ARJ 21 —— The selected Airplane for civil aviation market of China.

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Presentation transcript:

ARJ 21 —— The selected Airplane for civil aviation market of China

The Appearance of RJ will Change the Structure of Sviation Market

The appearance of 50-seated RJ leads to a quiet revolution in the west. 70-100 seated RJ will certainly lead a new revolution in aviation market. 70-100 seated RJ fills the gap between 120-140 seater and 50 seater. Traditional central radiation operation mode connecting trunk route and regional route will be challenged. Regional aviation market will own a more economical and practical aircraft model which can meet all requirements of regional market.

70-100 seated ARJ21 is designed specially for regional aviation market, and it can be compared with single-aisle narrow body aircraft, no matter in route range, cruise speed, comfort, economic and reliability.

Common Characteristics: Cruise speed is uniform with large aircraft, with Mach number 0.78; the fastest speed reaching 0.8 M, and can replace perfectly the large aircraft to fly trunk route. Route range can reach 3000 km, some model’s route range can even reach 4000 km, so they can fly directly to the aim airport without landing at hub airport. Seen from the seat number, for “thin and long” routes, if passenger volume of the 70-100 seated ARJ can reach 60%, the break-even point can be reached.

It is more exact if it is called “regional jet” Traditional concept for regional aircraft is not suitable for the over 70-seated jet that performs regional aviation transport. Current ARJ21 family aircraft cannot be compared with regional aircraft in traditional meaning, and should be treated differentially. It is more exact if it is called “regional jet”

Aviation market can generally divided into two categories: intercontinental-oversea market and regional market

“Intercontinental-Oversea” market “Intercontinental” connected with “oversea”, large span, super-long flight time, super-long route, large passenger flow , usually use double-aisle wide body aircraft

Regional market regional market can be classified as large region and small region For example, North America, South America or Europe can be treated as a region, then it is a big region China can be treated as a big region, and it can also be divided into several small regions, such as northwest, northeast, Yangtze delta, Zhujiang delta, circle-Bohai sea, etc.

Compared with intercontinental and oversea market, regional aviation market is more complicated and its characteristics is more remarkable.

The difference between regions is obvious America:“hub radiation”, trunk route and regional route are combined. Europe: “point to point”, propeller aircraft are used in large quantity. China:“point to point”, propeller aircraft is seldom used. Single-aisle narrow-body aircraft take up the main market share.

Within region, the market forms are diversified Take China market as an example: Airport condition is different The route distance is different The passenger flow is different The passenger ingredients are different The competition degree is different The profits level is different

Display on operation: The seat-class is a little larger than needed. Regional aircraft is crowded out. Large number of lines are in lose Lines are often opened ,and stopped, then reopened, and re-stopped.

Future trend The regional aviation market is challenged by railway’s rising speed and highway’s extension. The quantities of long-route and wide-body aircraft in express market( for example, Beijing-Shanghai Air Express) will be controlled; for flight segment within 500 kilometers, the operation space of propeller aircraft will be restricted. The domination position of single-aisle trunk-route aircraft in regional aviation market will still be strong. However, regional jet will play a new role in small and medium volume transport market.

ARJ-21 the regional jet that can meet the market requirement of China

The factors that influence the development of aviation transport The following are the main factors that promote the development of China’s aviation transport, and they will continue to push the stable increase of China’s aviation transportation: National economy’s development is the main power for the development of aviation transportation. Reform and opening up to the world promotes the foreign economic and cultural exchange, so the demand for aviation transportation increases year by year. People’s living level improves, and consumption structure upgrades, so more and more people choose air transport when they travel. The development of tourism bring more passenger source for air transportation. Urbanization expands continuously the market space of air transportation; Air-traffic management construction is fastened, which releases the situation of our country’s tight air space. The invest in airport construction is increasing, and China’s civil aviation airport will reach 250 by the year 2020. China civil aviation industry deepens the reform, fastens the marketization of air transportation, and encourages the development of non-government air ransportation. Push the orderly competition of air transportation, and guarantee the prosperity of air transportation from inner mechanism.

The increase of air traffic in 2007 Increase rate 100 Mil. kilo Total transport turnover Total passenger turnover Freight turnover America China Britain German Japan France China ranks second position all over the world in total transport turnover, total passenger turnover, and freight turnover.

Previous Year’s Growth of Air Transport Passenger Turnover China RPKs Growth Increase rate In the past three decades, China’s passenger transport by air maintains fast growth, and reaches 280 billion person km in 2007.

Share of Air by RPK 1997 2007 Water transport 1.6% Water transport 0.4% Air transport8.0% Air transport 13.0% Highway 53.2% Highway53.8% Railway 36.5% Railway 33.5% In the transportation system, turnover volume of passenger by air is increasing year by year. It increases 13% in 2007.

