The need for Market Valuation of your portfolio…. SFFAS 1 – Accounting for Selected Assets and Liabilities 72. Disclosure of market value. For investments.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Bond Valuation Chapter 8.
Advertisements

Chapter 24 Bond Price Volatility Fabozzi: Investment Management Graphics by.
Contents Method 1: –Pricing bond from its yield to maturity –Calculating yield from bond price Method 2: –Pricing bond from Duration –Pricing bond from.
CHAPTER 4 BOND PRICES, BOND YIELDS, AND INTEREST RATE RISK.
BOND VALUATION AND RISK 1. ■ Bonds are debt obligations with long-term maturities that are commonly issued by governments or corporations to obtain long-term.
Bond Price, Yield, Duration Pricing and Yield Yield Curve Duration Immunization.
Valuation and Characteristics of Bonds.
1 Bond Valuation Global Financial Management Campbell R. Harvey Fuqua School of Business Duke University
McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Managing Bond Portfolios CHAPTER 11.
INVESTMENTS: Analysis and Management Second Canadian Edition INVESTMENTS: Analysis and Management Second Canadian Edition W. Sean Cleary Charles P. Jones.
7-1 CHAPTER 7 Bonds and Their Valuation Key features of bonds Bond valuation(price) Measuring yield(return) Assessing risk.
6 - 1 CHAPTER 6 Bonds and Their Valuation Key features of bonds Bond valuation Measuring yield Assessing risk.
Valuation and Rates of Return
Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McGraw-Hill /Irwin 3-1 Chapter Three Interest Rates and Security Valuation.
Chapter 11 Bond Yields and Prices. Learning Objectives Calculate the price of a bond. Explain the bond valuation process. Calculate major bond yield measures,
Duration and Yield Changes
Duration and Convexity
Managing Bond Portfolios
6-1 CHAPTER 4 Bonds and Their Valuation Key features of bonds Bond valuation Measuring yield Assessing risk.
Pricing Fixed-Income Securities. The Mathematics of Interest Rates Future Value & Present Value: Single Payment Terms Present Value = PV  The value today.
Chapter 7 Valuation Concepts © 2005 Thomson/South-Western.
Copyright © 2007 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McGraw-Hill /Irwin 3-1 Chapter Three Interest Rates and Security Valuation.
Pricing Fixed-Income Securities
Yields & Prices: Continued
Copyright 2014 by Diane S. Docking1 Duration & Convexity.
Chapter 5 Bond Prices and Interest Rate Risk 1Dr. Hisham Abdelbaki - FIN Chapter 5.
FINC4101 Investment Analysis
Chapter 6 Bond Valuation.
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. CHAPTER 3 What Do Interest Rates Mean and What Is Their Role in Valuation?
Investments: Analysis and Behavior Chapter 15- Bond Valuation ©2008 McGraw-Hill/Irwin.
Interest Rates and Returns: Some Definitions and Formulas
Duration and Portfolio Immunization. Macaulay duration The duration of a fixed income instrument is a weighted average of the times that payments (cash.
BOND PRICES AND INTEREST RATE RISK
Understanding Interest Rates
Chapter 7 - Valuation and Characteristics of Bonds
Class #6, Chap 9 1.  Purpose: to understand what duration is, how to calculate it and how to use it.  Toolbox: Bond Pricing Review  Duration  Concept.
Financial and Investment Mathematics Dr. Eva Cipovova
CHAPTER 5 Bonds, Bond Valuation, and Interest Rates Omar Al Nasser, Ph.D. FIN
© 2016 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license.
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education Chapter 6 Interest Rates And Bond Valuation.
Chapter 9 Debt Instruments Quantitative Issues.
PRICING SECURITIES Chapter 6
6-1 Lecture 6: Valuing Bonds A bond is a debt instrument issued by governments or corporations to raise money The successful investor must be able to:
Financial Markets and Institutions
CHAPTER 5 BOND PRICES AND RISKS. Copyright© 2003 John Wiley and Sons, Inc. Time Value of Money A dollar today is worth more than a dollar in the future.
McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Chapter 13 Duration and Reinvestment Reinvestment Concepts Concepts.
Definition of a Bond n A bond is a security that obligates the issuer to make specified interest and principal payments to the holder on specified dates.
Chapter 8 Jones, Investments: Analysis and Management
CHAPTER ELEVEN Bond Yields and Prices CHAPTER ELEVEN Bond Yields and Prices Cleary / Jones Investments: Analysis and Management.
Class Business Upcoming Homework. Bond Page of the WSJ and other Financial Press Jan 23, 2003.
CHAPTER 5 BOND PRICES AND INTEREST RATE RISK. Learning Objectives Explain the time value of money and its application to bonds pricing. Explain the difference.
Ch.9 Bond Valuation. 1. Bond Valuation Bond: Security which obligates the issuer to pay the bondholder periodic interest payment and to repay the principal.
Bond Valuation and Risk
Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 6 Valuing Bonds Topics Covered The Bond Market Interest Rates and Bond Prices Current Yield and Yield to Maturity.
CHAPTER 5 BOND PRICES AND INTEREST RATE RISK. Copyright© 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.2 The Time Value of Money: Investing—in financial assets or in real.
7-1 Bonds and Their Valuation Key features of bonds Bond valuation Measuring yield Assessing risk.
Real Estate Finance, January XX, 2016 Review.  The interest rate can be thought of as the price of consumption now rather than later If you deposit $100.
McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 6.0 Chapter 6 Interest Rates and Bond Valuation.
Copyright © 2001 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McGraw-Hill /Irwin Chapter Three Interest Rates and Security Valuation.
PowerPoint to accompany Chapter 6 Bonds. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Australia (a division of Pearson Australia Group Ltd) – / Berk/DeMarzo/Harford.
Chapter 6: Pricing Fixed-Income Securities 1. Future Value and Present Value: Single Payment Cash today is worth more than cash in the future. A security.
Chapter 3 Understanding Interest Rates. Present Value : Discounting the Future A dollar paid to you one year from now is less valuable than a dollar paid.
Reporting and interpreting Bonds
INVESTMENT ANALYSIS & PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT
Valuation Concepts © 2005 Thomson/South-Western.
Mutual Fund Management of Bond Funds
Fuqua School of Business Duke University
Bond Valuation Chapter 6.
Presentation transcript:

