Chapter 11 Earnings Management

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Presentation transcript:

Chapter 11 Earnings Management Copyright © 2009 by Pearson Education Canada

Chapter 11 Earnings Management Copyright © 2009 by Pearson Education Canada

What is Earnings Management? Earnings management is the choice by a manager of accounting policies, or real actions that affect earnings, so as to achieve some specific reported earnings objective Copyright © 2009 by Pearson Education Canada

11.2 Patterns of Earnings Management Bath Income minimization Income maximization Income smooth Copyright © 2009 by Pearson Education Canada

11.3, 4 Motivations for Earnings Management Contractual motivations Bonus plan hypothesis: to manage cash bonus Evidence: [Healy (1985)] Debt covenant hypothesis: to manage debt covenants Evidence: Dichev & Skinner (2002), text Section 8.5.3 Political cost hypothesis To lower political “heat” Evidence: Jones (1991), text Section 8.5.3 Continued Copyright © 2009 by Pearson Education Canada

11.3, 4 Motivations for Earnings Management (continued) To meet earnings expectations Significant negative effects on share price and manager reputation if expectations not met Other motivations Initial public offerings Copyright © 2009 by Pearson Education Canada

11.5 The Good Side of Earnings Management Contract-based arguments To give firm some flexibility in the face of rigid, incomplete contracts Bonus contracts based on net income New accounting standards may lower net income and/or increase volatility. May adversely affect manager effort Debt covenant contracts New accounting standards may increase probability of debt covenant violation Contract violation is costly, earnings management may be low-cost way to work around Continued Copyright © 2009 by Pearson Education Canada

11.5 The Good Side of Earnings Management (continued) Investor-based arguments To credibly communicate inside information to investors Blocked communication may inhibit direct disclosure of earnings expectations Discretionary accrual management as a way to credibly reveal management’s inside information about earnings expectations Manager foolish to report more earnings than can be maintained Manage reported earnings to an amount management expects will persist Copyright © 2009 by Pearson Education Canada

11.5.2 Theory & Evidence of Good Earnings Management Theoretical models supporting good earnings management Demski & Sappington (1987) Stocken & Verrecchia (2004) Evans & Sridhar (1996) Dye (1988) Chen, Hemmer, & Zhang (2007) Continued Copyright © 2009 by Pearson Education Canada

11.5.2 Theory & Evidence of Good Earnings Management (continued) Empirical studies supporting good earnings management Subramanyam (1996) Xie (2001) questions Tucker & Zarowin (2006) Liu, Ryan, & Whalen (1997) Barth, Elliott, & Finn (1999) Callen & Segal (2004) Francis, LaFond, Olsson, & Schipper (2005) Copyright © 2009 by Pearson Education Canada

Problem 11.9 Earnings Management at General Electric Earnings management devices used by GE Assumed rate of return on pension funds Restructuring charges Acquisitions, sales of divisions Conservative accounting practices Sales of leased aircraft Allocation of goodwill on purchase of subsidiaries Earnings management devices used in harmony to report steadily increasing earnings Continued Copyright © 2009 by Pearson Education Canada

Problem 11.9 Earnings Management at General Electric (continued) GE Reported Net Income (Millions) 2007 $22,208 2006 20,700 2005 16,353 2004 16,593 2003 15,002 2002 14,118 2001 13,684 2000 12,735 1999 $10,717 1998 9,296 1997 8,203 1996 7,280 1995 6,573 1994 4,726 1993 4,315 1992 4,725 Continued Copyright © 2009 by Pearson Education Canada

Problem 11.9 Earnings Management at General Electric (continued) Note argument that even under securities market efficiency, GE is so large and complex that even analysts cannot prepare accurate earnings forecasts Management has best inside information about expected persistent earnings Direct communication blocked Creates role for earnings management to reveal management’s expected persistent earnings Is this good or bad (i.e., opportunistic) earnings management? Copyright © 2009 by Pearson Education Canada

11.6 The Bad Side of Earnings Management Contracting Perspective Healy (1985) Is this good or bad earnings management? Dechow, Sloan, and Sweeney (1996) Continued Copyright © 2009 by Pearson Education Canada

11.6 The Bad Side of Earnings Management (continued) Financial Reporting Perspective Hanna (1999) Investors and analysts look to core earnings, ignoring extraordinary and non-recurring items Implies manager not penalized for non-core charges, such as writedowns, provisions for restructuring But current non-core charges increase core earnings in future years, through lower amortization and absorption of future costs Continued Copyright © 2009 by Pearson Education Canada

11.6 The Bad Side of Earnings Management (continued) Hanna, cont’d. As a result, managers tempted to “overdose” on non-core charges, thereby putting earnings “in the bank” also called cookie jar accounting Note securities market reaction Hanna found evidence that market uses frequency of such charges as proxy for their misuse--lower ERC when greater frequency Example: Nortel (Theory in Practice 11.1) Copyright © 2009 by Pearson Education Canada

Problem 11.10 Earnings Management at Sunbeam Corp. See Liang (1998) article Devices used by Sunbeam to manage earnings upwards See next slide Note loss reported earnings 1st Q. 1998 Illustrates “iron law” of accrual reversal Where was auditor? Copyright © 2009 by Pearson Education Canada

Problem 11.10 Earnings Management at Sunbeam Corp. Copyright © 2009 by Pearson Education Canada

11.6.2 Do Managers Accept Securities Market Efficiency? Perhaps Poor disclosure enables earnings management even if markets efficient Perhaps Not Theory and evidence that securities markets may not be fully efficient supports a “no” answer Evidence that efficiency not accepted Pro-forma earnings Doyle, Lundholm, & Soliman (2003) Managing same-quarter earnings of previous year Schrand and Walther (2000) Copyright © 2009 by Pearson Education Canada

11.6.3 Can Accountants Control Bad Earnings Management? Full disclosure Revenue recognition policies Unusual, non-recurring and extraordinary events Enables investors to better evaluate earnings persistence Effect of previous writeoffs on current core earnings Hanna ( 1999) Copyright © 2009 by Pearson Education Canada

11.7 Conclusions Earnings management can be good if used responsibly Full disclosure helps to control bad earnings management Copyright © 2009 by Pearson Education Canada