GOES-R Program Update Steven Goodman GOES-R Program Senior Scientist

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Presentation transcript:

GOES-R Program Update Steven Goodman GOES-R Program Senior Scientist NOAA/NESDIS/GOES-R Program Office Greenbelt, MD 20771 USA (steve.goodman@noaa.gov)  GLM AWG/R3 Science Team Meeting Huntsville, AL September 29-30, 2009

Outline Flight Status Proving Ground GOES-R Risk Reduction Summary HWT Spring Experiment Convective Initiation Lightning Detection, Trending Future Plans GOES-R Risk Reduction Innovative Ideas for Multi-instrument Blended Satellite Products Visiting Scientist Program JCSDA 2010 Data Assimilation Initiative Summary http://www.goes-r.gov http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes_r/proving-ground.html

GOES-R Flight Status Element Function Contractor Status Spacecraft Platform for the environmental sensors and communications Lockheed Martin Space Systems Company Kick off -Sept 21 Advanced Baseline Imager (ABI) Primary Instrument: Provides imagery of the Earth’s surface, atmosphere and ground cover ITT Engineering unit in test Geostationary Lightning Mapper (GLM) Detects the frequency and location of lightning activity Critical design underway* CDR- Dry Run March 29 CDR April 19 Space Environmental In-Situ Suite (SEISS) Monitors the space environment Assurance Technology Corporation Critical design phase: Brassboard development Extreme Ultra Violet / X-Ray Irradiance Sensor (EXIS) Provides real time measurement of solar activity. Observes the sun’s emissions and provides early detection and location of flares Laboratory for Atmospheric and Space Physics Critical design underway Solar Ultra Violet Imager (SUVI) Magnetometer Measures the magnitude and direction of the Earth’s magnetic field *GLM CDR schedule as of Sept 2009

Flight Technical Status (ABI) Prototype Model (PTM) EXIS SUVI SEISS GLM 4 4 4 4

GOES-R Spacecraft

GOES-R Program Master Schedule FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 Spacecraft (Lockheed)* ABI (ITT) SEISS (ATC) EXIS (LASP) SUVI (LM) GLM (LM) Ground Segment Prime Contract: MM, PG, PD, EM (Harris)* CLASS Upgrades (OSD)* Antennas (TBD)* ESPDS / GAS (OSD)* PDR CDR GRD IBR Requirements Complete *Schedule is notional until Integrated Baseline Review CA PTM EU Construction Integration/ Testing Design/ Development Deliverable Milestone Delta CDR GOES-R Program Office

Risk Reduction (Mitigation) 4/19/2017 GOES-R User Readiness Risk Reduction (Mitigation)

GOES-R Algorithm/Product Readiness Underpinning Research & Development (new applications & Day 2 Products) Risk Reduction Pre & Post Launch Sensor Calibration and validation Calibration Working Group Operational Algorithm Readiness Development and Transition to Operations Algorithm Working Group Sustained Post Launch Validation and Reactive Science Maintenance Algorithm Working Group User Readiness Proving Ground Outreach Training 8 8

GOES-R OPERATIONAL PRODUCTS OPTION 2 (Enhanced Capability) BASELINE (Continuity) Cloud Layer/Heights Cloud Ice Water Path Cloud Liquid Water Cloud Type Convective Initiation Turbulence Low Cloud and Fog Visibility Surface Albedo Upward and Downward Longwave Radiation Upward and Absorbed Shortwave Radiation Total Ozone SO2 Detections (Volcanoes) Surface Emissivity Aerosol Particle Size Vegetation Index Vegetation Fraction Snow Depth Flood Standing Water Rainfall probability and potential Enhanced “V”/Overshooting Top Aircraft Icing Threat Ice Cover Sea & Lake Ice Concentration, Age, Extent, Motion Ocean Currents. Clouds and Moisture Imagery Clear Sky Masks Temperature and Moisture Profiles Total Precipitable Water Stability Parameters (Lifted Index) Cloud Top Pressure and Height Cloud Top Phase Cloud Particle Size Distribution Cloud Optical Path Rainfall Rate Aerosols Optical Depth Atmospheric Motion Vectors (AMVs) Hurricane Intensity Volcanic Ash Fire/Hot Spot Characterization Land and Sea Surface Temperature Snow Cover Downward Surface Insolation Lightning Detection

