Don’t Settle for Less Understanding Resale Values generated from retired IT assets Presented by: Neil Peters-Michaud CEO, Cascade Asset Management October.

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Presentation transcript:

Don’t Settle for Less Understanding Resale Values generated from retired IT assets Presented by: Neil Peters-Michaud CEO, Cascade Asset Management October 24, 2007

E-Scrap, Atlanta, October 24, Copyright, Cascade, 2007 When it hit me... How can our refurbished laptops compete with this price for a new laptop?

E-Scrap, Atlanta, October 24, Copyright, Cascade, 2007 Understanding Resale Price Trends What the experts have told us What our experience tells us Can we predict resale values? What should we tell companies who retire IT assets? Other Issues & Resources

E-Scrap, Atlanta, October 24, Copyright, Cascade, 2007 They’re worth practically nothing “Robert Dangelmeyer, a service manager for the Digital Equipment Corp., said that according to four computer- price databases he had examined, computers tended to lose 80 percent of their market value in the first year after purchase. Then their worth levels out for a year or so, he said, before plunging practically to zero.” New York Times, March 1998

E-Scrap, Atlanta, October 24, Copyright, Cascade, 2007 Conventional Wisdom “If stored IT equipment has any resale or recycling value, it depreciates between 6% and 10% per month.” (November, 2003) AberdeenGroup is the leading provider of fact-based research focused on the global technology-driven value chain.

E-Scrap, Atlanta, October 24, Copyright, Cascade, 2007 Academic Research Federal Reserve Board How Fast Do Personal Computers Depreciate? Concepts and New Estimates May 12, 2004 “Our results show that PCs lose roughly half their remaining value, on average, with each additional year of use.”

E-Scrap, Atlanta, October 24, Copyright, Cascade, 2007 What does 6% Depreciation Mean? At 10% per month, an item will be worth about 28% of its present value one year from now. At 6% per month, an item will be worth 50% of its current value in one year.

E-Scrap, Atlanta, October 24, Copyright, Cascade, 2007 Is this true for our company? Cascade – established in 1999 Customer base – North American Enterprises – Small and Medium Sized Businesses – Municipal Collections Reuse about one-third of collected equipment Resale Channels: Direct global and national sales, brokers, eBay, Cascade Marketplace Rebate Program – we share a percentage of the actual resale price with our customers

E-Scrap, Atlanta, October 24, Copyright, Cascade, 2007 Desktops and Laptops to Evaluate Four Years: Q4, 2003 – Q3, 2007 Good, Working Desktops and Laptops – Tested to perform to manufacturer specs – Some cosmetic cleaning and repair – No Operating Systems – Predominant Brands, with ~15% White Box desktops >53,000 desktops and >8,000 laptops P3, 450 – 866 MHz P3, 933 MHz – 1.3 GHz P4, 1.3 GHz – 2 GHz P4, 2 GHz and faster

E-Scrap, Atlanta, October 24, Copyright, Cascade, 2007 Resale Value from Desktops  Desktop resale prices plateau 12 – 18 months (after retirement)  Average monthly depreciation – 2.0%

E-Scrap, Atlanta, October 24, Copyright, Cascade, 2007 Resale Values from Laptops  Laptop resale prices plateau months (after retirement)  Average monthly depreciation – 2.5%

E-Scrap, Atlanta, October 24, Copyright, Cascade, 2007 Price and Quantity Trends  Unit price declines over time  Number of units of a particular item follows bell curve

E-Scrap, Atlanta, October 24, Copyright, Cascade, 2007 Making Resale Data Useful in Forecasting How can we predict what future values will be for equipment we try to resell?

E-Scrap, Atlanta, October 24, Copyright, Cascade, 2007 Predict Resale Values using Processor Speed $0.05/MHz

E-Scrap, Atlanta, October 24, Copyright, Cascade, 2007 Predict Resale Values using Processor Speed – not quite for laptops $0.14/MHz to $0.33/MHz  Laptop processor speeds up by 266%  Resale values up 53% over 4 years (but down from peak)

E-Scrap, Atlanta, October 24, Copyright, Cascade, 2007 What’s the line we tell customers? Knowing what we know – Prices drop over time – The hype about price drops may be exaggerated Still want surplus IT assets now – Companies shouldn’t store them or drag out refresh cycle.

E-Scrap, Atlanta, October 24, Copyright, Cascade, 2007 Consistent Refresh = Predictable Values  The average processor speed resold at Cascade increases  The average resale price for resold assets is flat

E-Scrap, Atlanta, October 24, Copyright, Cascade, 2007 Consistent refresh = lower ITAM costs By retiring equipment on a consistent basis – Reduce storage costs – Reduce maintenance costs from supporting old and broken technology – Reduce compliance costs – Reduce personal property taxes Reduce your costs and keep resale values consistent

E-Scrap, Atlanta, October 24, Copyright, Cascade, 2007 Further Resources & Issues Economic Outlook – Global economy’s impact on industry – Decreasing cost of new IT on demand for used IT – Competition and increased supply of used IT Fair Market Valuation Tools – Orion Blue Book – Reseller Price Calculators – eBay Best Practices to be better than benchmark

E-Scrap, Atlanta, October 24, Copyright, Cascade, 2007 Research and Collaboration Resources Original White Paper Excel data sheets and analysis Links to research papers – Resale prices and depreciation – Economic outlook Blogs and discussion groups Links to evaluation tools