Lecture 4 Working with Supply and Demand Price Ceilings, Price Floors Price Elasticity of Demand Elasticity and Total Revenue Determinants of price elasticity of demand Income Elasticity of Demand Cross-Price Elasticity of Demand Determinants of price elasticity of supply
Price Ceilings Government-imposed maximum price that prevents the price of a good from rising above a certain level in a market Short side of the Market Smaller of quantity supplied and quantity demanded at a particular price When quantity supplied and quantity demanded differ, short side of market will prevail Price ceiling creates a shortage and increases the time and trouble required to buy the good While the price decreases, the opportunity cost may rise Black Market A market created by unintended consequences of government intervention Goods are sold illegally at a price above the legal ceiling
Figure 1: A Price Ceiling in the Market for Maple Syrup 5. With a black market, the lower quantity sells for a higher price than initially. Number of Bottles of Maple Syrup per Period Price per Bottle 3. and decreases quantity supplied. 4. The result is a shortage – the distance between R and V. S T $4.00 E 3.00 R V 2. increases quantity demanded 2.00 D 40,000 50,000 60,000 1. A price ceiling lower than the equilibrium price . . .
Price Floors Government imposed minimum amount below which price is not permitted to fall Price floors for agricultural goods are commonly called price support programs When sellers produce more of the good than buyers want at the price floor Remaining goods become a surplus that no one wants at the imposed price Government responds by maintaining price floors Uses taxpayer dollars to buy up entire excess supply of the good in question Prevents excess supply from doing what it would ordinarily do Drive price down to its equilibrium value
Figure 2: A Price Floor in the Market for Nonfat Dry Milk Millions of Pounds Price per Pound 2. decreases quantity demanded . . . 3. and increases quantity supplied. 1. A price floor higher than the equilibrium price . . . S K J $0.81 A 0.65 4. The result is a surplus the – distance between K and J – which government must buy. D 180 200 220
Limiting Surplus A price floor creates a surplus of goods In order to maintain price floor, government must prevent surplus from driving down market price Government often accomplishes this goal by purchasing surplus with taxpayers dollars. USDA spent $500 million to buy 636 million pounds of surplus nonfat dry milk. Price floors often get government deeply involved in production decisions Rather than leaving them to the market Example: U.S. government developed a complicated management system to control the production and sale of milk to manufacturers and processors.
Benefits and costs of price floor for diary product Benefits: help farmer when they are in need. Many farmers who benefit from price floors are wealthy or powerful who don’t need assistance. Costs: (1) taxpayers’ money (2) consumers pay higher price ($10.4 billion from 1986 to 2001) (3) cost of health effect (calcium and protein deficiencies) More cost effective if given directly to those truly in need.
The Problem with Rate Change For a particular good, when price rises by $1, quantity demanded falls by 500 units per period. (1)chocolate bars purchases in U.S. (2)private jets purchased in U.S. Rate of change of quantity demanded compared to the change in price is not a good measure of price sensitivity Doesn’t tell whether a change in price or a change in quantity demanded is a relatively large or relatively small change Relative means compared to value of price or quantity before change
The Elasticity Approach Elasticity approach improves on the problems with rate of change By comparing percentage change in quantity demanded with percentage change in price Price elasticity of demand (ED) for a good is percentage change in quantity demanded divided by percentage change in price Will virtually always be a negative number Tells us percentage change in quantity demanded for each 1% increase in price Price elasticity of demand tells us percentage change in quantity demanded caused by a 1% rise in price as we move along a demand curve from one point to another
Calculating Price Elasticity of Demand When calculating elasticity base value for percentage changes in price or quantity is always midway between initial value and new value When price changes from any value P0 to any other value P1, we define the percentage change in price as When quantity demanded changes from Q0 to Q1, percentage change is calculated as
Figure 3: Calculating Price Elasticity of Demand Quantity of Laptops C Price per Laptop 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 $3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 B A D
An Example: Calculating Price Elasticity of Demand Now let’s calculate an elasticity of demand for laptop computers using data in Figure 3 from point A to point B Use percentage changes for price and quantity to calculate price elasticity of demand (ED)
Elasticity and Straight-Line Demand Curves As we move upward and leftward along a straight-line demand curve Same absolute increment in price will correspond to smaller and smaller percentage increments in price Because base price used to calculate percentage changes keeps rising Same absolute decrease in quantity corresponds to larger and larger percentage decreases in quantity As we move upward and leftward by equal distances, percentage change in quantity rises Percentage change in price falls Elasticity of demand varies along a straight-line demand curve Demand becomes more elastic as we move upward and leftward
Calculating Price Elasticity of Demand from Point C to Point D
Figure 4: Elasticity and Straight-Line Demand Curves Since equal dollar increases (vertical arrows) are smaller and smaller percentage increases . . . Quantity Price and since equal quantity decreases (horizontal arrows) are larger and larger percentage decreases . . . 3 2 1 demand becomes more and more elastic as we move leftward and upward along a straight-line demand curve. D
Categorizing Goods by Elasticity Inelastic Demand Price elasticity of demand between 0 and -1 |% Change in Quantity Demanded| < |% Change in Price| Perfectly Inelastic Demand: Price elasticity of demand equal to 0 Examples: Drug ‘insulin’ for diabetics to control their blood sugar. No substitutes. ‘Antibiotics’. Addicts. Necessities.
