Goal keepers Goal keepers Advantages, Canada Advantages, Canada Disadvantages, Canada Disadvantages, Canada Performance analysesIndividual analyses Most valuable players, Canada Most valuable players, Canada Most valuable players, Sweden Most valuable players, Sweden Shot efficiency offensive. Shot efficiency offensive. 5 vs. 5 och PP 5 vs. 5 och PP Offensive distribution. Offensive distribution. 5 vs. 5 and PP 5 vs. 5 and PP Key figures. both teams Performance predicts Performance predicts Key figures Key figures Defensive distribution. Defensive distribution. 5 vs. 5 and BP 5 vs. 5 and BP

Performance TM predictions - Which team will win the Olympic final in Sochi? Canada or Sweden? Regarding to the three parameters  Number of shot on goal  Distribution between green and red shots  Shot efficiency for green and red shots Performance TM has made calculations that indicate that Sweden will win the Olympic final with 4 goals against 3. The analysis and predictions are is based on the 10 games that Canada and Sweden have played in Sochi. Shot efficiency Distribution Number of shots Start

Advantages. Canada Canadas’ defensive distribution Canadas’ opponents have been forced to shoot 84 % green shots and only 16 % red shots. This means that Canada’s defense men are really good in creating easy green shots for Carey Price. This will cause Sweden problems. since they will not be able to shoot many red shots against Canada’s goal keeper. This is the main reason why Canada’s opponents just have scored 3 goals. Carey Price saving percent (SVS%) at green shots Carey Price has saved all (=100%) green shots. If Sweden shoot many green shots they will have big problems to score. Canadas’ defensive distribution Carey Price saves 100 percent green shots Olympic gold medal?

Start Disadvantages. Canada Sweden’s shot efficiency for red shots Sweden has achieved a very high red shot efficiency (33.3 %). The efficiency is much higher than usually seen. and higher than Canada’s red shot efficiency during the Olympics. Sweden’s outstanding red/green distribution in power play In power play. Sweden has achieved a red/green distribution of 34 % green shots and 66 % red shots which is much better than what is usually seen. Watch out in power play! Henrik Lundqvist’s saving percent (SVS%) for red shots Henrik Lundqvist has almost 9 percent units higher saving percent for red shots compared to Carey Price (83.9% versus 75.0 on red shots). If Henrik Lundqvist keep that good SVS % for red shots. Canada will have serious problems to score goals. Shot efficiency for red shots Sweden’s outstanding dirstribution in power play Henrik Lundqvists’ SVS at red shots Olympic silver medal?

Key figures  A typical distribution is 72% green shots / 28% red shots  Average shot efficiency for a green shot is 2.6% and 21.6% for a red shot  This corresponds to a save percentage SVS% of 97.4% and 78.4%  A good offense player shoots many red shots  A good defense man prevents red shots from the opponents  A good goalkeeper saves many red shots (and many green shots). Green save percentage varies very little between different goalkeepers  A typical distribution of power play and box play is 60% green shots / 40% red shots Start

Red / green distribution for the offense Sweden and Canada A good offense includes many red shots Distribution. Sweden 5 on 5  74 % green shots  26 % red shots Power play  34 % green shots  66 % red shots Start Distribution. Canada 5 on 5  74 % green shots  26 % red shots Power play  69 % green shots  31 % red shots Often seen distribution (across 1000 games) 72 % green shots 28 % red shots Often seen distribution power play (across 1000 games) 60 % green shots 40 % red shots Conclusion/Comment At 5 on 5 both Sweden and Canada have an average red / green distribution. Nothing particular about their 5 on 5 distribution. In power play Sweden has a clear advantage. taking many more red shots.

Red / green distribution for the defense Sweden and Canada A good defense play force the opponent to take many green shots and few red shots. Distribution. Sweden (Defense) 5 on 5  76 % green shots  24 % red shots Box play  59 % green shots  41 % red shots Start Distribution. Canada (Defense) 5 on 5  84 % green shots  16 % red shots Box play  81 % green shots  19 % red shots Conclusion / comment One plausible explanation to why Canada’s opponents only have scored three goals is that most shots against Carey Price has been green. Many more green shots than usually seen. both in 5 on 5. and box play. Canada has a great advantage over Sweden on the ability to force the opponent to take green shots. Often seen distribution (across 1000 games) 72 % green shots 28 % red shots Often seen distribution power play (across 1000 games) 60 % green shots 40 % red shots

