Continuous Probability Distributions A continuous random variable can assume any value in an interval on the real line or in a collection of intervals.

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Presentation transcript:

Continuous Probability Distributions A continuous random variable can assume any value in an interval on the real line or in a collection of intervals. It is not possible to talk about the probability of the random variable assuming a particular value. Instead, we talk about the probability of the random variable assuming a value within a given interval.

The probability of the random variable assuming a value within some given interval from x 1 to x 2 is defined to be the area under the graph of the probability density function between x 1 and x 2. Continuous Probability Distributions

Normal Probability Distribution The normal probability distribution is the most important distribution for describing a continuous random variable. It has been used in a wide variety of applications: Heights and weights of people Test scores Scientific measurements Amounts of rainfall It is widely used in statistical inference

Normal Probability Distribution Normal Probability Density Function where:  = mean  = standard deviation  = e =

Normal Probability Distribution Graph of the Normal Probability Density Function f(x)f(x)f(x)f(x)  x

Normal Probability Distribution Characteristics of the Normal Probability Distribution: – The distribution is symmetric, and is often illustrated as a bell-shaped curve. – Two parameters,  (mean) and  (standard deviation), determine the location and shape of the distribution. – The highest point on the normal curve is at the mean, which is also the median and mode.

Normal Probability Distribution Characteristics of the Normal Probability Distribution: – The standard deviation determines the width of the curve: larger values result in wider, flatter curves. – The total area under the curve is 1 (.5 to the left of the mean and.5 to the right). – Probabilities for the normal random variable are given by areas under the curve.

Normal Probability Distribution Characteristics of the Normal Probability Distribution: 68.26% of values of a normal random variable are within +/- 1 standard deviation of its mean % of values of a normal random variable are within +/- 2 standard deviations of its mean % of values of a normal random variable are within +/- 3 standard deviations of its mean.

Standard Normal Probability Distribution A random variable that has a normal distribution with a mean of zero and a standard deviation of one is said to have a standard normal probability distribution. The letter z is commonly used to designate this normal random variable. Converting to the Standard Normal Distribution We can think of z as a measure of the number of standard deviations x is from .

Using a Normal Distribution to Approximate a Binomial 1.For the approximating distribution, use the normal curve with mean   np and standard deviation. 2.Represent each value of x (the number of successes) by the interval from (x-0.5) to (x+0.5). 3.Use the normal curve selected in Step 1 to calculate the probability of the collection of unit intervals in Step 2.