Categorizing Goods by Elasticity Elastic Demand Price elasticity of demand with absolute value > 1 |% Change in Quantity Demanded| > |% Change in Price| Examples: Luxury goods Perfectly (infinitely) Elastic Demand Price elasticity of demand approaching minus infinity Unitary Elastic Demand Price elasticity of demand equal to -1
Figure 5: Extreme Cases of Demand Quantity Price per Unit 1 2 3 $4 20 40 60 80 100 (b) Quantity 20 40 60 80 100 1 2 3 $4 Price per Unit D Perfectly Elastic Demand Perfectly Inelastic Demand D
Elasticity and Total Revenue Total revenue (TR) of all firms in the market is defined as TR = P x Q When two numbers are both changing, percentage change in their product is (approximately) the sum of their individual percentage changes Applying this to total revenue % Change in TR = % Change in Price + % Change in Quantity Demanded Assume demand is unitary elastic and Q rises by 10% % Change in TR = 10% + (-10%) = 0
Elasticity and Total Revenue If demand is inelastic, a 10% rise in price will cause quantity demanded to fall by less than 10% % change in TR = 10% + (something less negative than –10%) > 0 If demand is elastic, so that Q falls by more than 10% TR will fall % Change in TR = 10% + (something more negative than -10%) < 0
Elasticity and Total Revenue Where demand is inelastic, total revenue moves in same direction as price Where demand is elastic, total revenue moves in opposite direction from price Where demand is unitary elastic, total revenue remains the same as price changes At any point on a demand curve sellers’ total revenue (buyers’ total expenditure) is the area of a rectangle Width equal to quantity demanded Height equal to price
Figure 6: Elasticity and Total Expenditure Quantity of Laptops 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 $3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 Price per Laptop 2. At point B, revenue is $750 million. 3. Moving from A to B, expenditure increases, so demand must be inelastic over that range. 1. At point A , where price is $1,000 and 600,000 laptops are demanded, revenue is $600 million. B A D
Table: Some Short-Run Price Elasticities of Demand Specific Brands Narrow Categories Broad Categories Tide Detergent -2.79 Pepsi -2.08 Coke -1.71 Transatlantic Travel -1.3 Tourism in Thailand -1.2 Ground Beef -1.02 Pork -0.78 Milk -0.54 Cigarettes -0.45 Electricity -0.40 to -0.50 Beer -0.26 Eggs -0.26 Gasoline -0.20 Oil -0.15 Recreation -1.09 Clothing -0.89 Food -0.67 Imports -0.58 Transportation -0.56
Availability of Substitutes Demand is more elastic If close substitutes are easy to find and buyers can cut back on purchases of the good in question Demand is less elastic If close substitutes are difficult to find and buyers can not cut back on purchases of the good in question
Narrowness of Market More narrowly we define a good, easier it is to find substitutes More elastic is demand for the good More broadly we define a good Harder it is to find substitutes and the less elastic is demand for the good Different things are assumed constant when we use a narrow definition compared with a broader definition
Necessities vs. Luxuries The more “necessary” we regard an item, the harder it is to find a substitute Expect it to be less price elastic The less “necessary” (luxurious) we regard an item, the easier it is to find a substitute Expect it to be more price elastic
Table: Adjustments after a rise in the price of gasoline Short Run (a few months or few) Long Run (a year or more) Use public transit more often Arrange a car pool Drive more slowly on the highway Eliminate unnecessary trips If there are two cars, use the more fuel-efficient one Buy a more fuel-efficient car Move closer to your job Switch to a job closer to home Mover to a city where less driving is required
Time Horizon Short-run elasticity Long-run elasticity Measured a short time after a price change Long-run elasticity Measured a year or more after a price change Usually easier to find substitutes for an item in the long run than in the short run Therefore, demand tends to be more elastic in the long run than in the short run
Importance in the Buyer’s Budget The more of their total budgets that households spend on an item The more elastic is demand for that item Example: housing, transatlantic air travel The less of their total budgets that households spend on an item The less elastic is demand for that item Example: salt
