US Army Combined Arms Center UNCLASSIFIEDAs of 27 JAN 09 Approach to Counterinsurgency USA/USMC COIN Center COL Daniel S. Roper, Director 1.

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Presentation transcript:

US Army Combined Arms Center UNCLASSIFIEDAs of 27 JAN 09 Approach to Counterinsurgency USA/USMC COIN Center COL Daniel S. Roper, Director 1

US Army Combined Arms Center UNCLASSIFIEDAs of 27 JAN 09 Agenda COIN Center Overview Insights into the COIN Environment COIN Resources 2

US Army Combined Arms Center UNCLASSIFIEDAs of 27 JAN 09 Mission Statement: USA/USMC COIN Center provides oversight of ground force COIN integration in order to improve US ground forces’ capability to operate in a full spectrum/COIN environment.  Integrate COIN initiatives  Research best practices  Improve Doctrine  Improve Education  Advise leaders and organizations  Conduct Outreach to other military & civilian entities COIN Center Origin & Mission Founded Summer 06 – GEN Petraeus and Gen Mattis, USMC Assist with FM 3-24 Integration and Implementation “Connect the Dots” Lines of Effort Assist Army/USMC in implementation/application of the body of thought in FM

US Army Combined Arms Center UNCLASSIFIEDAs of 27 JAN 09 Vision Goals Objectives Premier military institution for development and integration of Joint, Interagency, and Multinational counterinsurgency expertise and capability Ground forces learn, understand and apply COIN Expanded joint and multi-national coordination Improved Whole-of-Government approach Shared understanding of capabilities and limitations of other government agencies and how each contribute to successful COIN efforts. Established coordination means to pass lessons, observations and insights and improve interoperability amongst partners. COIN Doctrine and applicable tasks / learning objectives integrated into PME and institutional training. COIN Center Direction 4

US Army Combined Arms Center UNCLASSIFIEDAs of 27 JAN 09 COIN Center Organization 5 Admin Assistant Director (COL) Dep, Director (Col) Advisory/Analysis Branch Integration/Outreach Branch Project Lead Analyst (CW – 3/4) Plans Officer STRATCOM/ Outreach KM Officer Ops Officer XO (LTC) ABCA Advisor (MAJ) Advisor (MAJ) Advisor (Maj) Advisor (Maj) Advisor (Maj) JFCOM LNO Advisor, SF (SFC) Interagency Representative

US Army Combined Arms Center UNCLASSIFIEDAs of 27 JAN 09 *Note Monthly COIN Integration MTG attendees: Afghan & Iraq COIN Centers for Excellence, PKSOI, USMC IW Center, USAF Coalition IW Center, USJFCOM IW Center, USSOCOM J10, Asymmetric Warfare Group, JCISFA, NTC/JIEDDO IED-D Center for Excellence, JRTC, BCTP, CTD, CGSC, International Officers and Coalition LNOs. Monthly COIN SITREP COIN Center Engagement 6

US Army Combined Arms Center UNCLASSIFIEDAs of 27 JAN 09 7 COIN Partners COIN CFEs Iraq Afghanistan CFLDTS CTCs NTC JRTC JMRC 29 Palms JWFC FORSCOM/1A FT Dix FT Riley FT McCoy CP Shelby CP Atterbury Think Tanks RAND USIP McCormick Foundation CNAS PNSR Small Wars Journal Media NPR McClatchy WSJ Chicago Tribune CQ al-Sharq al- Awsat Service/GCC COIN/IW Centers USA/USMC COIN Center USJFCOM JIW Center SOCOM J10 USMC IW Center USAF IW Center USCENTCOM IATF USG S/CRS USAID Treasury DoJ NSC Academia Harvard USMA JHU Princeton Stanford PKSOI Pritzker Kings College Europe UK – LWC: 6(UK) DIV NATO – ARRC Netherlands - Doctrine France – Joint Staff Poland - JFTC War College SOF School

