Climate Change Resilience and Preparedness

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Presentation transcript:

Climate Change Resilience and Preparedness CPUC/CEC Workshop on Climate Adaptation in the Energy Sector Pat Hogan Vice President, Electric Operations Asset Management July 27, 2015

Climate Change Resilience Robust emergency response plans and procedures to address near-term risks, including storms and wildfires Active engagement at the federal, state, and local level Risk assessment and operational planning to assess longer-term risks and prioritize infrastructure investments Staying abreast of the science through in-house climate change science team

Risk Assessment: Natural Hazard Asset Performance Long-term, multi-year, and holistic assessment of the risks from multiple natural hazard scenarios on PG&E assets: Identifying potential impacts to PG&E assets Enabling the evaluation of climate-change-related risks to facilities and the development of necessary adaptation strategies

Risk Assessment: Natural Hazard Asset Performance Key Steps of the Process Planning Phase Establish list of natural hazards; includes flooding, heat storms, and sea level rise Develop natural hazard scenarios Review Assets Review assets against scenarios Determine population of assets that may be affected Risk Response Develop response plans to accept or reduce risk Monitor Progress Path to a Resilient Utility Monitor progress toward plans Monitor climate change and effects on standardized scenarios Inform Emergency Planning and Response activities PG&E’s Climate Change Science Team helped define several hazard scenarios, such as flooding, heat storms, and sea level rise.

Integration into PG&E’s Strategic Planning Process PG&E’s Annual Integrated Planning Timeline Jan Mar Feb Jun Oct Jul Aug Sept Nov Dec Apr May Risk and Compliance Session S-1 Strategic Playbook S-2 Execution Plan Executive Guidance Talent Management Session System Refinement and Budget Approval The results of the Natural Hazard Asset Performance process will inform PG&E’s enterprise-wide Risk and Compliance Session in 2016, a key stage of our annual integrated planning process that shapes strategy and execution plans.

Sample Scenario: Flood Assess PG&E assets against FEMA 100- and 500-year flood zone maps Status of Risk Assessment Reviewed assets against scenario Currently developing risk response plans Near-Term Actions Taken Elevated structures at several PG&E substations: San Mateo 115kV GIS building Napa Substation Building and Switchgear Richmond R Building and Switchgear Partnering on Studies PG&E participated in a recent Bay Area Council Economic Institute Report, which found that a Superstorm and associated flooding could have a $10.4 billion impact on the Bay Area economy. The report included solutions for creating greater regional resilience with a focus on the need for increased investment in flood control.

Surviving the Storm Report

Sample Scenario: Sea Level Rise Trend Line Low/ High Range Year Inches 2010 2 0 – 4 2020 5 1 – 8 2030 7 2 – 12 2040 11 3 – 18 2050 14 5 – 24 2060 20 7 – 32 2070 26 10 – 41 2080 31 12 – 49 2090 37 15 – 58 2100 42 17 - 66 1530 to gf 8

Sample Scenario: Sea Level Rise 24 inch sea level rise by 2050 Status of Risk Assessment Reviewed assets against scenario Currently developing risk response plans Near-Term Actions Taken Participating in nearly a dozen local government-led studies and initiatives Responded to recent request for state’s Sea Level Rise Planning Database, as required under AB 2516 Engaging in Local Initiatives PG&E is participating in San Mateo County’s effort to identify and assess community assets and natural resources that will be most affected by sea level rise and storm events along the County’s bayshore and coastline. This is one of nearly a dozen local studies and initiatives in which PG&E is participating.

Sample Scenario: Heat Storm July 2006 California heat-wave Status of Risk Assessment Reviewing system against scenario Near-Term Actions Taken Annual planning process to forecast peak load on our system relative to system capacity so we can take necessary steps Significant investments to modernize system―including automated equipment that dramatically reduces time to restore power to customers Robust demand response programs to mitigate peak demand PG&E and BMW partner on smart charging Through an innovative demand response pilot project, PG&E will pay BMW for the additional energy provided by up to 100 customer batteries for use on our grid, known as smart charging. If PG&E needs to curb customer demand, BMW will signal the telemetry equipment in each participating vehicle, telling it to halt its charging for the duration of the event.

Low Precipitation and Snow Pack, High Temperatures SOURCE: http://www.visualnews.com/2015/04/13/californias-worst-drought-in-history-the-breakdown/

Drought Response: PG&E’s Operations Established Internal Drought Task Force Addressing vegetation impacts on gas and electric infrastructure and coordinating with key agencies to prevent and respond to wildfires Managing water in reservoirs so clean, affordable hydropower is available during peak summer demand periods Maintaining dry-cooled power generation Reducing water use in our facilities and exceeded 5-year company water conservation goal Signed water-sharing agreement with San Luis Obispo County for PG&E’s desalination plant More than 10 percent of our workforce, or nearly 2,300 employees, pledged to take actions such as taking shorter showers, checking for leaks, and installing water-saving aerators.

Managing Hydro Operations: Near-Term Strategies Strategically managing water supplies to optimize hydropower and the availability of water for fisheries and downstream users’ needs Conserved water in our reservoirs in the spring Working closely with water agencies, first responders, and regulatory agencies in individual regions Continually analyzing reservoir and stream conditions PG&E has worked with the Tuolumne Utilities District to manage our limited water supplies in the region. We have conserved water in our reservoirs so hydropower is available during peak demand periods of summer, and as much water as possible is available to support drinking water, environmental considerations, and other needs.

Managing Hydro Operations: Longer-Term Planning Collaborating on research and developing new modeling tools for forecasting runoff to plan for potential snowpack reductions in the Sierra Nevada Mountains Investigated Northern California’s aquifers to better understand how they may respond to climate change New research with the University of California and DWR on a project to monitor snowpack, climate, soil moisture and other factors on the upper Feather River PG&E has presented and published several scientific papers on our research into how climate change is impacting the Northern Sierra Nevada and Southern Cascade watersheds that supply our hydroelectric system.

Looking Forward: Grid of Things™ A smarter, more flexible, and more distributed grid will be a more resilient system in the face of a changing climate.

APPENDIX

Drought Response: Customers and Community Expanded agricultural energy efficiency programs and incentives Hosted Water Conservation Showcase to encourage building professionals to become more energy efficient by conserving water Collaborating with state agencies to reinforce the state’s Save Our Water conservation campaign Working with Salvation Army, American Red Cross, food banks, and others to assist drought impacted communities We offer customers a wide range of energy efficiency options to help them reduce their water use. We achieved water use savings of about 1.9 billion gallons in 2014, based on an analysis of our most common energy efficiency measures that promote water conservation.