 th % Uses: Set fuel treatment priorities

Uses: Model alternatives and future consequences This example shows use of SIMPPLLE FVS-FFE can also be used.

Incident Support Maps are draft, and illustrative only Uses: Go/NoGo (WFIP analyses) cost containment Quantify benefits or reductions in risk within MMA Consider potential benefits when determining suppression strategy by flank

Uses: Map Library for Fire Planning BITTERROOT NATIONAL FOREST 2004 Fire Effects Map Library Fire Behavior Fire Effects

Fire Effects Planning Framework Working session Richfield, UT 12/7-8/06 FEPF website search on Fire Effects Planning Framework User’s Guide Bitterroot Map Library Fire Behavior Examples Flammap (Bitterroot) Farsite (Dixie) FOFEM/ expert opinion (Yellowstone NP) Resource Examples Lynx (Bitterroot) Ponderosa pine (Dixie) Aspen (Dixie) Whitebark pine (Bitterroot, Yellowstone) Resources

What does it really take to make this work? Resource Objectives (conf. call, meeting) Weather (station, time period) Vegetation data (local vs. LANDFIRE) Calibration (vegetation, fire behavior, fire effects)