GOES-R Proving Ground Partners Green Bay, WI WFO Sullivan, WI WFO Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies Madison, Wisconsin Sterling, VA WFO Cheyenne, WY WFO Cooperative Remote Sensing Science and Technology Center New York, NY Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere Fort Collins, Colorado La Crosse, WI WFO Boulder, CO WFO NWS Headquarters; Cooperative Institute for Satellite Climate Studies; Center for Satellite Applications and Research; Office of Satellite Data Processing and Distribution; GOES-R Program Office; University of Maryland Baltimore County Maryland Eureka, CA WFO NWS Central Region Kansas City, MO Melbourne, FL WFO NASA Kennedy Space Center NWS Alaska Region Anchorage, Alaska The image on the upper right (from CIMSS) shows simulated ABI imagery (from the WRF model) of hurricane Katrina, which will be part of a weather event simulator case for demonstrating the value of the new ABI channels and improved temporal and spatial resolution. The WES case will be provided to forecast offices as part of the GOES-R Proving Ground. The case is scheduled to go to the Sullivan Forecast Office for an Alpha test in June. Lower right images (from SPoRT), left side shows a proxy for GLM total lightning flash rate from the ground based network centered over Huntsville. These proxy GLM products are provided to nearby forecast offices and to SPC as part of the Proving Ground effort in the spring experiment. The right side of the frame shows a composite sea surface temperature product from MODIS that is comparable to what we will be able to see from ABI sea surface temperatures. With GOES, since we have more opportunities to view cloud free scenes than from polar satellites, the composite images can be produced more often, and with the additional ABI channels we will be better able to compensate for atmospheric contamination and provide more accurate sea surface temperatures. The lower left image shows a simulated true color image (from CIRA). With GOES-R, we will have a red channel (.64 micron), a blue channel (.47 micron), but no green channel. CIRA has developed a technique to simulate the green channel from the blue, red and near IR ABI channels to provide near true color imagery. With the information provided by CIRA in the Proving Ground, the next generation AWIPS will be capable of producing the channel combinations required to generate near true-color images. The upper left image (Alaska PG and CIMSS) shows a proxy of one of the component products that will be part of the ABI volcanic ash product. This particular image is generated by AVHRR data. With the frequent polar satellite passes at high latitudes, Alaska is the ideal location to demonstrate ABI products by using proxy data from operational and research polar orbiting satellites. NWS Pacific Region Honolulu, Hawaii NCEP Tropical Prediction Center Joint Hurricane Testbed Miami, Florida (Planned for FY2010) Huntsville, AL WFO University of Alabama Huntsville NASA Short-term Prediction Research and Transition Center Huntsville, AL NCEP: National Centers for Environmental Prediction NWS: National Weather Service WFO: Weather Forecast Office NCEP Storm Prediction Center; Norman, OK WFO; National Severe Storms Laboratory; University of Oklahoma; Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies Norman, Oklahoma Hazardous Weather Testbed- Experimental Forecast and Warning Programs 10

NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed 4/19/2017 Two Main Program Areas… Experimental Warning Program Forecast EFP EWP Prediction of hazardous weather events from a few hours to a week in advance Detection and prediction of hazardous weather events up to several hours in advance

Initial Products & Examples 4/19/2017 Initial Products & Examples Four GOES-R Proving Ground products available at the SPC for 2009 Spring Experiment 15-minute Cloud-top Cooling (CTC) Rate (UW-CIMSS) Monitors cloud-top IR brightness temperature based on an operational cloud mask using a box-averaging method Convective Initiation (CI) Nowcast (UW-CIMSS) Based on CTC product with more stringent requirements for cloud-top microphysical properties 10-km Total Lightning Source Density (SPoRT/NSSL) Re-sampled from three LMA networks (Huntsville, AL, Washington DC and Norman, OK) 0-1 Hour Probability of Severe Hail (CIRA) Based on RUC objective analysis fields and cloud-top temperature

2010 HWT Plans and Opportunities Provide select products for real-time testing within SPC operations Invitations and announcements for 2010 Spring Experiment in January/February… experiment likely begins in late April Expanded product suite possibilities TPW/LI/CAPE Continuous CTC Enhanced-V/overshooting tops GLM proxy-LMA 10-km flashes, density and pixel-based trends Ingest LMA data from Cape Canaveral network 0-6 hour severe hail, wind and tornado forecast Others… Additional Experiments (spread out during the year) Fire weather/heavy rain experiment (August) Winter weather experiment (December/January) NWP- Short-Range Ensemble Forecasts (warn on forecast)

Proving Ground Summary Proving Ground Program Plan under development Phase I spin-up at CIMSS, CIRA (2008) Phase II added SPoRT, AQ, Alaska, Pacific HWT IOP with VORTEX-2 (2009, 2010) JHT IOP with GRIP (NASA), PREDICT (NSF) 2010 Need real time and archived events (AWIPS2, WES) PG is the ultimate tool for user interaction Must maintain focus on clear path to operations Ensuring pathway into operations by developing GOES-R proxy products for the AWIPS2 environment Existing and Planned collaborations with NOAA Testbeds- HWT, JHT, DTC, HMT, JCSDA, others (Aviation Testbed)

