Aero Club of Washington William Voss President/CEO June 30, 2009

Major Accidents Worldwide Commercial Jets 1998 – 2008 Source: Ascend * Reliable worldwide departure/rate data not available for Eastern-Built Aircraft

Source: Ascend Major Accident Rate Western-Built Commercial Jets* 1997 – 2008 Accident rate per million departures * Reliable total departure data not available for Eastern-Built Aircraft

CEO & COO BriefIATA Safety Report Breakdown: Accident Categories

CEO & COO BriefIATA Safety Report Regional Rate: Western-built Jet Hull Losses

6 What it Looks Like to the Public

20 August — Spanair Madrid

22 September — XL Airways Perpignan, France

20 December — Continental Denver

15 January — US Airways New York

12 February — Colgan Air Buffalo

25 February — Turkish Airways Amsterdam

20 March – Emirates Airlines Melbourne 13

23 March – FEDEX Tokyo

1 June - Air France

30 June – Yemenia 626 Comoros 16

NEW TRENDS 17

The Biggest Killer 18 Used to be CFIT

The Biggest Killer 19 Now it is Loss of Control

LOOKING TO THE FUTURE 20

21 The Future is Inescapable We are in the middle of an explosion of the world's middle class About 70m people a year globally are entering this wealth group Accelerating to 90m a year by 2030 In 20 years 2bn people will have joined the ranks of the middle class Source: Chief economist, Goldman Sachs, July 2008

ICAO IATA Revised Forecast 22

Where Traffic Growth will Occur 23 Source: Airbus Global Market Forecast

What about the Regulator? 190 state regulatory agencies “ With respect to aircraft operations, approximately half of the audited states have an insufficient number of flight operations inspectors to adequately perform safety oversight of civil aviation activities.” ICAO 24

RESPONSES 25

Safety is Information Driven 26 Share the information Protect the information Act on the information

Share the Information Between competitors Between segments of the industry Between regulators 27

Safety is Information Driven 28 Share the information Protect the information Act on the information

Protect the Information Public demanding more accountability Prosecutions becoming frequent Direct interference with safety investigations becoming an issue

A Balanced to be Maintained 30 SafetyJustice AccountabilityPunishmentRedress Data Protection Reporting

Flight Safety Foundation Criticizes Prosecutorial Interference With Accident Investigation The Flight Safety Foundation sharply criticized the interference of prosecutors in ongoing aviation accident investigations in Italy and France, warning that such interference hampers efforts to improve aviation safety and prevent similar accidents in the future 31

Joint Resolution Regarding Criminalization of Aviation Accidents

Legislative Protections 33 Flight Safety Foundation Calls for Stronger Protection of Volunteered Aviation Safety Information FSF today endorsed the creation of a “qualified exception” from discovery of voluntary self- disclosure reporting programs, similar to the protection already provided in U.S. law against the use of Cockpit Voice Recorder …

Safety is Information Driven 34 Share the information Protect the information Act on the information

Act on the Information Update old rules with new information –Fatigue Risk Management Build on the substantial existing science –Training in this century, for this century Create meaningful standards that reflect the real world Respond to emerging trends –Are yesterdays scenarios still today’s threats? 35

Summary The accident rate is starting to increase The causes are shifting Growth is inevitable and we are not positioned to handle it Safety information is the key, but it must be shared, protected, and acted upon Time to act on fatigue and training without regard to past constraints 36

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