Tsunami Notification Procedures Brian Yanagi Manager International Tsunami Information Centre.

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Presentation transcript:

Tsunami Notification Procedures Brian Yanagi Manager International Tsunami Information Centre

Largest Earthquakes in the World Since 1900 M9.0 Kamchatka, 1952 M9.5 Chile, 1960 M9.3 Sumatra – Andaman Is., 2004 M9.3 Sumatra – Andaman Is., 2004 M9.1 Andreanof Is., Alaska 1957 M9.4 Prince William Sound, Alaska 1964

Tsunami GENERATION Three basic stages of tsunami behavior: generation, propagation and inundation

2 TSUNAMI THREATS LOCAL / REGIONAL: Generated nearby Strikes shore quickly (in minutes) => NO TIME for official evacuation  Education, Awareness  People-centered response – recognize / act immediately DISTANT / OCEAN-WIDE: Generated far away Strikes shore later (2+ hours) => TIME for official evacuation Widespread Damage  Tsunami Warning Center, then  People-centered response – locally-guided safety actions July 12, 1993,Japan Sea May 22, 1960, Chile tsunami in Hilo

Indian Ocean Bathymetry Ocean Ridges Subduction zone

Sumatra Subduction Zone: Cross-Section

Sumatra Geological Model Singapore Jakarta Kuala Lumpur mm/yr

1.Assess national tsunami risk (Hazard assessment) 2.Establish national / regional warning center against local and regional tsunamis (Warning guidance) 3.Promote education/preparedness and risk reduction against tsunami hazard (Mitigation and Public Awareness) TWS SYSTEM COMPONENTS END-TO-END SYSTEM MUST EXIST! Develop National and Regional Capacity to:

Overview Emergency planners and managers, mostly at the local level, are responsible for developing response actions for different types of tsunami bulletins. Emergency planners and managers, mostly at the local level, are responsible for developing response actions for different types of tsunami bulletins. Well executed procedures will ensure that warning messages are clearly and quickly communicated to the public. Well executed procedures will ensure that warning messages are clearly and quickly communicated to the public. Strong understanding of the various types of tsunami bulletins ensures that Tsunami Warning Center information is directly linked to emergency response plans. Strong understanding of the various types of tsunami bulletins ensures that Tsunami Warning Center information is directly linked to emergency response plans.

Interim Indian Ocean Tsunami Advisory System Since 2005, Pacific Tsunami Warning Center (PTWC) and Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) have been monitoring earthquakes and coordinating the dissemination of Tsunami Bulletins to Indian Ocean countries. Since 2005, Pacific Tsunami Warning Center (PTWC) and Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) have been monitoring earthquakes and coordinating the dissemination of Tsunami Bulletins to Indian Ocean countries. Tsunami Bulletins are transmitted to Indian Ocean country designated 7x24 Tsunami Focal Point contacts. Tsunami Bulletins are transmitted to Indian Ocean country designated 7x24 Tsunami Focal Point contacts.

INDIAN OCEAN TSUNAMI BULLETIN Earthquakes < 100 km depth Mw less than 6.5 (Mw: Moment Magnitude) Earthquake Message Only Mw 6.5 to 7.0 Tsunami Information Bulletin Mw 7.1 to 7.5 Local Tsunami Watch Mw 7.6 to 7.8 Regional Tsunami Watch Mw > 7.8 Ocean-wide Tsunami Watch

Overview Once a Tsunami Bulletin is issued, the message needs to reach people rapidly. Once a Tsunami Bulletin is issued, the message needs to reach people rapidly. Highly efficient notification and alert systems that use multiple communication channels ranging from the mass media; sirens; to police and citizen-based patrols have been developed by coastal communities exposed to earthquakes and tsunamis. Each community must decide how to develop its own evacuation system based on available technology, resources, and funding. Highly efficient notification and alert systems that use multiple communication channels ranging from the mass media; sirens; to police and citizen-based patrols have been developed by coastal communities exposed to earthquakes and tsunamis. Each community must decide how to develop its own evacuation system based on available technology, resources, and funding. For example, in Japan, earthquake information is immediately issued by JMA through the mass media, starting within 30 seconds of an earthquake. The media continues to broadcast updated reports. For example, in Japan, earthquake information is immediately issued by JMA through the mass media, starting within 30 seconds of an earthquake. The media continues to broadcast updated reports.