US Army Combined Arms Center UNCLASSIFIEDAs of 27 JAN 09 Relationship with in-Theater Centers COIN Training Center– Afghanistan (CTC–A) Principal modes of interaction Personal communications / networking Monthly COIN Integration Meeting COIN CFE Triad COIN Center for Excellence (CFE), Camp Taji, Iraq PURPOSE: provide COIN training for… Coalition combat forces Transition Teams HN Security Forces 8

US Army Combined Arms Center UNCLASSIFIEDAs of 27 JAN 09 Insights into the COIN Environment 9

US Army Combined Arms Center UNCLASSIFIEDAs of 27 JAN 09 Understanding the Operational Environment * Observations from theater visit (AUG – NOV 07) Not … what to think Or even... how to think In COIN & IW, focus on … how to think about: environment in which you operate & how to influence both environment & actors in it. 10

US Army Combined Arms Center UNCLASSIFIEDAs of 27 JAN 09 COIN Environment: A “Wicked Problem” Approach Involve stakeholders—communication + documentation Define the corporate identity Focus on action as experimentation Feed forward orientation The counterinsurgent is not distinct from the environment, but is integral to it. Wicked: Traditional problem solving does not work  Multiple stakeholders  Roots are tangled  Changes with every action  No precedent  No way to evaluate fixes 11

US Army Combined Arms Center UNCLASSIFIEDAs of 27 JAN 09 COIN as a Multiple-problem Set 12 Fragile State Capacity-Building (incl. Governance, Law + Order) Terrorism CT Fundamental problem is CONTROL – of people, terrain and information. Communal Conflict Peace Enforcement Criminality Rule of Law Insurgency COIN

US Army Combined Arms Center UNCLASSIFIEDAs of 27 JAN 09 How we tend to view thingsHow the insurgent views things © A Coord PowerPoint Ninja Graphic 2008  Legitimacy is main objective  Political factors are primary  Long-term commitment COIN Principles * FM 3-24  Manage information  Use appropriate force  Empower lower levels COIN Imperatives Compression of Strategic, Operational, & Tactical levels The Challenge to the Way We Think 13

US Army Combined Arms Center UNCLASSIFIEDAs of 27 JAN 09 If the population is the battleground, what must be our method? How do we separate the insurgent from his base? 14

US Army Combined Arms Center UNCLASSIFIEDAs of 27 JAN 09 Information as the “Lens” in COIN Coherency in word, actions, images & outcome What is your compelling narrative? Decisive Points 15

US Army Combined Arms Center UNCLASSIFIEDAs of 27 JAN Insurgents Prerequisites Lack of Government Control Vulnerable Population Leadership for Direction Insurgency Dynamics External Support Phases Environment Objective Leadership Ideology Organization External (Non)State Actor Resources Sanctuary Political Moral Military Political COIN Principles Intelligence Isolate Insurgents Understand the Environment Political is Primary Legitimacy Unity of Effort Security under Rule of Law Long term Commitment Alternate State Psychological Physical Psychological Physical Framework for Counterinsurgency: “War Amongst the People” Approach to Counterinsurgency 3. Transform Environment to be inhospitable to Insurgents 1. Separate insurgents from Population 2. Connect Population to Government Partner Unit TT/OMLT PRTs People Psychological Physical Psychological Physical External (Non)State Actor External (Non)State Actor Military Civ Coalition Motivations Fear Greed Honor Insurgents HN Gov. HN Security Forces 16

US Army Combined Arms Center UNCLASSIFIEDAs of 27 JAN 09 Impressions Context. Much more than Intelligence. Militants. More opportunists than ideologues. “Whole-of-Government” approach not realized (more like an All- Star team than a Championship team). Politics (& security) is local. Empower leaders – de facto government -- with understanding of basic machinery of local governance. Warrior-Statesmen. Leading hybrid CONOPS analogous to FBI/Treasury/police & military task force disrupting competing criminal/military syndicates. 17