The regional aviation structure will tend to be reasonable: The implementation of strategic plan for the great west development, rejuvenation of northeast and rising of middle China The speed-up of urbanization, the improvement of people’s living standard, the upgrade of consumption structure, and the development of tourism Optimize air-space structure, utilize effectively the air-space resource, carry out the measures to release the tight air-space; civil airport will fasten the development following the guideline of “promoting the east, strengthening the middle and thicken the west”; operation circumstance of regional aviation will be continuously improved. CAAC issues a series of policies: release the air-traffic control, expand the opening up, introduce non-government capital, support regional aviation, all of these input new vigor and energy for the continuous development of air transportation. The quantities of RJwill increase steadily.

For the civil airports that own scheduled flight, the shortest run-way is 1700m. China has 12 plateau airports (altitude between1500~2438m), including southwest hub-airport—Kunming airport China has 7 high plateau airports (altitude higher than 2438m), including Lasa airport and Jiuzhaigou airport. CAAC regulates strict operation standard, so the operation cost improves obviously. Run way length of China’s civil airport (data of July,2008) 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000 5500 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 a/p num. Run way length (m) 通航机场总数:159 未开通定期航班的机场数:7(跑道长度短于1600 米) 未开通定期航班的机 场 Altitude distribution of China’s civil a/p (data of July,2008) 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 a/p num. a/p altitude) 昆明机场 九寨沟机场 通航机场总数 : 159 高原机场:12个 高高原机场:7个 2438米 1500米 Airport category airport Large composite hub 北京、上海、广州 Large hub airport 沈阳、武汉、深圳、成都、昆明、西安、乌鲁木齐 Medium hub airport 天津、大连、哈尔滨、杭州、厦门、青岛、南京、福 州、济南、温州、长沙、桂林、郑州、海口、三亚、 重庆、贵阳 Medium airport (trunk line) 呼和浩特、太原、石家庄、长春、南昌、合肥、宁波 、晋江、烟台、南宁、张家界、拉萨、九寨沟、西双 版纳、丽江、兰州、银川、西宁 Small airport (regional line) Other airport

Domestic flight routes operated by China civil aviation The longest domestic flight route operated by China civil aviation is “Urumqi-Guangzhou”, 3275km; the longest route that was once operated in history is “Urumqi-Sanya”, 4074km The flight whose route distance is equal or shorter than 1000nm occupies 98% of the total flight The average route distance is 1033km 84% of the passenger turnover of domestic flight routes are completed by single-aisle aircraft The weighted average seats number of single-aisle aircraft that operate domestic routes is147. Domestic flight of China(2008) Daily flight VS. flight distance 100 200 300 400 500 <200 300-399 500-599 700-799 900-999 1100-1199 1300-1399 1500-1599 1700-1799 1900-1999 2100-2199 2300-2399 2500-2599 2700-2799 2900-2999 3100-3199 Flight distance (km) Daily flight number Average flight distance: 1033km

Domestic flight routes operated by China civil aviation line distance (km) Lowest safety alt. (m) C2 Flight alt. (100m) 乌鲁木齐 - 库车 548 5200 84 兰州 成都 751 5230 90 西宁 893 重庆 964 银川 1038 1106 昆明 1365 102 1507 108 桂林 1577 广州 2003 深圳 2081 海口 2110 珠海 2145 和田 1023 5889 1543 6081 1654 西安 2183 2403 洛阳 2570 2616 郑州 2684 武汉天河 2893 迪庆 481 6196 81 西双版纳 709 Data of lowest safety Alt. of China civil Avi. (L S A >5000 m,L D <3000km ,not include Tibet The lowest safety altitude of China’s western routes is comparatively high. The aircraft that operates western routes need high single-engine rising limit and excellent emergent oxygen supply ability. The lowest safety altitudes for routes that connects Urumqi with other inner city is 6081m, the lowest safety altitudes for route to Diqing is 6196m.

The questionnaire survey for passenger characteristics of China aviation conducted in 2008 shows that the comprise of China’s air-transport passengers has changed from focusing on business passengers to equal emphases on business passengers and tourist passengers. Passengers’ ticket payment source has changed from emphasizing on public fund to both the public fund and private fund. “Swallows that in the hall of grand houses used to nest; have flown into the homes of common folks there to rest. ” China has entered the times of popularized air transport. Public-payment or business passengers are sensitive to the cabin comfort and flight frequency; private-payment passengers or tourist passengers attach great importance on the ticket price. The change on passenger structure tells us the design for the future large aircraft should account for both the business passengers and the tourist passengers. Survey in off season of 2008:travel purpose 50% 42% 8% 66% 28% 6% 31% 55% 14% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 60% 70% 80% business Visit other 旅客比例 全国 北京 昆明 Survey in off season of 2008: payment source 44% 50% 4% 2% 59% 36% 1% 32% 63% 3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 60% 70% 80% public private FFP Mile exchange other 旅客比例 全国 北京 昆明

Model 10% 18% 83% 80% 7% 2% China civil aviation fleet(July,2007) Ratio occupying total fleet total passenger seats Double-aisle 10% 18% Narrow body A/C 83% 80% RJ 7% 2% China civil aviation fleet(July,2007) Due to the serious shortage of regional aircraft, large quantities of low and medium passenger-flow route lies in the state of waiting for exploitation; some low and medium flow routes use narrow body aircraft to operate with low frequency, the booking rate is low and the market is unstable. It is reported that the daily flight frequency of 58.4% of city-pair lines lower than 1 in 2006.