Earthquake Tsunami Tsunami Warning Center International - Regional Framework National Warning System Public Awareness National Government Local Government People Mass Media Where is Evacuation Route? What is Tsunami? TSUNAMI Early Warning Overview Cabinet Office Japan

Communication & Transmission of Tsunami Warning to Localities & Civil Defense Authorities Signboard Tsunami TSUNAMI WARNING Central Government TV / Radio Station TSUNAMI WARNING Radio TV ( Telops, Warning maps ) TSUNAMI WARNING Local government Cabinet Office Japan

Alarm Helicopter Landing Area Disabled persons Evacuation routes Rescue shelters Tsunami-Prepared Model Village, April 2005 Balapitiya, Sri Lanka Pop 450, Casualties 12

State Evacuation Map Shows routes for Safe Public Exit State Evacuation Map Shows routes for Safe Public Exit

Alerting the Public – How? Ultimately, the success of any tsunami early warning system will be measured by its ability to move people out of harms way. Ultimately, the success of any tsunami early warning system will be measured by its ability to move people out of harms way. The key is to educate and communicate a warning message to every person on the coast to move inland to higher ground to escape the destructive waves. The key is to educate and communicate a warning message to every person on the coast to move inland to higher ground to escape the destructive waves. Sustainable communications are the foundation for early warning. Every community has different requirements and challenges. There is no single solution, but all solutions must work together. Sustainable communications are the foundation for early warning. Every community has different requirements and challenges. There is no single solution, but all solutions must work together. There are different communication methods available for alerting the public. Some require high levels of technology and communications infrastructure such as satellite broadcasts. Others use simple means such as bicycles and loudspeakers to communicate the alert. There are different communication methods available for alerting the public. Some require high levels of technology and communications infrastructure such as satellite broadcasts. Others use simple means such as bicycles and loudspeakers to communicate the alert. Special Case: Local Tsunamis. Public awareness and education (i.e. oral history and traditional knowledge) Special Case: Local Tsunamis. Public awareness and education (i.e. oral history and traditional knowledge)

Types of Notification Systems Use of Mass Media (Radio, Television) Use of Mass Media (Radio, Television) Siren Towers Siren Towers First Responders (i.e. Police, Fire, Lifeguards) First Responders (i.e. Police, Fire, Lifeguards) Public Loudspeakers Public Loudspeakers SMS Text Messaging – Telephone Companies SMS Text Messaging – Telephone Companies Emergency Telephone Call Lists (public and private sectors) Emergency Telephone Call Lists (public and private sectors) Amateur Radio – Amateur Radio Organizations Amateur Radio – Amateur Radio Organizations Highway Electronic Signs Highway Electronic Signs People on Bicycles / Church Bells People on Bicycles / Church Bells Military Resources / Helicopters and Aircraft Military Resources / Helicopters and Aircraft US NOAA Weather Radio US NOAA Weather Radio All Hazard Alert Broadcasting (AHAB) Radio All Hazard Alert Broadcasting (AHAB) Radio RANET – USAID / US National Weather Service RANET – USAID / US National Weather Service

Alert & Warning Technology assists people-based warnings Getting warning to responders Getting warning to responders Getting warning to public Getting warning to public Use drills and exercises for training Use drills and exercises for training Conduct drills in the community Conduct drills in the community Test the notification systems Test the notification systems

When can the Public Return? “All Clear” When can the Public Return? “All Clear” Once the public has evacuated a coastline, local public officials must also inform everyone when it is safe to return by broadcasting an “All Clear.” Once the public has evacuated a coastline, local public officials must also inform everyone when it is safe to return by broadcasting an “All Clear.” If a coastal area has received little or no damage, a tsunami “All Clear” can be broadcast after a Final Tsunami Bulletin has been issued. If a coastal area has received little or no damage, a tsunami “All Clear” can be broadcast after a Final Tsunami Bulletin has been issued. However, if an area has been severely damaged by a tsunami, it can be many hours or days before a community is allowed back to the coastlines. Debris make the roads impassable, gas and electric lines may be down, and search and rescue operations may be carried out. However, if an area has been severely damaged by a tsunami, it can be many hours or days before a community is allowed back to the coastlines. Debris make the roads impassable, gas and electric lines may be down, and search and rescue operations may be carried out.

Level of preparation and readiness to act sensitive to several psychological variables: Perceived responsibility – Am I at risk? Response efficiency – Do I know how to act? Sense of community – Disaster Planning? Next Tsunami – Memories fade between events. SOCIAL SCIENCE PERPSECTIVES: FROM AWARENESS TO PREPAREDNESS COMMUNITY EMPOWERMENT IGNS

Sustainable communications must serve remote communities’ information needs, - Layered - from ground up and top down; - From the local out to the regional; - From the central outward - hub and spoke system >> Multiple solutions must be available … Every Economy/Community has different requirements and different challenges. There is no single solution, but all solutions must work together – RANET Project: Satellite broadcast of environmental data

Run DVD: Hawaii Tsunami Warnings Video of 1986 and 1994 Actual Tsunami Public Evacuations Run DVD: Hawaii Tsunami Warnings Video of 1986 and 1994 Actual Tsunami Public Evacuations

TsunamiTeacher TsunamiTeacher Presentation of TsunamiTeacher Presentation of TsunamiTeacher Documents and Videos Available Documents and Videos Available