Shot efficiency. Offense Sweden and Canada A good offense shoot efficiently. Shot efficiency. Sweden 5 on 5  3.6 % green shots  33.3 % red shots Power play  0.0 % green shots  33.3 % red shots Start Shot efficiency. Canada 5 on 5  2.5 % green shots  17.2 % red shots Power play  10.0 % green shots  20.0 % red shots Conclusion / comments Sweden shooters have been more efficient than Canada’s. The high red shot efficiency is a Swedish advantage. Often seen shot efficiency (across 1000 games) 2.6 % green shots 21.6 % red shots

Goalkeepers - Saves per cents green and red shots Sweden Henrik Lundqvist: 99.0 / 83.9 A – 99.0 % B – 71.4 % C – 80.0 % D – 88.9 % E – % F – 50.0 % G – % Conclusion / comment Henrik Lundqvist has a better saves per cent compared to the Canadian goalies. However. only three goals against Canada is talking in favor for Canada if they can avoid F-shots. Start Often seen saves percent (across 1000 games) 97.4 % green shots 78.4 % red shots Canada Carey Price (played 4 games): / 75.0 Roberto Luongo (played1 game): / A – % B – % C – % D – 50.0 % E – % F – 0.0 % G – % List of shot types (A-G) List of shot types (A-G)

Most valuable players. Canada - From a Performance TM perspective Carey Price. goalkeeper. #31 Only three shots passed him. three red shots. of them two deflections (D-shots). He saved all 63 green shots. Jeff Carter. forward. #77 Has taken 24 shots. 19 green and 5 red. No green goals. but an impressive 3 red goals on 5 red shots! Duncan Keith. #2 / Shea Weber. #6. defense men Out of 34 shots when Keith and Weber was together on the ice the opponents have been forced to take 30 green shots (88 %) and only 4 red (12%). This helped the Canadian goalies to make controlled saves when most shots were green. Start List of shot types (A-GList of shot types (A-G) List of shot types (A-G

Most valuable players. Sweden. - From a Performance TM perspective Erik Karlsson. defense. #65 Sweden’s best shooter. impressive 4 red goals on 8 red shots (and 0 green goals on 8 green shots). In addition. he has been successful in the defense. Of the 37 shots when Karlsson was on the ice. the opponents have been forced to take 32 green shots (86 %) and only 5 red (14%). Comparable to the best Canadian defensemen. Henrik Lundqvist. målvakt. #30 Lundqvist has saved 99.0% of the green shots and an impressive 83.9% on the red shots. Usually excellent goal keepers saves less than 80% red shots. However. these guys have to look out! Johnny Oduya. #27. Niklas Hjalmarsson. #4 (defense men) Of the 34 shots when Odoya and Hjalmarsson was on the ice. the opponents have been forced to take only 19 green shots (86 %) and they have allowed 15 red shots to pass. That is not acceptable from Sweden’s point of view. Start List of shot types (A-GList of shot types (A-G) List of shot types (A-G

List of green and red shots  A - green shot (2.6% shot efficiency / 97.4 SVS %)  B - short puck contact (15.5% shot efficiency / 84.5 SVS %)  C - rebounds (21.2% shot efficiency / 78.8 SVS %)  D - deflections (21.2% shot efficiency / 78.8 SVS %)  E - screened shots (16.4% shot efficiency / 83.6 SVS %)  F - puck transport crossing the central line (27.9% shot efficiency / 72.1 SVS %)  G - pass crossing the central line which is followed by a shot (shot 29.3% efficiency / 70.7 SVS%)  Average shot efficiency B-G: 21.6% Start Goal keepers

List of green and red shots  A - green shot (2.6% shot efficiency / 97.4 SVS %)  B - short puck contact (15.5% shot efficiency / 84.5 SVS %)  C - rebounds (21.2% shot efficiency / 78.8 SVS %)  D - deflections (21.2% shot efficiency / 78.8 SVS %)  E - screened shots (16.4% shot efficiency / 83.6 SVS %)  F - puck transport crossing the central line (27.9% shot efficiency / 72.1 SVS %)  G - pass crossing the central line which is followed by a shot (shot 29.3% efficiency / 70.7 SVS%)  Average shot efficiency B-G: 21.6% Start Most valuable players. Canada

List of green and red shots  A - green shot (2.6% shot efficiency / 97.4 SVS %)  B - short puck contact (15.5% shot efficiency / 84.5 SVS %)  C - rebounds (21.2% shot efficiency / 78.8 SVS %)  D - deflections (21.2% shot efficiency / 78.8 SVS %)  E - screened shots (16.4% shot efficiency / 83.6 SVS %)  F - puck transport crossing the central line (27.9% shot efficiency / 72.1 SVS %)  G - pass crossing the central line which is followed by a shot (shot 29.3% efficiency / 70.7 SVS%)  Average shot efficiency B-G: 21.6% Start Most valuable players. Sweden