The market positioning of ARJ21: The market positioning of ARJ21: ARJ21 accounts for both the business passengers and the tourist passengers, and is suitable both in the east and in the west, so it has large market space between narrow body aircraft and small regional aircraft. ARJ21 :range and seat-class B737-400 B737-500 CRJ700 ATR72-210 MD90 B737-300 B737-600 B737-700 B737-800 B737-900 A320-200 A319-100 CRJ200 ERJ145 DO328 ARJ21-700 ARJ21发展型 MD82 A321-100 A321-200 B757-200 B767-300 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 range(km) Seat-class CAAC own 842 NB A/C July, 2007 A big market between NB A/C and small RJ forARJ21 Small RJ CAAC owns 74 small RJ (Jule,2007) 7 NB A/C

ARJ21’s seat-class Wholly economic-class layout:90-seat Compared with small 50-seated regional jet, its operation cost of unit seat is remarkably lowered. Mixed seat-class layout: 78-seat Its comfort can be compared with 150-seated narrow body aircraft, and it can take place narrow body aircraft to improve flight frequency or increase flight coverage rate. Therefore, it is attractive for business passengers. 90-seated wholly economic-class layout (31 inch row distance) 78-seated mixed seat-class layout(36/32 inch row distance)

Cabin comfort of ARJ21 Compared with rival aircraft, ARJ21 owns outstanding advantage on cabin comfort CRJ700/900 ERJ170175/190/195 ARJ21 CRJ700/900 ERJ170/190 ARJ21 Cabin height(m) 1.89 2.00 2.03 Cabin width(m) 2.55 2.74 3.14 Aisle width(inch) 16.00 19.75 19.00 Cabin section area(m 2 ) 3.69 4.28 5.886 Per row cabin cmb(row distance 32inch)(m 3 2.999 3.479 4.784 Cabin cmb/seat(m /seat) 0.75 0.87 0.957 Per seat cabin Comp. base + 16% 28%

China’s Domestic Flight (2007) Daily flight No. VS. flight distance 100 200 300 400 500 <200 301-400 501-600 701-800 901-1000 1101-1200 1301-1400 1501-1600 1701-1800 1901-2000 2101-2200 2301-2400 2501-2600 2701-2800 2901-3000 3101-3200 3301-3400 3501-3600 3701-3800 Flight distance(km) Daily flight No. ARJ21-700ST设计航程1200nm, 能满足95%航班的需求。 ARJ21-700ER设计航程2000nm, 能满足绝大多数航班的需求。 ARJ21’s range The design range of ARJ21-700ST:1200nm(2222km) Meet the range requirement of 95% domestic flight. Be able to take off/land at high temperature/plateau airport in the west of China. The design range of ARJ21-700ER:2000nm(3704km) Meet the range requirement of most domestic flight. The profit will be high if it is used on thin and long “point-to-point” flight line.. The design range of ARJ21-700ER:2000nm, Meet the range requirement of most domestic flight The design range of ARJ21-700ST :1200nm,Meet the range requirement of 95% domestic flight

Distribution of China’s civil airport altitude The Airport Adaptability of ARJ21 The airport design requirement for ARJ21-700ST is: be able to take off/land with gross weight (1895m,ISA+25ºC, considering obstacle)at Kunming airport in hot weather. Therefore, ARJ21 will be the best regional jet suitable the strict operation requirement of China’s west airport and flight line. Take off weight at limited by rising degree at the 2nd phase Distribution of China’s civil airport altitude (data of Oct.,2007) Total number of airport circumstance temperature (°C)

ARJ21 will provide new opportunity for airlines to expand current market and open new market: Open new line, particularly the line whose range is too long if turboprop aircraft are used, and whose passenger flow is insufficient if narrow body aircraft(B737 or A320)are used. Most of these lines have not been opened because there is no suitable aircraft model, including: -- Extend the line to the low passenger flow airport, and push regional economic development; --Open new “point-to-point” long line, including hot tourist spots, and medium cities with active economy; -- Provide suitable aircraft model for opening western aviation market whose operation requirement is strict; -- Open international regional line from Urimuqi to Middle/West Asia and Middle East, and build up fast and convenient “Silk Road in the Air” Take place narrow body aircraft on low passenger flow route, so as to solve the problem of over-transport capacity, improve flight frequency , stabilize and expand regional air-traffic market. Take place turboprop aircraft and small turbofan aircraft, provide fast and comfortable regional service to meet passenger’s expectation, realizing the perfect joint of trunk line and regional line, especially suitable for business regional market. Provide other derived model for market (freight aircraft and business aircraft)

“point-to-point” direct flight can be realized due to the appearance of ARJ21, which is the most suitable model for regional jet, and there is no need to fly the traditional “hub-regional” mode. ARJ21 will be an important transport vehicle in China’s regional transporting market and make significant contribution for the prosperity of China’s air traffic market.

Thank You !