Methodology and quality assurance Sample objective: 800 enumeration areas, 10 interviews per EA – 8,000 interviews Sample achieved: 7,987 interviews Response.

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Presentation transcript:

Methodology and quality assurance Sample objective: 800 enumeration areas, 10 interviews per EA – 8,000 interviews Sample achieved: 7,987 interviews Response rate: 99.8% ▪6,800 Mainland interviews; 1,187 Zanzibar interviews ▪Data weighted and validated by NBS Weighted data represents: ▪population16 years or older – 24.2 m (21.2m in 2009) ▪population18 years or older – 23.2m (20.0 m in 2009)

Population 16 years or older demographics

FinScope objectives addressed by the topline findings ▪Levels of access to and use of financial services ▪Describe the landscape of access ▪Barriers to financial access ▪Assess trends/change over time

BoT Target 50% formal financial access by 2016 (National Financial Inclusion Framework) ▪Is this realistic? ▪How have we progressed since 2009?

Key participants in FinScope Tanzania 2013 Steering Committee Stakeholders from public and private sectors Technical Committee BoT, NBS, Ipsos, Technical Advisor, FinScope Coordinator, FSDT NBS – sampling and quality assurance Ipsos Tanzania – implemented the survey Development Pioneer Consultants – FinScope Coordinator Yakini Development Consulting – Technical Advisor

Definitions of financial inclusion & exclusion Financially included Individuals 16 years or older who have/use financial products/services to manage their financial lives Financially excluded Individuals 16 years or older who use NO financial mechanisms - rely only on themselves/family/friends for saving, borrowing and remitting; their transactions are cash- based or in-kind

Definitions of inclusion Formally included Individuals 16 years or older who have/use financial products/ services provided by a financial service provider that is regulated or officially supervised Informally included Individuals 16 years or older who use financial mechanisms not provided by a regulated or supervised financial institution

Change in access strand definitions

Access strand 2009 – 2013

Access strand: Mainland and Zanzibar compared Zanzibar shows less uptake both in terms of bank and non-bank formal products – adults more likely to be excluded

Access strand by education level

Urban-rural:

Gender:

Age categories:

Main sources of money Only 2% of formally employed are excluded; farmers most likely to be excluded or to rely on informal mechanisms only

Growth in banking and non-banking sectors

Non-bank formal sector use Growth in non-bank formal sector driven by increased uptake of and mobile money and insurance

11.9 m users of mobile money - what are they using it for?

Informal financial service use Informal borrowing increased; informal remittances decreased

Role of different sectors in the financial system Banking

Role of different sectors in the financial system Informal sector the most likely credit provider Informal

Role of different sectors in the financial system Non-bank formal

The row of different sectors in the financial system Banking Informal sector the most likely credit provider Non-bank formal Informal

Overlaps in use Only 100,000 use banks exclusively

Savings behaviour 51.7% adults (59.9% of savers, 12.5 m) save for ‘living expenses’ Most adults (39%) regard SAVING as “putting money somewhere to stop you from spending it immediately”, rather than as a means of accumulating wealth. Quick access to money drives choice of savings mechanism (most important driver of choice for 64.9% of claimed savers)

Borrowing behaviour

Regions with highest levels of financial inclusion

Regions with highest levels of financial exclusion

Cross-country comparisons: access strands (Ranked by level of formal inclusion) Tanzania access strand adjusted to show 18+ for consistency

Main barriers to uptake BankingMobile money

Insurance productsCredit products Savings products – main barrier Insufficient money to cover expenses and still able to put some money away

Key findings ▪Significant decrease in EXCLUSION ▪11.7m drops to 6.6 m adults financially excluded

Key findings ▪Significant decrease in EXCLUSION ▪11.7m drops to 6.6 m adults financially excluded ▪Usage of mobile money significantly changes landscape of access ▪More than half the adult population formally served ▪Mobile money mostly used for remittance

Key findings ▪Significant decrease in EXCLUSION ▪11.7m drops to 6.6 m adults financially excluded ▪Usage of mobile money significantly changes landscape of access ▪More than half the adult population formally served ▪Mobile money mostly used for remittance ▪Significant increase in uptake of banking products ▪Lagging behind in terms of % adults banked

Key findings ▪Significant decrease in EXCLUSION ▪11.7m drops to 6.6 m adults financially excluded ▪Usage of mobile money significantly changes landscape of access ▪More than half the adult population formally served ▪Mobile money mostly used for remittance ▪Significant increase in uptake of banking products ▪Lagging behind in terms of % adults banked ▪Significant increase in uptake of health insurance

Key findings ▪Significant decrease in EXCLUSION ▪11.7m drops to 6.6 m adults financially excluded ▪Usage of mobile money significantly changes landscape of access ▪More than half the adult population formally served ▪Mobile money mostly used for remittance ▪Significant increase in uptake of banking products ▪Lagging behind in terms of % adults banked ▪Significant increase in uptake of health insurance ▪Informal sector = Credit provider

THANK YOU

Getting more out of FinScope 2013 Dissemination plan includes… Tailored analyses and presentations Government (incl regional), private sector financial, NGO sector Newspaper articles and editorials The Citizen, Mwananchi,Guardian, Nipashe, Daily News, Habari Leo, Zanzibar Leo TV discussion and news programmes Kipima Joto, MADA, Hoja la Leo, Malumbano ya Hoja, TBC Morning Show and Tuambie, Star TV Jarida Maridhawa, ZBC TV Radio discussion and news programmes East Africa Radio Breakfast Show and Supermix, Clouds FM Power Breakfast, ZBC FM, Coconut FM, Zenji FM Social media – Twitter and Facebook Website and blog

Analysis framework

Comparing with Kenya – focus on the effect of mobile money