Using Price Elasticity of Demand: The War on Drugs Every year U.S. Government spends about $20 billion on efforts to restrict the supply of drugs Figure 9(a) Market for heroin without government intervention Figure 9(b) Result of government efforts to restrict supply (current policy) Figure 9(c) Results of an effective policy of reducing demand
Figure 7a: The War on Drugs Quantity Price per Unit (a) S1 A P1 D1 Q1
Figure 7b: The War on Drugs Quantity Price per Unit S2 B S1 P2 A P1 D1 Q2 Q1 A rise in price will increase the total expenditure of drug users. Many drug users Support themselves through crime. Total revenue for illegal drug industry increases too.
Figure 7c: The War on Drugs Quantity Price per Unit S1 A P1 C P3 D1 D2 Q3 Q1 Heavier advertisement against drug use, and greater availability of treatment Centers for addicts.
Income Elasticity of Demand Percentage change in quantity demanded divided by the percentage change in income With all other influences on demand—including the price of the good—remaining constant Interpret this number as percentage increase in quantity demanded for each 1% rise in income
Income Elasticity of Demand Income elasticities vs. price elasticities of demand Price elasticity of demand Measures effect of change in price of good Assumes that other influences on demand, including income, remain unchanged Income elasticity Measures effect on demand we would observe if income changed and all other influences on demand—including price of the good—remained the same Instead of letting price vary and holding income constant, now we are letting income vary and holding price constant
Income Elasticity of Demand Another difference between price and income elasticity of demand Price elasticity measures sensitivity of demand to price as we move along a demand curve from one point to another Income elasticity tells us relative shift in demand curve—increase in quantity demanded at a given price While a price elasticity is virtually always negative Income elasticity can be positive or negative Normal goods and Inferior goods
Some Income Elasticities Narrow Categories Income Elasticities Broad Categories Fresh fruit Computers Transatlantic Air Travel College Education Cigarettes Chicken Pork Fresh Vegetables Tooth Extraction Ground Beef Bread Potatoes 1.99 1.71 1.4 0.55 0.50 0.42 0.34 0.26 -0.13 ~ 0.47 -0.20 -0.42 -0.81 Imports Transportation Recreation Clothing Food 2.73 1.79 1.07 1.02 0.60-0.85
Income and Spending on Economic Necessities and Economic Luxuries Spending on Food Percent of Income Spent on Food Spending on Transportation % of income spend on Transportation $10,000 $6,000 60% $1,000 10% $20,000 $96,000 48% $2,800 14% $40,000 $15,360 38% $7,840 20% $80,000 $24,576 30% $21,952 27%
Income Elasticity of Demand Economic necessity Good with an income elasticity of demand between 0 and 1 Economic luxury Good with an income elasticity of demand greater than 1 An implication follows from these definitions As income rises, proportion of income spent on economic necessities will fall While proportion of income spent on economic luxuries will rise But, it is important to remember that economic necessities and luxuries are categorized by actual consumer behavior Not by our judgment of a good’s importance to human survival Example: Cigarettes
Cross-Price Elasticity of Demand Percentage change in quantity demanded of one good caused by a 1% change in price of another good While all other influences on demand remain unchanged While the sign of the cross-price elasticity helps us distinguish substitutes (positive) and complements (negative) among related goods Its size tells us how closely the two goods are related A large absolute value for EXZ suggests that the two goods are close substitutes or complements While a small value suggests a weaker relationship
Some Cross-Price Elasticities Products Cross-Price Elasticity Margarine with price of butter Pepsi with price of Coke Coke with price of Pepsi Ground beef with price of poultry Electricity with price of natural gas Theater with price of all other lively arts Entertainment with price of food 1.53 0.80 0.61 0.24 0.20 0.12 -0.72
Price Elasticity of Supply Percentage change in quantity of a good supplied that is caused by a 1% change in the price of the good With all other influences on supply held constant