US Army Combined Arms Center UNCLASSIFIEDAs of 27 JAN 09 Ongoing Challenges Target Fixation. Solving problems we should solve (mentor Iraqi Security Forces), not just those we can solve (take down HVT). Blind spots. Recognizing & adapting to unforeseen changes. Inadequate Resources: – Building & then working by, with, & through HN Security Force. – Address root causes of instability through PRTs. – Dilemma: commit troops to population centers or to sanctuary areas? CONOPS Evolution. Changing battlefield geometry during thinning of Coalition forces & thickening of HN security forces. “The busier the Commander’s engagement calendar is, the fewer IEDs we get hit with.” 18

US Army Combined Arms Center UNCLASSIFIEDAs of 27 JAN 09 Amnesty & Reconciliation Demobilization, Demilitarization, Reintegration PRT/Military Synchronization Ops Intel Fusion Criminality Targeting & Lethal Ops FM 3-24 “Next” 19 FM 3-24 (Next) Form Writing Team Call for Papers Research/Conference SME Engagements Peer Review Timeline Religion & Ideology 1QFY092QFY09 Ft. Leavenworth Conference (June) 3QFY09 Final Draft (February) 1QFY10 Publish (April) 2QFY10 Form Team (December) Pub Prog Directive (December) Transitions D.C. Conference (November) IA Afghan Assess (July) 4QFY09 1st Draft (October) Call for Papers (January) FM Development Workshop (April) Detainee Ops Metrics

US Army Combined Arms Center UNCLASSIFIEDAs of 27 JAN 09 COIN Resources 20

US Army Combined Arms Center UNCLASSIFIEDAs of 27 JAN 09 FM 3-24/MCWP Level: Operational/Tactical Scope: Army/USMC COIN Signed: December 2006 JP 3-24, COIN Operations Level: Theater Strategic/Operational Scope: Joint COIN Developing Doctrine Estimated Release: September 2009 Irregular Warfare JOC Scope: IW Joint Operating Concept Signed: September 2007 AFDD 2-3 Level: Operational/Tactical Scope: US Air Forces Published: Aug 07 AJP 3.4.4: Counterinsurgency Level: Theater Strategic/Operational Scope: NATO COIN First Study Draft: Nov 2008 Strategic/Operational Level USG COIN Guide Scope: US Government A Work in Progress Signed: January 2009 DRAFT NATO PUBLICATION AJP 3.X Counterinsurgency and the Military Contribution FM 3-0 Level: Operational Scope: Army Published: Feb 08 21

US Army Combined Arms Center UNCLASSIFIEDAs of 27 JAN 09 Tactical/TTP Level FM : Tactics in COIN Level: Tactical Scope: Army Brigade and below Estimated Release: February 2009 Level: Tactical Scope: COIN TTP Published: Beginning Jan 09 USA/USMC COIN Center COIN Handbook FM 3-24/MCWP Level: Operational/Tactical Scope: Army/USMC COIN Signed: December 2006 CALL PRT Handbook Level: Tactical Scope: PRTs Published: Sep 07 Training SFA Teams Level: Tactical Scope: Transition Teams Published: Draft Feb 06 CALL First 100 Days CMD & Staff Handbook Level: Tactical Scope: BDE and Below Published: January

US Army Combined Arms Center UNCLASSIFIEDAs of 27 JAN 09 Future Engagement Opportunities COIN SITREP Monthly Integration Meeting (DCO) COIN Center Virtual Brownbags COIN Center Colloquium 23

US Army Combined Arms Center UNCLASSIFIEDAs of 27 JAN 09 COIN Center Blog Knowledge Center COIN Collaboration Sites COIN Center Media Events External Partners

