Planning.Maryland.gov 2000 TO 2013 P OPULATION AND C OMPONENTS OF C HANGE E STIMATES FOR M ARYLAND Presented to the State Data Center Affiliates Meeting.

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Presentation transcript:

Planning.Maryland.gov 2000 TO 2013 P OPULATION AND C OMPONENTS OF C HANGE E STIMATES FOR M ARYLAND Presented to the State Data Center Affiliates Meeting June 12, 2014 Mark Goldstein Maryland Department of Planning

Planning.Maryland.gov States - December of estimated year Counties - March following estimated year Municipalities – May following estimated year Age, race and gender - June following estimated year (states and counties) U.S. C ENSUS B UREAU ’ S A NNUAL P OPULATION E STIMATES (T YPICAL T IMELINE R ELEASE )

Planning.Maryland.gov Cohort component methodology for states and counties  Births & deaths - from administrative records  Net domestic migration (tax returns and Medicare records)  Net international migration – ACS data U.S. C ENSUS B UREAU ’ S A NNUAL P OPULATION E STIMATES ( M ETHODOLOGY )

Planning.Maryland.gov P OPULATION C HANGE FOR M ARYLAND

Planning.Maryland.gov E STIMATED A NNUAL T OTAL P OPULATION C HANGE FOR M ARYLAND * Source: U.S. Census Bureau population estimates

Planning.Maryland.gov E STIMATED A NNUAL P ERCENT P OPULATION C HANGE FOR M ARYLAND AND THE U.S.* Maryland U.S. Source: U.S. Census Bureau population estimates

Planning.Maryland.gov

C OMPONENTS OF P OPULATION C HANGE

Planning.Maryland.gov B IRTHS IN M ARYLAND Source: U.S. Census Bureau population estimates

Planning.Maryland.gov D EATHS IN M ARYLAND Source: U.S. Census Bureau population estimates

Planning.Maryland.gov E STIMATED N ET N ATURAL I NCREASE FOR M ARYLAND *

Planning.Maryland.gov N ET N ATURAL I NCREASE FOR M ARYLAND Source: U.S. Census Bureau population estimates

Planning.Maryland.gov E STIMATED N ET D OMESTIC M IGRATION FOR M ARYLAND * Source: U.S. Census Bureau population estimates

Planning.Maryland.gov M IGRATION B ETWEEN M ARYLAND AND P ENNSYLVANIA

Planning.Maryland.gov M EDIAN V ALUE OF O WNER -O CCUPIED H OMES Year 2000

Planning.Maryland.gov M EDIAN V ALUE OF O WNER -O CCUPIED H OMES Year 2008 Year 2000

Planning.Maryland.gov C HANGE IN M EDIAN V ALUE OF O WNER - O CCUPIED H OMES : 2000 TO 2008

Planning.Maryland.gov C HANGE IN M EDIAN V ALUE OF O WNER -O CCUPIED H OMES : 2008 TO 2011

Planning.Maryland.gov

E STIMATED N ET I NTERNATIONAL M IGRATION FOR M ARYLAND * Source: U.S. Census Bureau population estimates

Planning.Maryland.gov

J URISDICTION D ATA

Planning.Maryland.gov P OPULATION C HANGE, Top 2 = 50% Top 4 = 72% Top 5 = 80%

Planning.Maryland.gov P OPULATION C HANGE : A PRIL 1, 2010 – J ULY 2013 Top 2 = 46% Top 4 = 69% Top 5 = 81% Source: U.S. Census Bureau population estimates

Planning.Maryland.gov

S HARE OF S TATEWIDE A NNUAL P OPULATION C HANGE * Source: U.S. Census Bureau population estimates

Planning.Maryland.gov N ET D OMESTIC M IGRATION E STIMATES * Source: U.S. Census Bureau population estimates

Planning.Maryland.gov N ET I NTERNATIONAL M IGRATION E STIMATES * Source: U.S. Census Bureau population estimates

Planning.Maryland.gov A NNUAL P OPULATION C HANGE AND N ET D OMESTIC M IGRATION FOR M ONTGOMERY C OUNTY Source: U.S. Census Bureau population estimates

Planning.Maryland.gov A NNUAL P OPULATION C HANGE AND N ET D OMESTIC & I NTERNATIONAL M IGRATION FOR M ONTGOMERY C OUNTY Source: U.S. Census Bureau population estimates

Planning.Maryland.gov A NNUAL P OPULATION C HANGE AND N ET D OMESTIC M IGRATION FOR P RINCE G EORGE ’ S C OUNTY Source: U.S. Census Bureau population estimates

Planning.Maryland.gov A NNUAL P OPULATION C HANGE AND N ET D OMESTIC M IGRATION FOR C ARROLL C O. Source: U.S. Census Bureau population estimates

Planning.Maryland.gov A NNUAL P OPULATION C HANGE AND N ET D OMESTIC M IGRATION FOR H ARFORD C O.

Planning.Maryland.gov A NNUAL P OPULATION C HANGE AND N ET D OMESTIC M IGRATION FOR H OWARD C O.

Planning.Maryland.gov A NNUAL P OPULATION C HANGE AND N ET D OMESTIC M IGRATION FOR C ECIL C O. Source: U.S. Census Bureau population estimates

Planning.Maryland.gov A NNUAL P OPULATION C HANGE AND N ET D OMESTIC M IGRATION FOR C AROLINE C OUNTY Source: U.S. Census Bureau population estimates

Planning.Maryland.gov A NNUAL P OPULATION C HANGE AND N ET D OMESTIC M IGRATION FOR W ASHINGTON C OUNTY Source: U.S. Census Bureau population estimates

Planning.Maryland.gov Growth trends & migration patterns are still being affected by the Great Recession and its aftermath Growth is more concentrated in Central MD jurisdictions, less in exurban/rural counties Net domestic migration has greatest impact on year-to-year population changes S UMMARY

Planning.Maryland.gov