Price Elasticity of Supply When do we expect supply to be price elastic, and when do we expect it to be price inelastic? Ease with which suppliers can find profitable activities that are alternatives to producing the good in question Supply will tend to be more elastic when suppliers can switch to producing alternate goods more easily (produce orange to orange juice) When can we expect suppliers to have easy alternatives? Depends on Nature of the good itself (Envelope v.s. microprocessor chips) Narrowness of the market definition—especially geographic narrowness (the market of orange in Iowa v.s. the market of orange in U.S.A.) Time horizon—longer we wait after a price change, greater the supply response to a price change
Price Elasticity of Supply Extreme cases of supply elasticity Perfectly inelastic supply curve is a vertical line Many markets display almost completely inelastic supply curves over very short periods of time Example: the supply of fresh-caught tuna Perfectly elastic supply curve is a horizontal line The supply of IBM Stock when the price of IBM stock at Pacific Stock Exchange rises even the tiniest bit above the price in other markets
Figure 8: Extreme Cases of Supply Quantity per Period Price per Unit (b) Quantity per Period Price per Unit S Perfectly Elastic Supply Perfectly Inelastic Supply P2 S P1
The Tax on Airline Travel: Taxes and Market Equilibrium A tax on a particular good or service is called an excise tax Shifts market supply curve upward by amount of tax For each quantity supplied, the new, higher curve tells us firms’ gross price, and the original, lower curve tells us the net price Who really pays excise taxes? Buyers and sellers share in the payment of an excise tax Called tax shifting Process that causes some of tax collected from one side of market (sellers) to be paid by other side of market (buyers)
Figure 9a: The Tax on Airline Travel Millions of Tickets per Year Price per Ticket (a) 4. and then find the minimum price needed for the market to supply that quantity. SBefore Tax $300 3. But another way is to start with a quantity . . . $260 A 7 10 1. One way to use the supply curve is to start with the price . . . 2. and then find the quantity supplied at that price.
Figure 9b: The Tax on Airline Travel 10 (b) 3. But another way is to start with a quantity . . . 4. and then find the minimum price needed for the market to supply that quantity. Millions of Tickets per Year Price per Ticket $300 SBefore Tax SAfter Tax $360 A' A
Figure 10: Effect of Excise Tax on Airlines 2. The $60 tax shifts the supply curve up by $60. Millions of Tickets per Year Price per Ticket SAfter Tax B $340 3. In the new equilibrium, buyers pay $340. SBefore Tax $300 A 1. Before the tax, the supply curve is SBefore Tax and the price is $300. $280 D 4. And, net of the tax, sellers receive $280.
Tax Incidence and Demand Elasticity In most cases excise tax will be shared by both buyer and seller For a given supply curve, the more elastic is demand, the more of an excise tax is paid by sellers The more inelastic is demand, the more of the tax is paid by buyers
Figure 11: Tax Incidence and Demand Elasticity Millions of Tickets per Year Price per Ticket (a) (b) Price per Ticket Millions of Tickets per Year D SAfter Tax SAfter Tax B $360 SBefore Tax SBefore Tax B $300 $300 D A A 10 2 10
Tax Incidence and Supply Elasticity Although there are extreme cases of supply elasticity, in general the following is true For a given demand curve, the more elastic is supply, the more of an excise tax is paid by buyers The more inelastic is supply, the more of the tax is paid by sellers
Figure 12: Tax Incidence and Supply Elasticity Millions of Tickets per Year Price per Ticket (b) Price per Ticket Millions of Tickets per Year SBefore and After Tax B $360 SAfter Tax A A $300 $300 SBefore Tax $240 D D 10 8 10
Health Insurance and the Market for Health Care Health insurance has definite benefits to our society Our current health care system keeps patients from facing the full opportunity cost of their health care decisions Can cause people to over consume health care Health insurance reduces buyers’ incentives to monitor their health care expenditures closely or to shop around for high-quality low-cost care
Figure 14: The Market For Health Care With Coinsurance Examinations per Year Price per Examination DAfter Insurance $100 S DBefore Insurance B 70 50 A 100,000 150,000