The need for Market Valuation of your portfolio…. SFFAS 1 – Accounting for Selected Assets and Liabilities 72. Disclosure of market value. For investments in Market-based and marketable Treasury securities, the market valuation should be disclosed. FEDERAL ACCOUNTING STANDARDS ADVISORY BOARD

From the FedInvest system you can select Prior Days Prices which takes you to a listing of price files. You can choose the price file for the particular day you wish to value your portfolio.

Once you choose the price file you use the End of Day price to calculate your market value.

Duration

We also know that longer maturity debt securities tend to be more volatile in price. –For a given change in interest rates, the price of a longer term bond generally changes more than the price of a shorter term bond. We know: –An increase in interest rates causes bond prices to fall, and a decrease in interest rates causes bond prices to rise.

Two bonds with the same term to maturity do not have the same interest- rate risk. –A 10 year zero coupon bond makes all of its payments at the end of the term. –A 10 year coupon bond makes payments before the maturity date.

When interest rates rise, the prices of low coupon securities tend to fall faster than the prices of high coupon securities. Similarly, when interest rates decline, the prices of low coupon rate securities tend to rise faster than the prices of high coupon rate securities.

The new measure permits analysts to construct a linear relationship between term to maturity and security price volatility, regardless of differing coupon rates. Knowledge of the impact of varying coupon rates on security price volatility led to the development of a new index of maturity other than straight calendar time.

Duration is measured in years; however, do not confuse it with a bond’s maturity. For all bonds, duration is shorter than maturity except zero coupon bonds, whose duration is equal to maturity. This is because all cash flows are received at maturity. is the measure of the price sensitivity of a fixed-income security to an interest rate change of 100 basis points. The calculation is based on the weighted average of the present values for all cash flows. Duration…

The term “duration,” having a special meaning in the context of bonds, is a measurement of how long in years it takes for the price of a bond to be repaid by its internal cash flows. It is an important measure for investors to consider, as bonds with higher durations are more risky and have higher price volatility than bonds with lower durations. For each of the two basic types of bonds the duration is the following: 1. Zero-coupon bond – Duration is equal to its time to maturity. 2. Straight bond – Duration will always be less than its time to maturity. Here are some visual models that demonstrate the properties of duration for a zero- coupon bond and a straight bond.

Duration of a Zero-Coupon Bond The red lever above represents the four-year time period it takes for a zero coupon to mature. The money bag balancing on the far right represents the future value of the bond, the amount that will be paid to the bondholder at maturity. The fulcrum, or the point holding the lever, represents duration, which must be positioned where the red lever is balanced. The fulcrum balances the red lever at the point on the time line when the amount paid for the bond and the cash flow received from the bond are equal. Since the entire cash flow of a zero-coupon bond occurs at maturity, the fulcrum is located directly below this one payment.

