Brutal Facts and Big Steps Dr. Scott Ralls, President North Carolina Community College System

North Carolina Community Colleges Fifty-eight Institutions Creating Success for North Carolina 8/8/20152 Education is Economic Development

Changing Economy Divergent Skill Distributions Divergent Skill Distributions Demographic Shifts Demographic Shifts

North Carolina Community Colleges Fifty-eight Institutions Creating Success for North Carolina 8/8/20154 North Carolina Population Pyramids Percent of Total Population: Age and Gender FemaleMale Female

North Carolina Community Colleges Fifty-eight Institutions Creating Success for North Carolina 8/8/20155 Diverging Hourly Wages MexicoTaiwan South Korea Singapore Total dollar wage for manufacturing workers in U.S. $

North Carolina Community Colleges Fifty-eight Institutions Creating Success for North Carolina 8/8/ Third International Mathematics and Science Study  Percentage of eighth-grade students reaching the advanced benchmark in 2003 Singapore 44% Taiwan 38% South Korea35% Hong Kong 35% Japan 24% United States 7%

North Carolina Community Colleges Fifty-eight Institutions Creating Success for North Carolina 8/8/ China  Increasing scholarships and other student aid from $240 million in 2006 to $2.7 billion in 2008  Plans to expand government spending on education from 2.8% of GDP to 4% by 2010.

North Carolina Community Colleges Fifty-eight Institutions Creating Success for North Carolina 8/8/20158 Share of foreign-born scientists and engineers in U.S. By degree level: 1990 and 2000

North Carolina Community Colleges Fifty-eight Institutions Creating Success for North Carolina 8/8/20159 Young People Losing Ground: High School Attainment of Younger and Older Adults U.S. and OECD Countries, 2005 Source: Education at a Glance, 2007, Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD); prepared by National Center for Higher Education Management Systems (NCHEMS). *Japan data is from 2004.

North Carolina Community Colleges Fifty-eight Institutions Creating Success for North Carolina 8/8/ North Carolina High School Pipeline

North Carolina Community Colleges Fifty-eight Institutions Creating Success for North Carolina 8/8/ …at 2-year colleges? * Median of top five states. Source: Source: National Center for Public Policy and Higher Education, Measuring Up 2004,

North Carolina Community Colleges Fifty-eight Institutions Creating Success for North Carolina 8/8/ Brutal Fact #1  The emerging "nontraditional" student and the vanishing African American male student

North Carolina Community Colleges Fifty-eight Institutions Creating Success for North Carolina 8/8/ "Traditional" but not normal  "Traditional" = recent high school graduates enrolled as full-time residential students  One out of five undergraduates -- 20% -- in US now "traditional"

North Carolina Community Colleges Fifty-eight Institutions Creating Success for North Carolina 8/8/ "Nontraditional" the new normal  "Nontraditional" = older, working, rearing families, commuting, stopping in and out, part-time  Most of 72% national increase in undergrads since 1970 driven by "nontraditional" students  Almost 2 out of % -- of highly nontraditional students go to community colleges.

North Carolina Community Colleges Fifty-eight Institutions Creating Success for North Carolina 8/8/ The Vanishing African American Male Student  African-American males = 16% of NC K-12 public school students  African-American men = 8% of NC Community College System's curriculum headcount (06-07), 16,885 total.  Number of African-American male community college graduates declining in each of past three years as benefits of education rapidly growing.

North Carolina Community Colleges Fifty-eight Institutions Creating Success for North Carolina 8/8/ Brutal Fact #2  Facing the consequences of North Carolina's community college completion rates and the costs of remediation

North Carolina Community Colleges Fifty-eight Institutions Creating Success for North Carolina Completion Rates  "Traditional"  23% leave first year  57% complete their programs  "Non-traditional"  46% leave first year (48 % in NC)  With at least two risk factors, <15% complete programs

North Carolina Community Colleges Fifty-eight Institutions Creating Success for North Carolina 8/8/ North Carolina: Going the wrong way  National community college completion rates improving  North Carolina's worsening, because: Lack of intent to earn a degree Work recruitment prior to graduation Financial pressures Inability to quality for financial aid Lack of academic preparedness

North Carolina Community Colleges Fifty-eight Institutions Creating Success for North Carolina 8/8/ How many high school students graduate on time? * Median of top five states. Source: Manhattan Institute, April 2006, Leaving Boys Behind: Public High School Graduation Rates.

