Texas Library Association Diversity Summit April 8, 2014 San Antonio, Texas Texas Population Characteristics, Trends, and Projections.

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Presentation transcript:

Texas Library Association Diversity Summit April 8, 2014 San Antonio, Texas Texas Population Characteristics, Trends, and Projections

Growing States, Population* 2010 Population* Numerical Change Percent Change United States 281,421,906308,745,53827,323,6329.7% Texas 20,851,82025,145,5614,293, % California 33,871,64837,253,9563,382, % Florida 15,982,37818,801,3102,818, % Georgia 8,186,4539,687,6531,501, % North Carolina 8,049,313 9,535,483 1,486, % Arizona 5,130,632 6,392,017 1,261, % Population values are decennial census counts for April 1 for 2000 and Source: U.S. Census Bureau and 2010 Census Count. 65% (2.8 million) of this change can be attributed to growth of the Hispanic population

Percent Change Due to Y ear* Population Numerical Change Annual Percent Change Natural Increase Net Migration 19507,711, ,579,6771,868, ,196,7301,617, ,229,1913,032, ,986,5102,757, ,851,8203,865, ,145,5614,293, ,060, , ,448,193387, * All values for the decennial dates are for April 1 st of the indicated census year. Values for 2012 and 2013 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. Source: Derived from U.S. Census Bureau Estimates for dates indicated by the Texas State Data Center, University of Texas at San Antonio. Note: Residual values are not presented in this table. Total Population and Components of Population Change in Texas,

Total Estimated Population by County, Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2012 Population Estimates Along and east of I-35: 40% of land 86% of population 92% of population growth ( )

Change of the Total Population by County, 2010 to Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2012 Vintage. 96 counties lost population over the two year period Of counties that lost population 90% had net out migration 47% had natural decline

The 10 Fastest Growing Metro Areas Increase from July 1, 2011, to July 1, Percent Increase 1.Midland, Texas4.6 2.Clarksville, Tenn.-Ky Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, Fla The Villages, Fla Odessa, Texas3.4 6.Jacksonville, N.C Austin-Round Rock, Texas3.0 8.Casper, Wyo Columbus, Ga.-Ala Manhattan, Kan.2.8 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2012

The 10 Counties with the Largest Numeric Increase from July 1, 2011, to July 1, Numeric Increase 1.Harris, Texas80,005 2.Los Angeles, Calif.73,764 3.Maricopa, Ariz.73,644 4.Dallas, Texas45,827 5.San Diego, Calif.38,880 6.King, Wash.35,838 7.Travis, Texas34,381 8.Orange, Calif.34,017 9.Tarrant, Texas32, Clark, Nev.32,833 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2013

Percent Hispanic, Texas Counties, Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-year sample,

Estimates of the Unauthorized Immigrant Population in Texas, millions Population Decline of Unauthorized Immigrants Stalls, May Have Reversed,

Percent of the population that is native born, Texas Counties, Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-year sample,

Percent of the population age 5 and over that speaks Spanish and speaks English less than very well, Texas Counties, Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-year sample,

Texas Racial and Ethnic Composition, 2000 and 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau and 2010 Census count

Texas White (non-Hispanic) and Hispanic Populations by Age, Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

Projected Population Growth in Texas, Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections

Projected Racial and Ethnic Percent, Texas, Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections, Migration Scenario

Educational Attainment in Texas, 2011 Level of Educational Attainment Percent of persons aged 25 years and older State Ranking High school diploma or equivalency or greater 81.1%48/49/50 (tied with CA and MS) Bachelors or greater26.4%29 19 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, One-year Sample, 2011.

Race/Ethnic Composition by Education Level in the Labor Force (aged 25 years and more), Texas, Source: Derived from 2009 American Community Survey 1-Year Estimates by the Office of the State Demographer. Less Than High School College and Greater

Trends in Educational Attainment in Texas by Race/Ethnicity – High School Graduates and Above Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, Public Use Micro Sample,

Percent of the Civilian Labor Force (ages 25-64) by Educational Attainment for 2011, 2030 Using Constant Rates, and 2030 Using Trended Rates, Texas 22 Sources: Texas State Data Center, 2012 Vintage Population Projections, 0.5 Migration Scenario U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, Public Use Micro Sample,

Educational Attainment of the Civilian Labor Force (ages 25-64) by Race/Ethnicity in 2011, and Projected for 2030 Using Constant Rates and Using Trended Rates of Educational Attainment, Texas 23 Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, Year PUMS. Texas State Data Center, 2012 Vintage Population Projections, 0.5 Migration Scenario

Demographics and Destiny 24

Contact Office: (512) or (210) Internet: 25 Lloyd Potter, Ph.D.