Enabling a national road and street database in population statistics Pasi Piela ESRI UC San Diego 2014.

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Presentation transcript:

Enabling a national road and street database in population statistics Pasi Piela ESRI UC San Diego 2014

Accessibility applications Commuting distances – General annual update for the Social Statistics Data Warehouse Commuting time – Enriching with traffic sensor data Other applications – Emergency 24/7 accessibility – Elementary school accessibility

Data and contextual issues 1/2 Digiroad, National Road Database of Finnish Transport Agency – accurate data on the location of all roads and streets in Finland Social Statistics Data Warehouse of StatFi – Dwelling coordinates and work place coordinates (2 years lag) along with a variety of demographic features. – Coordinate coverage for the ”workplace” was 91.2% of all employed inhabitants in 2011.

Data and contextual issues 2/2 Traffic sensor data of FTA – Currently 437 stations (vehicle detection loops) giving information for speed, direction, length and class of a passing vehicle. Target here: speed of passenger cars excluding heavy vehicles. – Open data services available as well (Digitraffic) New detailed Urban-rural classification by Finnish Environment Institute SYKE

Travel-time model 1.Traffic sensor data for a 4 weeks winter period: Mon-Fri 13 Jan – 7 Feb for both directions separately between 7:00 and 8:00 only (busiest morning traffic hour). 2.generalised sensor data is compared to the winter time speed limit of the corresponding road element (avg length 188 meters). The lowest speed is taken. 3.The speed of all the other roads is estimated by using a specific road functional classification (14 classes, strict computational speeds). The speed classes are between 20 and 95 km/h. The algorithm uses hierarchical routing moving a car away from a slow street when possible.

Pairwise computing of commuting times and distances 1/2 2.1 million coordinate pairs i: ((x id, y id ), (x iw, y iw )) Computational complexity is high – ”takes several weeks” ESRI ArcGIS® and Python™ – number of available licenses is not high – Network Analyst Route Solver Documentation is not satisfactory but it works: common Dijkstra’s algorithm with hierarchical routing (6-class functional classification: Class I main road, Class II main road, Regional road etc.) impedance attribute is the travel time (of a smallest road element); accumulation attribute is the length of a route.

Pairwise computing of commuting distances 2/2 The solution: 45,000 pairs of points (90,000 datarows) for one program run. 3 parallel runs per one standard computer. For 2 computers (2 licenses): 270,000 distances in about 3 days.

Commuting statistics TypeMedianMeanQ1Q3QCD Linear (km) Route (km) Time (min.) Based on the travel time optimisation. Q1 = 25th percentile, Q3 = 75th percentile The means are of 0 – 200 km distances Deviation measure here: QCD = (Q3 – Q1) / (Q3 + Q1) Quartile coefficient of dispersion

Commuting distance for populations of the subregions (LAU 1) Optimised by drive time.

Commuting time for populations of the sub-regions (LAU 1)

Commuting time by the Urban-rural classification Populations in Inner-urban areas (left) and in Rural areas close to urban areas (right) by the sub-regions.

Average speed for commuting distances km Populations in Rural heartland areas:

Other application examples 24/7 Emergency Accessibility – Population aggregated to 1 km x 1 km grids – Speed limits for each traffic element Elementary School Accessibility – Population aggregated to 250 m x 250 m grids – Pedestrian districts allowed, non-hierarchical

Relative 30 minutes drive time coverage by age groups Hospital Dist.1 – All Min, Kainuu Max, Helsinki

Relative distances to the nearest lower/upper comperehensive school For the permanent population aged 7 to 12 and 13 to 15 in 2012 Municipality< 1 km< 3 km< 5 kmPopulation Helsinki lower s ,246 Helsinki upper s ,647 Espoo lower s ,799 Espoo upper s ,779

Further research and conclusions Many accessibility challenges are related to rush hour traffic. The estimation of the commuting travel time becomes much more complex than the general 24/7 emergency accessibility. Big data helps. The extensive and detailed national road network has been proven useful in population statistics and will be seen as part of the social statistics data warehouse based applications in forthcoming years. Thank you!