Fiscal Year 2007 Federal Emergency Management Agency Catastrophic Disaster Planning

“The primary mission of FEMA is to reduce the loss of life and property and protect the Nation from all hazards, including natural disasters, acts of terrorism, and other man-made disasters, by leading and supporting the Nation in a risk-based, comprehensive emergency management system of preparedness, protection, response, recovery, and mitigation”. - Post-Katrina Emergency Management Reform Act of 2006 (Section 503) Catastrophic Disaster Planning The Role of FEMA

3 #1 Nuclear Detonation #2 Anthrax #3 Pandemic #4 Plague #5 Blister #8 Chlorine #10 Hurricane #6 Toxic Industrial #7 Nerve Agent #9 Earthquake #15 Cyber #11 Radiological Attack (RDD) #12 Explosives Attack (IED) #13 Food #14 Animal Natural Disaster Chemical Attack Biological Disease Radiological/ Nuclear/ Explosive Attack Cyber Attack Catastrophic Disaster Planning 15 National Planning Scenarios

4 All hazards approach to “Notice” and “No Notice” disasters with detailed emphasis on: –Hurricanes Regions I, II, III, IV, VI, and IX Caribbean and Pacific Area Division Offices –Earthquakes Central US: New Madrid Seismic Zone US West Coast: California –Mass Evacuations Catastrophic Disaster Planning Current Focus

–Evacuation Planning (Gulf Coast Recovery Office) –Mass Evacuee Support Planning –ESF-6 Regional Mass Care Planning –Florida Catastrophic Planning –New Madrid Seismic Zone Catastrophic Planning –Total$20.0M 2007 –New Madrid Seismic Zone Catastrophic Planning –California Catastrophic Planning –Florida Catastrophic Planning –Catastrophic Housing –National Shelter System –Debris Operations –Debris Technology –Public Assistance Program Management –Operational Planning Capability –Total$20.0M Catastrophic Disaster Planning Budget

6 Federal, State, local and Tribal partnership DHS components FEMA HQ and Regions State Emergency Management Agencies Other State agencies Federal and Sector Specific Agencies (CI/KR) Emergency Management Assistance Compact (EMAC) Business, Industry and Voluntary Organizations Academia Catastrophic Disaster Planning Partnerships to Meet the Challenge

7 Scenario-Driven Catastrophic Planning –Combines planning and exercise phases –Includes operational and planning personnel –Incorporates wide range of site-specific scenarios –Built on scenario-driven workshops –Produces functional plans ready for immediate use –Addresses jurisdictional conflicts –Can be exercised rapidly after development Unified Response Approach integrates Private Sector, Critical Infrastructure, and Emergency Management communities into a single, coordinated response with Federal, State, Tribal Nations and other governmental entities Catastrophic Disaster Planning Approach to the Challenge

8 Catastrophic CBRNE CONOPS Catastrophic CBRNE CONOPS HSPD 5 Catastrophic EARTHQUAKE CONOPS REGIONAL - OPERATIONAL Operations Plan NATIONAL - STRATEGIC Concept of Operations STATE & LOCAL - TACTICAL Emergency Operations Plan Incident Action Plans Synchronized and Layered PANDEMIC INFLUENZA CONOPS Regional HURRICANE OPLAN Regional Pandemic Influenza CONOPS 15 National Planning Scenarios Catastrophic Disaster Planning Integration with the National Response Plan

9 June 2007 October 2006 Compile 2006 Season AAR Oct 2006 Nov 2006 Dec 2006 Jan 2007 Establish Working Groups to address AAR Issues Issue 1 st Draft of 2007 CONPLAN 1 st Comment Period Incorporate AAR corrective action into 2006/2007 CONOPS Hurricane Season Critique USACE/FEMA/ESF/States Lake Okeechobee Initiative DoD JDOMS Hurricane Conf Feb 2007 Compile Initial Coordinating Draft (Interagency Input) ESFLG CONPLAN Synchronization Workshop Regional Planning Workshops PFO/FCO Training South Florida Regional Planning Conference Distribute Director’s Guidance for Hurricane Season 2007 FEMA Hurricane Contingency Plan 2007 Hurricane Planning Timeline

10 Mar nd Comment Period Regional Hurricane Preparedness Exercises May 2007 Apr 2007 National Hurricane Conference Program (NOLA) Provide Director CONPLAN In Progress Review (IPR) CONPLAN Final Coordinating Draft (Regional Input) NOC/NRCC Hurricane Tabletop Preparedness Exercise Florida Hurricane Exercise NOC/NRCC Functional Exercise (CPX) Ardent Sentry Florida Governor’s Hurricane Conference Hurricane CONPLAN 2007 Published Jun 2007 START of HURRICANE SEASON June 2007 October 2006 FEMA Hurricane Contingency Plan 2007 Hurricane Planning Timeline