US Army Combined Arms Center UNCLASSIFIEDAs of 27 JAN 09 Questions? 25

US Army Combined Arms Center UNCLASSIFIEDAs of 27 JAN 09  What are best practices of the strategy By/With/Through the Host Nation?  Current model of training and educating Soldiers and leaders for COIN: Is it adequate? How should the Army improve?  How should units approach detention operations in COIN?  What are best practices for fusion between operations and intelligence?  How are transitions between combat operations and stability operations managed?  How is effectiveness measured in COIN operations?  What is the impact of religion and ideology on COIN operations? What are best practices for the engagement of religious leaders?  What is the relationship between crime and insurgency?  How does communal conflict affect the COIN environment?  Role of Development in COIN  Psychology of Participation in Insurgency  Insurgency and Counterinsurgency as a Competition in Governance  Understanding Insurgent Intelligence Operations  Case Studies in the implementation of Rule of Law in COIN- Lessons Learned.  Case Studies in amnesty and reconciliation- Lessons Learned.  Case Studies in PRT/Military Synchronization- Lessons Learned.  Case Studies in Demobilization, Demilitarization, Reintegration- Lessons Learned.  Geographical Areas of Interest: Colombia, Philippines, Uganda, Nigeria, Sudan, India, Indonesia, Solomon Islands, Israel Research Topics 26

US Army Combined Arms Center UNCLASSIFIEDAs of 27 JAN 09 Security Force Assistance 27 SFA is a capability comprised of specific skills applicable throughout the spectrum of conflict focused on assisting foreign security forces in support of US and Coalition interests regardless of operating environment or threat At the macro level, the military provides only a portion of a whole-of-government or multinational effort in the application of national power to achieve strategic ends associated with developing foreign security forces For Example, CT UW BPC FID Full Spectrum Operations DefenseOffense Stability Ops SFA

US Army Combined Arms Center UNCLASSIFIEDAs of 27 JAN 09 Foreign Internal Defense vs. Security Force Assistance Security - Military Security - Civilian Economic Governance - Political Governance - Social External Threat Internal Threat Security - Military Security - Civilian Economic Governance - Political Governance - Social External Threat Internal Threat FIDSFA FID depends on origin of the threat - (internal lawlessness, subversion, insurgency) and that it must support Internal Defense and Development. SFA depends on the activity (organize, train, equip, rebuild, advise Foreign Security Forces). Grey area not included in the term.Red is included with the term. FID is conditionally based and does not depend upon function; SFA is functionally based and does not depend upon condition. 28

US Army Combined Arms Center UNCLASSIFIEDAs of 27 JAN 09 State and DoD Areas of Responsibility 29

US Army Combined Arms Center UNCLASSIFIEDAs of 27 JAN 09 CAC CG COIN Guidance, FY09 (1 of 2) Major Responsibility and Assigned Proponency Priorities – COIN – Provide subject matter expertise to Operational Army unites embarked on the Road to Deployment or engaged in COIN operations, and work to infuse proven COIN doctrine and TTP throughout the Generating Force. – Priority Efforts for FY 09. Doctrine development: ICI COIN Guide v2; FM ; JP 3-24; NATO COIN & FM 3-24 (Update) & Symposium. Leader Training: Non-BCTs/1 st Army Leader Workshops; Assistance Visits. Training Development: Training Support Packages; COIN Training Strategy. 30

US Army Combined Arms Center UNCLASSIFIEDAs of 27 JAN 09 CAC CG COIN Guidance – FY09 (2 of 2) Additional Tasks in Core Functions, Major Responsibilities, Assigned Proponencies and Enduring Efforts (Encl 2) – COIN COIN engagements w/Multi-National Partners: COIN CFE Triad (Taji/Kabul/Leavenworth); Canadian Land Forces Interagency Engagements: Interagency Symposium; Consortium Complex Operations; National Security Council. Outreach efforts: Media; Office for Reconstruction and Stabilization; USAID; Think Tanks; Academia; COIN Colloquium. 31