Duration of a Straight Bond Consider a straight bond that pays coupons annually and matures in five years. Its cash flows consist of five annual coupon payments and the last payment includes the face value of the bond. The moneybags represent the cash flows you will receive over the five-year period. To balance the red lever (at the point where total cash flows equal the amount paid for the bond), the fulcrum must be further to the left, at a point before maturity. Unlike the zero- coupon bond, the straight bond pays coupon payments throughout its life and therefore repays the full amount paid for the bond sooner.

Factors Affecting Duration It is important to note, however, that duration changes as the coupons are paid to the bondholder. As the bondholder receives a coupon payment, the amount of the cash flow is no longer on the timeline, which means it is no longer counted as a future cash flow that goes towards repaying the bondholder. Our model of the fulcrum demonstrates this: as the first coupon payment is removed from the red lever (paid to the bondholder), the lever is no longer in balance (because the coupon payment is no longer counted as a future cash flow).

Duration increases immediately on the day a coupon is paid, but throughout the life of the bond, the duration is continually decreasing as time to the bond’s maturity decreases. The movement of time is represented above as the shortening of the red lever: notice how the first duration had five payment periods and the above diagram has only four. This shortening of the timeline, however, occurs gradually, and as it does, duration continually decreases. So, in summary, duration is decreasing as time moves closer to maturity, but duration also increases momentarily on the day a coupon is paid and removed from the series of future cash flows – all this occurs until duration, as it does for a zero-coupon bond, eventually converges with the bond’s maturity. The fulcrum must now move to the right in order to balance the lever again:

Coupon rate and Yield also affect the bond’s duration. Bonds with high coupon rates and in turn high yields will tend to have a lower duration than bonds that pay low coupon rates, or offer a low yield. This makes sense, since when a bond pays a higher coupon rate the holder of the security received repayment for the security at a faster rate. The diagram below summarizes how duration changes with coupon rate and yield. Duartion – Other factors:

Macaulay Duration The formula usually used to calculate a bond’s basic duration is the Macaulay duration, which was created by Frederick Macaulay in 1938 but not commonly used until the 1970s. Macaulay duration is calculated by adding the results of multiplying the present value of each cash flow by the time it is received, and dividing by the total price of the security. The formula for Macaulay duration is as follows: n = number of cash flows t = time to maturity C = cash flow i = yield to maturity M = maturity par value Let’s go through an example:

If you hold a five-year bond with a par value of $1,000 and a coupon rate of 5%. For simplicity, assume that the bond is paid annually and that interest rates are 3% (yield). n = number of cash flows t = time to maturity C = cash flow i = yield to maturity M = maturity par value Fortunately if you are seeking the Macaulay duration of a zero-coupon bond, the duration would be equal to the bond’s maturity, so there is no calculation required.

Therefore… Therefore… the lower the coupon rate, the higher the duration of the bond.

Coupon Bonds: duration is shorter than maturity  Discount bonds (yield is greater than coupon): duration increases at a decreasing rate up to a point, after which it declines  Par value bonds: duration increases with maturity.  Premium bonds (yield is less than coupon): duration increases throughout but at a lesser rate than with a par value bond.

 Duration depends on yield-to-maturity.  The higher the yield the shorter the duration, other things being equal.

 In Treasury bonds, the only source of risk stems from interest rate changes.  Duration is a measure of this source of risk.  Duration allows bonds of different maturities and coupon rates to be directly compared.

@DURATION(settlement;maturity;coupon;yield;[frequency];[basis]) calculates the annual duration for a security that pays periodic interest. Example A security has a July 1, 1993, settlement date and a December 1, 1998, maturity date. The semiannual coupon rate is 5.50% and the annual yield is 5.61%. The bond has a 30/360 day-count basis. To determine the security's annual duration: =

DURATION(settlement,maturity,coupon yld,frequency,basis) Example A bond has the following terms: January 1, 1998, settlement date January 1, 2006, maturity date 8 percent coupon 9.0 percent yield Frequency is semiannual Actual/actual basis The duration (in the 1900 date system) is: DURATION("1/1/1998","1/1/2006",0.08,0.09,2,1) equals

if you would like to receive either or both of the reports. Include which report (Market Valuation and/or Duration) you would like to receive, the Account Fund Symbol(s), and a date for which you want the information. Questions?