11 TX NM OK AR LA NY NJ ME RI VT NH CT MA FL AL GA KY TN SC NC MS VA WV PA DE MD R-I Ardent Sentry 07 Hurricane Yvette Scenario R-II NYC Coastal Storm Plan R-III Hampton Roads Chesapeake Bay Scenario R-IV FL South Florida Scenario R-VI GCRO New Orleans Scenario Each Region will develop a region- specific hurricane contingency plan. AZ NV CA HI R-IX Scenario PAD Scenario CAD (PR/VI) Scenario 2007 Hurricane Season Regional Hurricane Exercises

12 Florida Catastrophic Disaster Planning The Response Challenges Impact of 2004 Florida Hurricanes History of severe storms including 3 with category 5 status at landfall over the last 80 years A category 5 hurricane could severely impact Miami area, population approximately 6M Catastrophic failure of the Herbert Hoover Dike (HHD) around Lake Okeechobee: “... will impact the lives and livelihoods of thousands of Floridians. It would be devastating to our economy, environment and quality of life. While preparing for the impacts of a dike failure is critical to prevent the loss of life, the priority should be preventing such a failure from ever occurring….” –Former Governor Jeb Bush

13 Planning Process: County to FL Regions –FEMA is providing contract support directly to the state of FL 7 senior emergency planners in Florida 1 senior emergency planner in FEMA Region IV 2 senior emergency planners at FEMA HQ –State generates guidance (templates) for annexes –Counties develop concept plan on how to complete annex template –State reviews/approves concept plans –Regional Workshops: Scenario driven with Light Detection and Ranging (LIDAR) data collection Integrates county annexes to develop a State regional plan that includes State and Federal support Florida Catastrophic Disaster Planning Approach to the Challenge

14 St. Louis Million Rural Pop. 8-9 million 160–200 Cities Memphis Million MO IL IN KY TN AL MS AR New Madrid Seismic Zone Catastrophic Disaster Planning The Response Challenges Approximately 12 million people at high risk No notice event not commonly recognized Consequences eclipse Katrina Large impact area - 126,575 Sq Miles 44M people in eight-State region - (12M in high risk area) Multiple jurisdictions with multiple governors Significant infrastructure impacts Response problems during multiple aftershocks Estimated building loss -- $70B Severe weather & significant evacuation issues Directly Impacted States Indirectly Impacted States

15 Planning Process: State to Region to Federal –FEMA is providing contract support directly to the NMSZ states/Regions 12 senior emergency planners in states/Regions (AL, AR, IL, IN, KY, MS, MO, TN, Regions IV, V, VI, VII) 3 senior emergency planners at FEMA HQ –State generates guidance (templates) for annexes –State reviews/approves concept plans –Regional Workshops: Scenario driven Integration of local, State Regional, State and Federal response plans Unified Response –Approach integrates Private Sector, Critical Infrastructure, and Emergency Management communities into a single, coordinated response with Federal, State and other governmental entities New Madrid Seismic Zone Catastrophic Disaster Planning Approach to the Challenge

16 Fills immediate need-manage Federal response to catastrophic NMSZ Earthquake Defines what Federal response should be if event occurs in immediate future Modeling used to provide estimate of damages and losses Identifies difference between projected losses and capabilities Provides organizational architecture for direction and control Outlines logistics concept of operations Annexes contain checklists Developed in parallel to NMSZ Catastrophic Planning Project New Madrid Seismic Zone Catastrophic Disaster Planning New Madrid Interim Contingency Plan

17 California Catastrophic Disaster Planning The Response Challenges Major impact to large metropolitan areas Consequences would eclipse Katrina Large area of impact - 155,959 Sq. Miles Highly populated areas - 36M Significant earthquake risk throughout State Tsunami risk Mass Evacuation Significant infrastructure impacts Response problems due to roadway collapse/blockage Estimated building loss -- > $69B

18 California Catastrophic Disaster Planning Approach to the Challenge Proven Regional, State and Local Emergency plans in effect –Los Angeles Venue to the NRP Catastrophic Incident Supplement –City of Los Angeles Health Emergency Response Plan –San Francisco Bay Area Regional Emergency Coordination Plan –Sacramento Valley Levee Response Plan –Golden Guardian Annual Earthquake exercise

19 Assisted in development of DHS Pandemic Influenza Contingency Plan Working with the DHS Incident Management Planning Team on PI planning Catastrophic Disaster Planning Pandemic Influenza Component contingency plan and interagency annex Updating policy and procedures to support NRP’s nuclear- radiological response annex Maintaining representation on NSPD-28 Nuclear Command and Control System Support Staff Active in exercise support Improvised Nuclear Devices & Radiological Dispersal Devices

20 Projects and Products: –National Response Plan Support Annex –Catastrophic Incident Supplement Appendix –Contingency Plan Annex –Evacuation Operations Manual –Recovery – Evacuee Support & Shelter Management Authorities and References: –Post-Katrina Emergency Management Reform Act 2006 –Nationwide Plan Review –Hurricane Katrina Lessons Learned Catastrophic Disaster Planning Mass Evacuations

21