Precious Metal Opportunity

Incredible Opportunity… Precious metal stocks represent one of the best opportunities in the market today. The opportunity is potentially more attractive than the bull market of There are very few—if any—other ways for investors to protect their wealth from numerous negative long-term fundamentals in traditional assets and sectors.

Outlook For PMs Has Never Been Better… The Federal Reserve has no intention of reversing interest rate policy soon. Even if we have higher rates, will likely be matched with higher inflation, hence “real rates” will remain very low. Policies have stoked an epic stock market bubble and epic precious metals bear market, both of which are unsustainable. Poor future returns for stocks—based on valuation—means reversion and poor returns from bonds due to rising rates. This could very well mean losses in a balanced portfolio. Gold and other precious metals have historically acted as a store of wealth during such times.

Leading Strategists Don’t Like Financial Assets… GMO’s Jeremy Grantham is one of the top-ranked forecasters of the past 15 years. Here is his outlook for a “balanced” portfolio…

Gold Should See Much Higher Highs… The Dow-to-Gold ratio is currently over 13-times, while the historical average is about 8-times. Most recent lows in Summer 2011 were under 6-times. Dow and Gold prices have converged at major crisis points in history. Given current government policy, valuations, etc., there is no reason convergence can’t happen.

Why Precious Metal Miners? At the end of Q2 in 2014, precious metal miners traded at valuations that haven’t been seen since the bursting of the technology bubble and subsequent bull market in miners. PMs trade in the bottom quartile of absolute and comparative valuation against the general market using last 18 years of data. No other sector is this cheap. Gold mining index trades near bottom decile of valuation versus gold. In order of attractiveness: (least) U.S. Stocks  Bonds  Gold  Gold Mining (most)

Miners Cheap on a Number of Metrics Assuming no appreciation in gold, a move to 50th percentile valuation versus S&P 500 implies an 80% upside. This will happen as weak miners close down operations and costs are realigned. Move to 50th percentile ratio versus gold implies a 100% upside. If gold appreciates, return possibilities become exponential (please see next slide).

It Pays To Buy Assets Cheap…

Junior Miners: “Call Options” At These Levels

Explosive Possibilities Based on History Case Dow (Index Level) Gold ($) Gold / HUI Index valuation HUI Index Gain Dow Bear Case6,0003,00050 th percentile~400% Dow Base Case12,0006,00050 th percentile~800% Dow Bull Case17,0008,50050 th percentile~1,200% Current valuations are on par with Summer 2001, prior to a 8-times move in the HUI Index over six to seven years. Gold “only” moved about 200% during that time. Gold could move as much or more in a much shorter period of time given that in 2001… You could make over 7% per year holding an investment grade bond. Today, it’s under 3%. You could earn over 5% per year for your money in the bank. Today, it’s pretty much 0%. Real Estate prices had languished relative to the other forms of investment since the early 1990’s bust. Today, the Fed has induced “Real Estate Bubble 2.0,” especially in major cities.

Ten “Best in Class” Miners to Profit From an Incredible Opportunity… NameTickerFundamentalTechnical ProfitabilityDividendDebtLiquidityChart RandgoldGOLDStrongYesVery LowVery GoodStrong SemafoSMF.TOStrongNo (Suspended)NilGoodStrong Primero MiningPPPModerateNoModerateVery GoodStrong Agnico Eagle MinesAEMStrongYesModerateExcellentStrong Eldorado GoldEGOStrongYesModerateExcellentAverage McEwen MiningMUXModerateNoNilVery GoodAverage Franco NevadaFNVStrongYesNilExcellentStrong AngloGold AshantiAUModerateNo (Suspended)HighExcellentAverage IAM GoldIAGLowNo (Suspended)HighGoodPoor Detour GoldDGC.TOModerateNoHighGoodAverage