Capacity Building and Outreach GOES Users Conferences, Meetings, Symposia Southern Thunder (ST09) held in July at Cocoa Beach, FL GUC VI November 3-5, 2009 at Madison, WI PG Annual Meeting May (25?), 2010 at Boulder, CO AWG/R3 Annual Meeting, May-June, 2010 at Madison, WI Pacific Region PG Meeting, July-August, 2010 at Honolulu, HI Outreach Materials Fact Sheets for Proving Ground and Products in development- distribution targeted for NWA October, GUC VI November, and AMS January Web site improvements underway Tri-fold updated with spacecraft, 10K bookmarks for distribution Training modules (COMET, VISITView)- GOES-R Overview completed 2 staff at NWS HQS to support Proving Ground planning and implementation 1 satellite champion at NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed in Norman, OK IOP held spring 2009, IOP planned for spring 2010 1 Data Assimilation visiting scientist at GSD/ESRL in Boulder, CO to develop HRRR/WRF capability- job announcement forthcoming 3 Data Assimilation scientists at EMC to develop 4D-VAR/EnKF capability

Capacity Building and Outreach Fact Sheet Tri-fold Book Marks

Innovative Ideas for Multi-instrument Blended Satellite Products 4/19/2017 Innovative Ideas for Multi-instrument Blended Satellite Products New topical areas (phenology, energy applications) New investigators/team members are encouraged Projects that “bridge the gap” between current single-instrument or single-satellite projects (such as making connections between currently funded SSMIS and GLM projects focused on precipitation) Projects that result in portable applications with software following industry coding standards are encouraged Selections include: Combining GOES-R (ABI+GLM) and GPM to improve GOES-R rainrate product Using Hyperspectral POES Products to Improve GOES-R ABI Temperature/Moisture Profiles Combined Geo/Leo High Latitude Atmospheric Motion Vectors (to fill gap between 60 and 70 deg latitude)

Visiting Scientist Program Initiative 4/19/2017 Visiting Scientist Program Initiative To exchange ideas and formulate cross-cutting proposals to explore innovative multi-sensor blended satellite products that will be possible in the GOES-R era Ideas can be explored in detail during visits of 1-4 weeks duration. 10 proposals selected for 2010 including: 5 researcher visits of 1-2 weeks to Hazardous Weather Testbed/NCEP Storm Prediction Center (Aviation, Fire Weather, NWP) CalNEX Air Quality/Trace Gas Field Validation Campaign participation River flood product collaboration with NWS Office of Hydrology ABI+GLM advanced products for aviation weather hazards (oceanic) Martin Setvak (CMHI, NC-SAF) visit to CIRA- severe convection/clouds Attendance at Nowcasting SAF 2010 User’s Workshop Cloud Algorithm Collaboration with NC-SAF, Swedish Hydrological and Meteorological Institute (SMHI) and CM-SAF Royal Dutch Meteorological Institute (KNMI)

JCSDA 2010 Data Assimilation Initiative 4/19/2017 Funding Opportunity Title: Research in Satellite Data Assimilation for Numerical Weather, Climate and Environmental Forecast Systems Funding Opportunity: NOAA-NESDIS-NESDISPO-2010-2001902 (Proposals Due October 13, 2009) The JCSDA’s goal is to accelerate the abilities of NOAA, DOD, and NASA to ingest and effectively use large volumes of data from current and future satellite-based instruments (over the next 10 years). Maximizing the impact of these observations on numerical weather prediction and data assimilation systems is a high priority of the JCSDA. New for 2010: Advanced Instruments (e.g. IASI, ASCAT, SSMIS, Jason-2/3, SMOS, Aquarius, ADM, CrIS, ATMS, ABI, GLM, GPM, and other planned research missions) are or will become available over the course of the next decade. - Impact studies of assimilating future instruments data and products on the forecast of severe weather events (hurricanes, flash flooding, etc) at both global and regional scales. Full announcement at JCSDA web site:http://www.jcsda.noaa.gov/ or through Grants-On- Line (www.grants.gov) Please contact Sid-Ahmed Boukabara with any questions (sid.boukabara@noaa.gov).

Summary GOES-R Flight Segment- sensors making great progress ABI Prototype model in test Other sensors heading towards Critical Design Review (CDR) GOES-R Ground Segment- development under way Ground SRR October 27-30, Melbourne, FL Major Contractor (Harris) onboard and working towards Integrated Baseline Review (November) and Preliminary Design. Government Algorithm team making Great Progress on developing Mature ATBD Successful ADEB Review August 27-28 The 80% algorithms on track for Sept 30 delivery Starting some initial Cal/Val experiments GOES-R Proving Ground activities ensuring GOES-R readiness

6th GOES Users’ Conference http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes_r/meetings/guc2009/ 3-5 November 2009 Monona Terrace Convention Center Madison, Wisconsin Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites: http://www.goes-r.gov Special Event on 2 November: 50th Anniversary of the 1st Meteorological Satellite Experiment