Andreas Fischer, Mark Liniger

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Presentation transcript:

Andreas Fischer, Mark Liniger CH2018 – Workshop Welcome Andreas Fischer, Mark Liniger CH2018-Workshop, 2 July 2015

Heatwave 2015 Intensivste jährliche 14-tägige Hitzeperiode mit einem mittleren Tagesmaximum von 30 Grad oder mehr. Messstandort Genève 1864–2014. Verwendet wurden homogene Tagesmaximum-Temperaturen. http://www.meteoschweiz.admin.ch/home/aktuell/meteoschweiz-blog.subpage.html/de/data/blogs/2015/6/europa-unter-hitze.html

CH2018 Runs as Themenschwerpunkt in the framework of NCCS NCCS is in the course of foundation Addtional NCCS-Themenschwerpunkt will be CH2018-Hydro (coordinated by BAFU) In CH2018 so far:  3 plenary meetings  meeting on application of Bayes Algorithm in CH2018

CH2018: Vision Consistency In method, data, communication Consolidation Mutually agreed on between scientists, single voice Robustness not necessarily latest research, but published, tested Comprehensiveness Target various sectors, different backgrounds Sustainability Associated services beyond report, framework for extensions

Aim of this workshop Bring together the scientists working on CH2018-contributions Agree on a technical/methodological flow in CH2018 Setup topical working groups to proceed with the next steps Important metrics Feasibility: scientific limits. who? When? Resources? Comprehensiveness: what is missing? Critical issues? Coverage of past climate? Who/what depends on what? Gaps we can tolerate? Consistency: will results be consistent? What consistency do we want?

Market Research … has started

Purpose of the Scenarios User perspective produce raw data with models focus of «user needs» Meteo-Schweiz provide data, analyse and display climate data deduce impacts for Switzerland for different scenarios climate impact research need for action: mitigation need for action: adaptation media associations, unions deduce adaptation measures Confederation & Cantons promote adaptation measures others implement adaptation measures Purpose of the Scenarios demonstrate need for mitigation action demonstrate need for adaptation and basis for better adaptation

Market Research: Next Steps Start with group interviews August End of interviews early November Workshop on user-centred design end October Consolidation of market research at ProClim Symposium 20 November Final report January 2016

CH2018 Timeline Today 2016 2017 2018 Market Research Scientific Developments Publication Journal Articles Application of Methods to CH Writing Report External Review Publication of Report Link to CH2018-Hydro Link to 2nd Aktionsplan

Today Lunch will be served in the room (12-13h ) Chair: Reto Chair: Christoph Lunch will be served in the room (12-13h )

Today Chair: Sven Chair: Mark Chair: Reto

Technical Flow Data on model grid Regional Information Model-Selection e.g. Extreme Changes CORDEX Simulations at different scenarios Disaggregated Data Scenario-Selection Local Information ‘Downscaling’ pattern-scaling? e.g. Indicators Local scale Weather Generator Quantile Mapping OBSERVATIONS / CURRENT VARIABILITY