Commodity Exchange Anit Chandran(08) Geostany Jose(29)
Commodity Exchange The exchanges where raw or finished products are traded first commodity exchange CBOT 1882-New York Mercantile Exchange August 3, 1994,NYMEX and the Commodity Exchange, merged to become the world's largest physical commodity futures exchange
Traditional Commodity market VS Derivative market PRODUCERS TRADERS AND WAREHOUSE EXPORTERS & USERS CLEARING HOUSE B B B B S S S S
Trading methods 1.) spot trading -where the delivery takes place immediately or in minimum time 2.) forward contract -where the buyer and seller agree to a price for a commodity, which is to be delivered at a mutually agreed date and quantity 3.)futures contract - conditions same as forward contract but transactions are through futures exchange 4.) option contract -option holder has the right, but not the obligation to buy (or sell) the quantity
Major commodity exchanges New York Mercantile Exchange(NYMEX)-Crude Oil, Heating Oil Chicago Board of Trade -Soy Oil, Soy Beans, Corn London Metals Exchange -Al, Copper, Tin, Lead Tokyo Commodity Exchange -Silver, Gold, Crude oil, Rubber Malaysian Derivatives Exchange -Rubber, Soy Oil, Palm Oil
WHY COMMODITIES SHOULD BE IN YOUR PORTFOLIO?
For an investor Diversification Less Manipulations High Leverage
Large scale buyer Cost control Ensured supply Effective use of discounts on lot sizes
Large scale producer Fixed price on future out puts Demand is assured Storing can be planned
How the price changes? Supply & Demand Stockpile decisions Rumors and anticipation Seasonal
Why regulation? Risk on quality As a backing for insurance political interest To check improper marketing Commodity futures trading commission-USA Forward Market Commission -INDIA
INDIAN SCENARIO Ministry of Food, Agriculture and Public Distribution Forward Market Commission MCX NCDEX NMCE regional exchanges Multi-Commodity Exchange of India Ltd, Mumbai (MCX). National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange of India, Mumbai (NCDEX). National Multi Commodity Exchange, Ahmadabad (NMCE).
Recent news from India India Ends Turnover Tax to Foster $1 Trillion Commodity Market Turnover on India’s MCX-3 rd biggest bullion bourse, and its local rivals may jump from1.08 T to $ 1.28T. Overseas funds and institutions are barred from trading commodity futures in India-this rule is under discussion.
INDIA’S PLACE IN COMMODITY MARKET
COMMODITY ECOSYSTEM
COMMODITY MARKET STRUCTURE
Future Market Analysis A futures contract is a standardized contract, to buy or sell a specified commodity of standardized quality at a certain date in the future, at a market determined price-known as futures price.
Factors of Commodities Market 1.Spot Price- It is a present delivery price of a given commodity being traded on the spot market. 2.Future Prices: - The price at which the two participants in a futures contract agree to transact at on the settlement date 3.Cost of Carrying: - The difference between future prices and spot prices is called cost of carrying or carrying cost. Carrying costs include interest, insurance, storage, transaction cost etc. 4.Volume: - It is the quantity traded of a commodity
Contd….. 5. Open Interest: -It is the total number of outstanding contracts that are held by market participants at the end of the day. It can also be defined as the total number of futures contracts or option contracts that have not yet been exercised. Market Parameters PriceOpen InterestInterpretation Rising Market is Strong RisingFallingMarket is Weakening FallingRisingMarket is Weak Falling Market is Strengthening
Option An option is a contract that gives the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset at a specific price on or before a certain date
Types of Options 1.Call Option: -A call gives the holder the right to buy an asset at a certain price within a specific period of time. 2.Put Option:-A put gives the holder the right to sell an asset at a certain price within a specific period of time.
Terminologies Strike Price: - The price at which a specific derivative contract can be exercised is called strike price. Premium: - The option premium is the price the buyer of the options contract pays for the right to buy or sell a security at a specified price in the future.
Contd…. Expiration: - The day on which an options or futures contract is no longer valid and, therefore, ceases to exist. Naked Position: - A securities position that is not hedged from market risk. Open Position: - Any position that is subject to market fluctuations and has not been closed out by a corresponding opposite transaction.
Chain of events NOVEMBER, 1991: U.S. broker David Threlkeld informs the London Metals Exchange that Sumitomo's Yasuo Hamanaka asked him for a confirmation on $425 million in fake trades. The LME claims it found nothing wrong within its jurisdiction. SEPTEMBER, 1993: A copper "squeeze" develops: Despite plentiful supplies, spot prices are higher than the three-month futures price. The LME fingers Hamanaka; he denies manipulation. OCTOBER, 1995: Pricing anomalies again appear and rumors circulate that Hamanaka has locked up a large chunk of the supply. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission begins investigating. NOVEMBER, 1995: Patrick Thompson, head of the New York Mercantile Exchange, warns that copper in the LME's Long Beach (Calif.) warehouse is piling up "and may be part of a squeeze or other market misconduct." The LME starts investigating Hamanaka.
APRIL, 1996: CFTC authorities inform Sumitomo that they have uncovered irregularities in the company's trading accounts. $1,860 a metric ton, down from $2,145 MAY 17, 1996: Sumitomo pulls Hamanaka back from his position as top copper trader and confirms the move after traders hear of it. JUNE 13: Sumitomo announces losses of $1.8 billion –CFTC fined SUMITOMO corp. 150M$
Bibliography Nymex.com Investorguide.com International Research Journal of Finance and Economics MCX Website Investopedia