Segmentation Analysis

Segmentation Assign people to groups/clusters on basis of similarities in characteristics, attributes Bases of segmentation: - Demographic - Behavior - Geographic - Benefit - Product/ Product usage - Purchase Here we focus on two techniques used in segmentation

Segmentation: Factor Analysis Defines underlying structure of data matrix Summarizes a large no. of var. by identifying a few common underlying dimensions called Factors Two primary uses:Summarization;Data reduction It is an interdependence technique Can be: Exploratory; Confirmatory. We consider Exploratory view-point.

Segmentation Method: Factor Analysis(contd.) Six stage model building for F.A. Stage 1: Research Problem a. Exproratory or confirmatory b. Data summarization or data reduction Stage 2: Three basic decisions a. Calculation of input data b. Variable selection and measurement issues c. Sample size

Segmentation: Factor Analysis(contd.) Stage 3: assumptions of F.A. a. Normality b. Linearity c. Ensure data matrix has enough correlations d. Homogeneity of sample e. Conceptual linkages

Segmentation: Factor Analysis(contd.) Stage 4: Deriving factors and assesing fit. a. Method of extracting factors i. Common F.A. ii. Component F.A. Different types of variances i. Common variance ii. Specific (unique) variance iii. Error

Segmentation: Factor Analysis(contd.) Stage 4: Deriving factors and assesing fit (contd.). b. Number of factors to extract i. Latent root/eigenvalue ii. %-age of variation iii. Scree test iv. A priori criterion

Segmentation: Factor Analysis(contd.) Stage 5: Interpreting the factors a. Initial unrotated factors are obtained b. Rotation of factors for better interpretation i. Orthogonal methods - Varimax ii. Oblique methods c. Assess need to respecify factor model

Segmentation: Factor Analysis(contd.) Criteria for significance of factor loadings - Practical significance - Statistical significance Interpreting the factor matrix - Examine matrix of loadings - Identify highest loading for each variable - Assess communalities for acceptable levels - Label the factors

Segmentation: Factor Analysis(contd.) Stage 6: Validation of F.A. a. Move to confirmatory perspective and assess replicability with split-sample or a new sample.

Example: Factor Analysis A direct mail company sent mailings for an upscale good, based on a commercially available cluster analysis package Contrary to expectation, response came from middle/lower socioeconomic clusters, not from the top To verify clustering, the company used census data at the zip code level 40 census variables were chosen and each of the 2000 New York state zip codes was rated on these 10 factors (those with eigenvalue>1)were used for further analysis

Segmentation:Cluster Analysis Groups objects into clusters Only multi variate technique that does not estimate the variate empirically but uses a researcher-specified variate Focuses on comparison of objects based on variate not on estimation of variate itself Groups objects whereas Factor Analysis groups variables

Segmentation:Cluster Analysis(contd.) Six stage model building process Stage 1: Research problem a. Select objectives i. Taxonomy description ii. Data simplification iii. Relationship identification b. Select clustering var. Include only var.that i. Characterize objects being clustered ii. Relate to objects of C.A.

Segmentation:Cluster Analysis(contd.) Stage 2: Research design a. Can outliers be detected b. Similarity measures i. Metric data (correlational;distance) ii. Non-metric data (association) c. Standardize data? Stage 3: Assumptions of C.A. a. Ensure representativeness in sample b. Examine is variables are highly correlated

Segmentation:Cluster Analysis(contd.) Stage 4: Deriving clusters and assessing fit a. Hierarchical algorithms i. Agglomerative(single linkage, complete linkage, avg. linkage,Ward’s method etc) ii. Divisive(agglomerative in reverse order) b. Non-hierarchical c. Combination

Segmentation:Cluster Analysis(contd.) Algorithm for K-means clustering 1. Partition items into K clusters 2. Assign items to cluster with nearest centroid mean 3. Recalculate centroids both for cluster receiving and losing item 4. Repeat steps 2 and 3 till no more reassignments

Segmentation:Cluster Analysis(contd.) How many clusters to form - Stop when similarity measure exceeds certain value - Stop when successive values between steps makes sudden jump - Adopt some statistical test or rule - Researcher’s empirical/theoretical basis

Segmentation:Cluster Analysis(contd.) Stage 5: Interpretation of clusters a. Examine each cluster w.r.t cluster variate b. Use cluster’s centroid as a measure Stage 6: Validation and profiling of clusters a. Validation(generalizability, test results on split-sample, predictive validity) b. Profiling(Discriminant analysis with identified clusters as dep. var. & demographics,psychographics as indep.var.)

Example: Cluster Analysis Stage 1: Objectives To segment HATCO’s customers into groups having similar perceptions of HATCO. Perceptions are based on X1 through X7 Stage 2: Research Design - No outliers - All 7 variables are metric, so Euclidean distance used as similarity measure - No correlations among variables - All variables on same scale, so no standardization needed

Example: Cluster Analysis Step 3: Assumptions All assumptions are met Step 4: Deriving clusters and assessing fit a) Hierarchical method - Both a 2-cluster and a 4-cluster solution selected for further analysis - Tested for distinctiveness of the clusters b) Non Hierarchical method Step 5: Interpretation of clusters From Factor analysis of X1 through X7 we know that X1, X2, X3 , X7 constitute one dimension (with X1, X3 inversely related to X2, X7 ) and X4 , X6 another dim

Example: Cluster Analysis From Profile Diagram, Cluster 1is higher on X1 and X3 and lower on X2 and X7. Thus cluster 1 is high on dim 1 (Basic value). Also, cluster 2 is high on X4 , X6 i.e on dim 2 (Image) Step 6: Validation and profiling Clusters profiled on additional variables