Congressional Elections Unit 4: Institutions & Unit 2: Pol. Beliefs, Behaviors.

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Presentation transcript:

Congressional Elections Unit 4: Institutions & Unit 2: Pol. Beliefs, Behaviors

I. Introduction A. Election Schedule B. Fixed Terms C. Question of term limits (U.S. Term Limits v. Thornton) D. Single Member District vs. Multimember Districts (Europe)

II. Primary Elections

A. Progressive reform from the early 20 th century designed to weaken parties Primary Election schedule: Every state has a primary election Begin in January of election year End in June First two primaries are in Iowa & New Hampshire

B. Purposes of Primaries Each party selects their chosen candidate for the presidency in the general election Allows for people in registered parties to select candidate via voting, rather than have parties select candidates (more on this later) Think of these as playoffs before the big game in November between two teams Examples: 2008 Presidential Primary Candidates

C. Types: 1. Closed a. Used in most states Only registered party members can vote for partisan offices, no crossing of party lines 2. Open: independents may vote, voters get ballot of any one party they wish  crossing of party lines allowed  danger of “raiding” and damage to Pol. Parties. 3. Blanket (“free love”): independents may vote, voters can “mix and match” their votes, i.e., vote for candidates of different parties for different offices. Sample Primary Ballots

III. Factors affecting outcomes of congressional elections A. Incumbency: Definition: Current elected official seeking re-election of same position The biggest factor that determines election results (A LOT More on this later this week)

B. Type of election 1. Incumbent campaigns: least competitive. Often in districts w/ safe seats. 2. Weak challenger campaigns: uncompetitive, but more competitive than Inc. camp. 3. Strong challenger campaigns: more competitive than above two.

B. Type of election, Contd: 4. Open seat campaigns (most competitive). 5. House or Senate (later more competitive) 6. Midterm elections loss of congressional seats for party of president a. Occurred in House every year from b. Exceptions in congressional elections of 1998 and 2002 c. Once again, in 2006 and now 2014, president’s party lost seats, and even control of both houses of congress

C. Coattail effect. D. Media esp. in Senate elections E. Party affiliation- strong predictor of voting behavior F. Issues G. Campaign Consultants: increasing increase in importance- decrease importance of pol. Parties H. Technology (I.e. The Daily Boehner)