Human Failures in Accidents New Zealand Helicopter Association
A FEW ACCIDENTS… Chernobyl (USSR) 1986 $12 billion US cost to the Soviet economy
Exxon Valdez, Alaska (USA) 1989 Oil Spill: 11 million US gallons
Flying Tigers, B747, (Malaysia) crew killed, aircraft destroyed
Deepwater Horizon, Gulf of Mexico (USA) million barrels of oil spilt
Costa Concordia, Guam (USA) people drowned
Hindenburg, New Jersey (USA) people killed
Mars Climate Orbiter, Mars (Space) $1 billion spacecraft lost
Union Carbide Plant, Bhopal, (India) 1984 Approx dead
STS Challenger, Florida (USA) astronauts killed
ZK-HJN, Lake Manapouri, (New Zealand) dead
ZK-SML, Mount Duppa, (New Zealand) dead
RMS Titanic, Atlantic Ocean, dead
What do these accidents/incidents/disasters have in common ? Human Failures Human Errors
HUMAN ERROR
EVEN EXPERTS CAN MAKE ERRORS
An Error Unintentional deviation from organizational expectations or crew intentions (the best people can make the worst errors) A Violation (Intentional Non-compliance)? Intentional deviation from organizational expectations or crew intentions ERRORS AND VIOLATIONS
TYPES OF ERORS Slips – attention failure (omission, reversal, mis- ordering, mistiming) Lapses – memory failure (omitting planned items, place-losing, forgetting intentions) Mistakes Rule based (misapplication of a good rule or application of a bad rule) Knowledge based – inaccurate or incomplete system mental model
TYPES OF ERRORS Slips – attention failure (omission, reversal, mis- ordering, mistiming) Lapses – memory failure (omitting planned items, place-losing, forgetting intentions) Mistakes Rule based (misapplication of a good rule or application of a bad rule) Knowledge based – inaccurate or incomplete system mental model
WHAT ABOUT VIOLATIONS ? Routine – habitual departures from rules and regulations Situational – deviation from procedures or rules needed to get the job done due to a mismatch between a work situation and available procedures or rules Optimising - individual satisfying other motives (excitement, impressing others, cutting corners…)
WHAT ABOUT THREATS …. An external event or object that a crew has to deal with that could become consequential to safety
WHAT TO DO ? Design systems to be error tolerant (system still functions after an error has been made) Design systems to be error proof (design prevents an error being made at all or makes it difficult for an error to be made)
Train personnel to try and avoid making errors and/or detect the errors that have been made and correct them and/or limit the effects of errors that already been made. WHAT TO DO ABOUT ERRORS ? Train personnel so well that they do not make errors Install computers to prevent human error Design systems to be error tolerant (system still functions after an error has been made) Design systems to be error proof (design prevents an error being made at all or makes it difficult for an error to be made) Use other safeguards and defences (checklists)
What do these accidents/incidents/disasters have in common ? Human Failures Human Errors Non-technical Skill Failures
N.T.S. – OUR SKILL BASE Technical Skills Company Personnel Non Technical Skills
Accident Technical Skills Failure Non-Technical Skills Failure Timeline FAILURES AND ACCIDENTS 70% of accidents due to NTS failures
DECISION MAKING SITUATIONAL AWARENESS Information acquisition and processing Workload management Leadership and managerial skills Threat and error management Stress and stress management Cultural factors Communication Fatigue and fatigue management Automation N.T.S. CORE ELEMENTS Automation Issues: Mode Confusion Mode Error such as… Selecting incorrect mode, Misreading a display, Missing mode transitions, Assuming it is turned on, Not understanding logic Training ? Basic Skills ?
IN THE BEGINNING…
THEN…
A QUANTUM LEAP ? …
NOW… LOTS OF AUTOMATION
THEN…
NOW…
DECISION MAKING SITUATIONAL AWARENESS Information acquisition and processing Workload management Leadership and managerial skills Threat and error management Stress and stress management Cultural factors Communication Fatigue and fatigue management Automation N.T.S. CORE ELEMENTS
NZ Helicopter Occurrences
ACCIDENTS AND PAX NUMBERS Boeing ICAO HULL LOSSES PER MILLION DEPARTURESGROWTH IN TRILLIONS OF RPK
TECHNICAL FAILURES v NON-TECHNICAL SKILL FAILURES TECHNILOGICAL FAILURES HUMAN PERFORMANCE Hollnagel TRENDS IN ATTRIBUTED ACCIDENT CAUSES NON-TECHNICAL SKILL FAILURES
Landmark Accidents
LANDMARK ACCIDENTS: TENERIFE 1977
LANDMARK ACCIDENTS: Kegworth 1989
LANDMARK ACCIDENTS: Valujet 1996
LANDMARK ACCIDENTS: Chicago 1979
Who should undergo NTS training ? Flight Crew Cabin Crew Maintenance Engineers Other Operational Safety Critical Personnel Management Link your NTS training program to your SMS
Understand personal limitations Improve awareness, knowledge and skills Change attitudes, modify behaviours Improve cross-functional collaboration Develop adaptive capacity (personally and organisationally) Improve SAFETY and efficiency NTS TRAINING BENEFITS
Source: Ascend /Aviation Safety Network/Flight Safety Foundation SOME SOBERING NUMBERS (2013) Airline Fatalities: accidents Road Fatalities: 1.24 million USD $580 billion Passenger Numbers: 3.1 billion 32,500,000 flights Medical Fatalities: 3.5 million 223,000,000 procedures
Thanks for your time New Zealand Helicopter Association Contact: Glen Eastlake, Queenstown, New Zealand