Opatija Tanker Chartering Report October 2008

Tanker Market Volatile BDTI- 60%+ 70% BCTI- 61%+ 82%

Baltic Dirty Tanker Index January 2005-October 2008

Baltic Clean Tanker Index January 2005-October 2008

Tanker Chartering Report Bunker Prices in Rotterdam Rose from $390 to $557 per tonne Plus 45.5% $ July ’08 Now $357

Tanker Chartering Report Global Oil Demand up 1.3% yoy Global Oil Demand up 1.3% yoy Actual (1.5m) b/d 2007 Actual (1.5m) b/d (2.2m) b/d (2.2m) b/d 2008 Oil Price $90/bbl 2009 Oil Price $90/bbl 2009 Now $72 Now $72

Tanker Chartering Report Low level of oil stocks – worldwide Heavy refinery maintenance High USA demand after hurricane damage Increased OPEC output/oil on water Japan + China restocking Hebei Spirit – December

Tanker Chartering Report China + 4.6% yoy driven by China + 4.6% yoy driven by Car ownership + 1,000 cars per day air travel constructionagriculturepetrochemicals oil stocks

Tanker Chartering Report Oil Demand (2007) India+5.0% North America+0.47% Europe-2.2%

Tanker Chartering Report Clean Tanker Trades Clean Tanker Trades Directionless despite Refinery problems in the Atlantic basin. More exports from Europe Congestion problems in discharge areas India increasingly a supplier to Europe and Asia

Tanker Chartering Report Growth of tanker fleet 2.7% dwt in first Growth of tanker fleet 2.7% dwt in first 9 months of 2008 (net) 9 months of 2008 (net) 66 single hull tankers gone for conversion to Storage, FPSO or VLOCs 66 single hull tankers gone for conversion to Storage, FPSO or VLOCs Double Hull Fleet = 76% of existing fleet Double Hull Fleet = 76% of existing fleet

Tanker Chartering Report VLCC average earnings: VLCC average earnings: –2006$60,289 –2007$54,979 –2008$100,500 (to date) –3 Oct$85,693

Tanker Chartering Report Future influences (Short Term): Future influences (Short Term):Alternative Suppliers & pipelines Fuel/coal/gas Response to “green” legislation

Tanker Chartering Report Future influences (long term): Future influences (long term): 15 years/+ end of production from the largest fields found in last 40 yrs: 15 years/+ end of production from the largest fields found in last 40 yrs: North Sea/Alaska/Sakhalin New deep water finds: Brazil/Gulf of Mexico Brazil/Gulf of Mexico

Tanker Chartering Report Future influences (Long Term): Future influences (Long Term): Current finds are smaller capacity – indicating maintenance of high oil price = $ ??? or no return to low oil price = $ 20

Tanker Market Lookout For the Hurricane!