North Carolina Community Colleges Fifty-eight Institutions Creating Success for North Carolina Understanding Completion – Achieving the Dream  Full and part-time students  Six years after entering (not 150% of “normal time”)  Earned degree or certificate  Transferred without award  Enrolled in year six with at least 30 college credits

North Carolina Community Colleges Fifty-eight Institutions Creating Success for North Carolina 8/8/ Brutal Fact #3  North Carolina's looming work force shortage, the emerging role of immigrants, and the consequences of low college-going rates.

North Carolina Community Colleges Fifty-eight Institutions Creating Success for North Carolina 8/8/ Key Labor Source: Immigrants  By 2016, NC population likely up 15% (US just 9%)  Last 10 years, NC foreign-born population grew 272% -- tops in US  Asian -- up 128%  Hispanic/ Latino -- up 394%

North Carolina Community Colleges Fifty-eight Institutions Creating Success for North Carolina 8/8/ Brutal Fact #4  Balancing rising enrollments, lagging faculty salaries and inadequate equipment funds with expanding needs for graduates

North Carolina Community Colleges Fifty-eight Institutions Creating Success for North Carolina 8/8/ Enrollment Increases in NC Community College System Full-Time Equivalent Students (FTE)

North Carolina Community Colleges Fifty-eight Institutions Creating Success for North Carolina 8/8/ Technology Utilization and System Simplification  Effectively utilize existing technologies and simplify procedures, policies, and communications so that colleges may be more nimble, efficient, and accountable.  Essential for staying ahead of changing economy, demographics, skills distributions

North Carolina Community Colleges Fifty-eight Institutions Creating Success for North Carolina 8/8/ Name these places Ten Years Ago Today Dubai

North Carolina Community Colleges Fifty-eight Institutions Creating Success for North Carolina 8/8/ Largest U.S. Companies 1900 American Cotton Oil American Steel American Sugar Ref. Continental Tobacco Federal Steel General Electric National Lead Pacific Mail People’s Gas Tennessee Coal/Iron U.S. Leather U.S. Rubber 2000 General Motors Wal-Mart Exxon Ford General Electric IBM Citigroup AT&T Phillip Morris Boeing BankAmerica SBC Communications

North Carolina Community Colleges Fifty-eight Institutions Creating Success for North Carolina University of Phoenix Stadium

North Carolina Community Colleges Fifty-eight Institutions Creating Success for North Carolina 8/8/ Axia College at the University of Phoenix

North Carolina Community Colleges Fifty-eight Institutions Creating Success for North Carolina 8/8/ Four Largest Colleges in U.S  Miami-Dade Comm. College 54,926  University of Texas (Austin) 52,261  The Ohio State University 49,676  University of Minnesota 48,  University of Phoenix 115,794  Miami-Dade Comm. College 57,026  The Ohio State University 50,995  University of Minnesota 50,954

North Carolina Community Colleges Fifty-eight Institutions Creating Success for North Carolina 8/8/  Enhance economic and workforce development by transforming customized training programs, strengthening technical education, expanding health care programs, and developing strategic partnerships. Economic and Workforce Development

North Carolina Community Colleges Fifty-eight Institutions Creating Success for North Carolina 8/8/ Increase program completion rates and college opportunities for low-income students. Program Completion and Low-Income Students

North Carolina Community Colleges Fifty-eight Institutions Creating Success for North Carolina Seamless Education  Promote seamless education by collaborating with public schools (to increase college and workplace readiness, reduce the number of high school dropouts, and increase dropout recovery) and with the UNC System (to increase strategic two-plus-two program completion opportunities).

North Carolina Community Colleges Fifty-eight Institutions Creating Success for North Carolina Budgeting, Planning, and Advocacy  Develop long-term budgeting and planning strategies and increase the advocacy and financial support of community colleges throughout North Carolina.

North Carolina Community Colleges Fifty-eight Institutions Creating Success for North Carolina 8/8/ Terry Sanford You will hear some whisperings abroad saying that we have done enough, have moved well and far and rapidly, and so it is time now to slow down, rest, and catch our breath. These whispers come from the fearful and those who have always opposed the accomplishments from which they would now rest. This cannot be and is not the spirit of North Carolina. Much remains to be done, to provide better educational opportunities for the competition our children will surely face, to encourage broader economic development so everybody will have a better chance to make a better living. Now is the time to move forward. Now is no time to loaf along.