Dan Butler Oil Market Analyst Energy Information Administration June 22, 2004 International Energy Outlook 2004 with projections to 2025.

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Presentation transcript:

Dan Butler Oil Market Analyst Energy Information Administration June 22, 2004 International Energy Outlook 2004 with projections to 2025

International Energy Outlook 2004 indicates that over the next 24 years … Energy use will grow strongly, especially among the developing countries (2.7% per year in the developing world) There will be continued reliance on fossil fuels through 2025; oil remains the dominant fuel type (39 % of total world energy use) Natural gas is the fastest growing source of primary energy (2.2% per year) Coal will continue to be the predominant source for electricity generation, but natural gas will be an important supply source for power generation in many parts of the world, given its efficiency and environmental benefits. Carbon dioxide emissions resulting from the combustion of fossil fuels will continue to grow (1.9% per year)

Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 2004 World Primary Energy Consumption by Fuel Type, Share of World Total

Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 2004 World Oil Consumption and Production, 2001, 2010, and 2025

World Oil Reserves by Country, as of January 1, 2004 Source: "Worldwide Look at Reserves and Production."Oil & Gas Journal, Vol. 100, No. 49 (December 22, 2003), pp

U.S. Petroleum Imports from Western Hemisphere Sources 2001 and 2025 (Million Barrels per Day) Crude Oil Canada Mexico Venezuela Other C & SA Refined Products Canada Mexico Venezuela Other C & SA