Using FEPF for a Go/No Go decision. Scenario Dixie National Forest East Fork FMU.

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Presentation transcript:

Using FEPF for a Go/No Go decision

Scenario Dixie National Forest East Fork FMU

Fire Effects Planning Framework With the proper input the Fire Effects Planning Framework (FEPF) will give you information on whether a given ignition - will or will not meet a set of objectives. Land Management Plan Objectives – Where all Forest Service unplanned ignition objectives come from.. LMP Objectives input We will meet objectives with this ignition Output

Dixie National Forest – East Fork FMU Paunsaugunt Plateau Resource Objectives: Restore Aspen - >300 acres of high severity burn within ¼ m of existing POTR Maintain/restore Ponderosa pine - do not kill large PIPO Compare FLAME LENGTH to stand height and canopy base height CROWN FIRE POTENTIAL in non-PIPO conifer within ¼ m of existing Potr

Size up, fire projection, gut-feeling: where’s it likely to go what’s it likely to do IGNITION

input Fire Effects Planning Framework With the proper input the Fire Effects Planning Framework (FEPF) will give you information on whether a given ignition - will or will not meet a set of objectives. Local Experience – critical for model calibration Local Experience We will meet objectives with this ignition Output

Fire Effects Planning Framework With the proper input the Fire Effects Planning Framework (FEPF) will give you information on whether a given ignition - will or will not meet a set of objectives. NFDRS Plans - Useful for determining appropriate weather station, key thresholds, i.e. season ending/slowing events. NFDRS Plan input We will meet objectives with this ignition Output

Data Needed/ Data Used Weather information –Color Country FMP/NFDRS Plan (Bryce RAWS) Extracted threshold % weather from FireFamily+ Fire start

Fire Effects Planning Framework With the proper input the Fire Effects Planning Framework (FEPF) will give you information on whether a given ignition - will or will not meet a set of objectives. We will meet objectives with this ignition Output GIS Data GIS Data – spatial modeling Input

Res.Obj. Benefit Risk__ PIPO 1112(ac) 606 (ac) POTR 641(ac) - 90 th % conditions

Res.Obj. Benefit Risk__ PIPO 1547(ac) 415 (ac) Actual weather stream used in Farsite projection